Skip to main content

Quinnipiac. 6/9-16. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (5/13-20 results)

McCain (R) 43 (45)
Obama (D) 47 (41)

The internals:

     Total   Men Wom  GOP Dem Other  Whi Bla
McCain  43    47  40   85  12  37     50   4
Obama   47    44  50   11  82  47     40  95

Too bad Q didn't break out Hispanics from the sample. It likely would've shown more CW-busting evidence that Obama is doing well with that group.

I'm still having a hard time believing that Florida is this competitive, but it's hard to argue with the numbers. The composite is narrowing, with McCain holding on to a tight lead -- McCain 44.4, Obama 42.7.

Update: Poblabo sez:

If Florida is in play, then John McCain's defense is completely broken; it was the one traditional swing state that always had looked off-limits to Obama. More frustratingly for McCain, he had spent the better part of three days in Florida earlier this month, hoping to raise doubts about Obama among Jewish voters. Although Quinnipiac does not break out the Jewish vote, Obama holds a 61-31 lead in Southeast Florida, where most of the state's Jewish population is concentrated.

The notion that Obama won't get the Jewish vote is as ridiculous as the one that he couldn't win Hispanics or low-income whites or women or whatever. All of it is fiction. Always was.

Update II: hadn't updated their composite score when I posted this, so I was going off older numbers. The new numbers are now Obama 44.5, McCain 44.1, and the graph looks like this:

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Wed Jun 18, 2008 at 11:19 AM PDT.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site