MISSISSIPPI
Yesterday, I wrote in the Hill:
In a year promising one electoral surprise after another, Mississippi may be poised to offer the biggest shocker of them all — Democrats may walk away on Election Day with one of the state’s Senate seats and maybe even its six electoral votes.
Rasmussen. 6/24. Likely voters. MoE 4% (5/27 results)
McCain (R) 50 (50)
Obama (D) 44 (44)
I've emailed Rasmussen asking if they have racial breakdowns. Those will be particularly important in gauging our chances in this state. And in the Senate race:
Wicker (R) 48 (46)
Musgrove (D) 47 (47)
COLORADO
Quinnipiac. 6/17-24. Likely voters. MoE 2.7% (No trendlines)
McCain (R) 44
Obama (D) 49
The Pollster.com composite for Colorado is Obama 46.3, McCain 42.8.
MICHIGAN
Quinnipiac. 6/17-24. Likely voters. MoE 2.6% (No trendlines)
McCain (R) 42
Obama (D) 48
Obama is starting to show a clear lead in the state. While earlier this week McCain held a narrow lead in Michigan, this week's two polls have changed the Pollster.com composite for Colorado to Obama 47.4, McCain 40.9.
MINNESOTA
Quinnipiac. 6/17-24. Likely voters. MoE 2.5% (No trendlines)
McCain (R) 37
Obama (D) 54
A SUSA poll a couple of days ago claimed it was a 47-46 Obama lead, but that appears to be an outlier at this time. Every other poll shows numbers along these lines, and the Pollster.com composite is Obama 51.6, McCain 38.5.
WISCONSIN
Quinnipiac. 6/17-24. Likely voters. MoE 2.5% (No trendlines)
McCain (R) 39
Obama (D) 52
With this poll, the Wisconsin composite is now Obama 50.6, McCain 40.4.
Keep in mind that McCain is currently running ads in Minnesota in the hope that he can soften it up for contention (especially if plans on adding MN Gov. Pawlenty to his ticket). The belief is apparently that Pawlenty
would also put Wisconsin in contention. These poll composites suggests that with the double-digit Obama leads, McCain might need to look elsewhere for fertile territory.