George Bush has lost Idaho:
The Larry LaRocco for Senate poll surveyed 500 likely Idaho voters and was conducted from May 20 to May 25 by Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners.
Idaho has the most Republican-dominated state legislature of all the 50 states, and the GOP holds all the top-level statewide offices. So it’s more than surprising that 54% of 500 likely voters polled said they disapproved of the job President Bush is doing - it could be telling.
The closest Idaho poll readily available for comparison is a Survey USA poll done in August 2007 which had a 49% disapproval rating for Bush. So LaRocco’s poll could signal a five percent jump in disapproval for Bush, and the first time a majority of likely-voting Idahoans disapprove of the president.
I've written at my New West gig about how Idaho is one of several Western state where the Republican party brand is damaged and where a Ron Paul-inspired rebellion within the party is causing serious headaches. In Idaho specifically, the hangover of the Larry Craig mess has added to the general sense of "meh" among Republicans.
When you add in a very determined Independent Senate candidate, who has an abiding and deep hatred for the Republican in the race, it's no wonder that even the Wall Street Journal is speculating that our friend and fellow Kossack Larry LaRocco could pull this one out.