http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/...
COLORADO: McCain 46% - Obama 44%
MICHIGAN: Obama 46% - McCain 42%
MINNESOTA: Obama 46% - McCain 44%
WISCONSIN: Obama 50% McCain 39%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/...
If you look at those Colorado numbers closely though, I'm skeptical of the party ID.
McCain wins Repubs 87-7
Obama wins Dems 86-7
Independents go 47 Obama to 39 McCain
Something tells me they oversampled Republicans in this poll. And only a 51-43 split on 18-34 year olds?
According to this (http://www.csus.edu/indiv/n/nalderk/PartyIdenificationByState-1.pdf) Colorado is a 33-29-31 state in 2004. With Party ID swinging the Dem way, this should be an Obama lead in this poll.
Lesson here, go register the young people and get them to the polls.
Also, what is going on in Minnesota. My gut tells me this is way off base, but I'd be interested in hearing from some locals there.
I really dislike the "Who's your favorite first lady?" question.