Early exits (especially ones released three hours before polls close) are dicey, but if we can believe Fox, Clinton will squeak out a win in South Dakota.
Fox has men going 52/48 for Clinton, and women going 57/43 for her. They're tied on which candidate "shares your values." Clinton won late deciders 62-38. If she wins, she was put over the top by her last-week, positive campaigning.
The irony? If Obama loses SD, he still wins. The winner in South Dakota will get 8 delegates (if it's close) and the loser will get 7. Sen. Tim Johnson has said he'll vote for Clinton if she wins the state. But if Obama's 13 delegates away from the nomination (the current dKos estimate, plus Johnson's desertion), he'll need only 6 delegates from Montana to clinch. And early exits have him romping there.
Still, if this holds up, sort of a last-minute annoyance considering how much of SD's Democratic establishment backed Barack.