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I'm usually not into these type of prognostications, but I'm currently in Stage Six of The Termite's Stages of Schadenfraude, and wanted to reminisce about a similarly joyous experience.

Let's all take a trip on the wayback machine to late 2005.  Following Katrina, the vast majority of the country came to realize what many here had known for a while:  our President, to put it mildly, was a bit flawed.

But there were a proud few who refused to acknowledge what was becoming overwhelmingly obvious.  Fortunately, our president wasn't done, and wanted to close 2005 out with a flourish.

For those dead-enders who saw nothing wrong with a President's oversight of a failing war and the drowning of a major American city, the Harriet Miers saga seemed to be a perfect crystallization of what was wrong with this administration.  Cronyism, incompetence, valuing loyalty above all else...this had it all.

Of course when Bush first nominated Miers, the press (and anyone with a love of the justice system, respect for the constitution, or a high school education) was apoplectic.  The firestorm was immediate and severe.

What was the administration's response?  Was it:

  1. facts to refute the charges that Miers was not qualified?  No, because there were no such facts -- she was imminently unqualified for the Supreme Court.
  1. a debate over what skills are necessary to be a good Supreme Court justice?  No, because she had no demonstrable skills that could even arguably be deemed useful in the role of a justice.
  1. that the press was being sexist, and holding Miers to a different standard because she was a woman?  BINGO!!!

In the absence of any credible defense of their ridiculous appointment, the administration claimed that critics of such appointment were being sexist.  

Of course we all remember that when the sexism defense failed miserably, Miers quietly removed herself from consideration...

And that is where my humble prognosticating comes into play:  I say get on intrade now, because within two weeks, when the sexism defense fails miserably, Palin will be stepping aside for the good of her family.

Originally posted to EF in NY on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 02:52 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Palin is no Meirs (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Tonedevil, oxfdblue

    She's a showboating little nut and she's in heaven with this shit.

    She'll be on this ticket.

    And she's keeping all the scrutiny off McCain which is exactly what they needed her for.  

    Bob Barr for President(ial candidate)!

    by Sun dog on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 02:55:54 PM PDT

    •  What do you mean scrutiny off of McCain (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      dlh77489, EF in NY

      I've seen and read plenty of McCain's Judgement, Risky desisions, shoots from the hip, dangerous pick, Lack of judgment, gimmick, scrutiny.  He's lost the one thing he was holding well, experience and judgment.  Now he looks like a fool and in the following weeks he and Palin talking about thier policy will look like outdated fools.  

      This is the one thing the McCain didn't want to happen.  He wanted to create a buzz, eveyone praise him for being Maveriky, not gimmicky, run into the convention and bash Obama.  Now he's waisting his time defending her, and Republicans are looking like fools when they get on T.V.

      Ask one to name a Palin policy and they run away.  It is as if McCain's camp has never played in the big leagues.  Now McCain is at war with the media and he did not want that at ALLLLL.

      "Dear Mr. President, there are too many states nowadays. Please eliminate three. I am not a crackpot." - Grandpa Simpson

      by ourhispanicvoices on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 03:06:37 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Agreed (0+ / 0-)

        The issue isn't when she will jump ship, it's when they decide to push her.

      •  I think many Dems think everything is a (0+ / 0-)

        Rovian plot.  And because they buy into the bullshit that Rove is some kind of genius, they become so afraid, like little ineffectual children.

        Rove is not a genius, never has been, never will be.  Rove got lucky.  He got a dumb electorate and two shitty Democratic candidates.  

        This has taken much of the shine off of John McCain for the press.  The only real question is will that last, or are they all just as a big a bunch of p*ssies as I have long thought them to be.

        "I, Barack Hussein Obama, do solemnly swear, that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States..."

        by dlh77489 on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 03:28:25 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Everything IS a Rovian plot with them (0+ / 0-)

          It's not that Rove is a genius.  He's just a nasty little shit.  And the methods he used have been used before.  Orwell chronicled many of them.  Irony is one of the main things.  The use of irony as a blunt instrument isn't something Rove invented.  He just calcified it as modern Republican method.  

          And they haven't lost yet.  Don't get so snotty and superior with your talk of 'little ineffectual children.'  I argued in 2000 that it was too easy to laugh at Bush for being a moron but we couldn't ignore the actual threat.  And I remember the same things being argued about over Reagan when I was young.  Now I have to drive home on Ronald Reagan Highway to visit my parents.  

          Until they lose with it they will keep using the same tricks, the same methods.  The Palin pick is more of the same.  Cynicism and irony so thick that the opposition can be painted as hysterical just for trying to describe it.  

          I was one of the ones who recognized Obama as a chance to beat this shit so I helped him win Iowa.  I know the threats and I worked my ass off so we'd have the best player in the game to beat it.  So it's kind of lame to hear this crap about 'little ineffectual children.'  

          Bob Barr for President(ial candidate)!

          by Sun dog on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 03:54:28 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Well, people who sit around (0+ / 0-)
            worrying their pretty little heads about what the GOP is gonna do--I think those people are LITTLE INEFFECTUAL CHILDREN.

            Why not stop crying and just fight?

            I'm tired of the pathetic level of fear that constantly radiates from Democrats.  It's fucking weak!  

            "Oh, what's big, mean Rove gonna do to us now?"

            Stop asking that fucking question and beat the shit out of him!  If you lose, fine.  But at least you went out with something resembling balls.

            If a person constantly mugs you outside your house, do you sit in your fucking house and wonder what's coming next?  Or do you get a gun and kill that mother fucker?

            "I, Barack Hussein Obama, do solemnly swear, that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States..."

            by dlh77489 on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 04:02:30 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  I'm really glad that's the take here (0+ / 0-)

        Because all of my grazing of the traditional media has resulted in gag inducing talk about how this DOES re-establish McCain the Maverick.  

        It's good to know people are seeing something more promising than what I am.  I'm seeing as much backlash to the coverage of Palin as actual coverage of Palin.  Just like there were more stories about positive Obama abroad stories than I could ever find actual positive stories about Obama abroad.  

        Remember, things do not always look as they first appear and the McCain camp has played in the bigs.  They play dirty and they prefer being in a war against the media.  Or making enough of the actual press into the opposition and then bouncing that off the public through their paid shills.  They love playing the victim and they have no shame.  There is no limit to how far they will push irony.  

        Before Bill Clinton delivered his 'unity' speech at the convention, I spotted the disunity narrative as something they were intentionally playing up to build tension and interest.  Classic political theater that gives your performance more weight.  

        The GOPers are setting one up for Palin tonight.  They're hoping to make a sensation of her, a folk hero.

        We've got to keep winning this thing.  They really aren't going to just implode.

        Bob Barr for President(ial candidate)!

        by Sun dog on Wed Sep 03, 2008 at 03:39:01 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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