Daily Kos

Letter to DK: Major Political Blunder

Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:14:46 PM PDT

I got this from a friend and DK supporter who has not gotten permission from the Kucinich campaign to post it with their name.  So they asked me to post it without.

A major political blunder—it still isn’t too late to tell your Iowa precinct captains to follow their consciences

Just to make things clear, you still have my support even after doing a dumb thing like recommending that your Iowa caucusgoers support Obama in cases where you don’t meet the 15% threshold.  I will always be for the undiluted full strength progressive agenda for which you are the current standard bearer.  I’ll never stop asking for a pony, even if I eventually wind up settling for a kitten.

I’ve been doing enough phone banking to realize that in caucus states, though some have Obama as a second choice, most of your supporters have Edwards as a second choice.  I’ve found that primary caucus strategies primarily come in three flavors; bandwagoneering (lining up big bucks behind a frontrunner early), best of the frontrunners (look at the highest polling candidates and pick the most progressive of the lot), and finally the keep asking for a pony even if you’ll accept a kitten stance.  (I’m of course discounting the "wouldn’t it be neato keeno to have a black or female or Latino president" factor, as the people who pay enough attention to politics to be interested in caucusing tend not to be influenced as much by this and are  far more issue-oriented.) People can agree on basic values and still be very hard to shake from their personal commitment to a particular strategy.

In my caucus state, Edwards is the choice of the majority of the type two strategists, even though Obama has some support from that contingent as well.  If you were serious in 2004 when you said that you stayed in the race until the end because you wanted to move the Democratic Party in your direction, why the slap in the face when Edwards actually takes your advice? That’s how Edwards supporters are going to perceive it at any rate.  Obama was closer to you in 2004 than he is now (what with slamming liberal "special interests," having a homophobic nutjob headline one of his concerts and spouting Republican talking points on Social Security), but Edwards has moved closer—a LOT closer.

If I were in your position, of course, I’d be really ticked off that the media labels Edwards the "anti-corporate" candidate when you were there first and have been for years ever since facing down the Cleveland banking establishment, just as in 2004 they labeled Dean the "antiwar" candidate when you were the one that actually organized enough opposition to the IWR to get a majority of House Democrats to vote against it.  And I’d probably be really mad at Edwards for having an informal chat with Clinton about eliminating "second tier" candidates from further debates as well—especially if I’d overheard it.

You got a lot of your supporters angry in 2004 by recommending caucusing with Edwards instead of Dean (who was closer to them on the war issue), but whatever the emotional roots of that decision it at least made strategic sense.  Edwards was polling in single digits at the time, and it made the most sense for candidates below the 15% threshold to do deals with each other rather than with frontrunners.  This year, Obama as a strategic second choice is sheer strategic idiocy.  Your best chance, as you have to know, is with a brokered convention.  (And believe me, most supporters of any of the candidates who want to be national delegates would be absolutely delighted to have real power for a change instead of being bit players in a preordained Kabuki theater act.)  Nationally Edwards is running a sometimes distant third to Obama and Clinton, and the way to make things more even would have been to recommend Edwards as a second choice in Iowa.

That said, recommending Edwards instead of Obama was actually just the second-best option for you.  Your first choice should have been to tell your Iowa supporters to follow their consciences.  Guess what?  That’s what they are going to do anyway!  I heard about your very emotional meeting with your national delegates in 2004 second hand, but you were there.  I remember it—why don’t you?  Despite the pressure from Kerry, you wisely concluded that trying to herd cats was a futile endeavor.  In the end, some switched to Kerry but others held firm.  

Understand that your supporters are not only cat-like in their independence, but that we are also more inclined to be feral than domestic.  Feral as in "Cross me on my issue and I’ll claw your face to shreds.  And don’t even think about bothering me with that ‘Heeerre kitty kitty kitty’ nonsense during election years either."  Your supporters are extremely passionate about at least several of the issues that you advocate for—peace, economic justice, real universal health care, restoring the Constitution, impeachment and many others.  They will support as second choice whatever candidate appears to them to be the next best on whatever matters the most to them.  I really hope that you will consider going with the flow here and reverse your initial recommendation.  I think that your 2004 National Convention decision should be a model here.

Dennis, you have a huge heart and a sharp brain, but sometimes you could do with a little extra ice water in the veins.  Please get used to the notion that if you truly are a real visionary, it is inevitable that others will water down your visions and claim them for their own, and you will get credit late in the game if ever.  It certainly took the Cleveland City Council long enough, and most of the time you aren’t even going to get that much.  You must know that from knowing human history.  Keep going anyway.

Tags: Dennis Kucinich, Iowa caucuses (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 3 comments

  •  lame (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Lawyer to Capitalists, mystic

    Give us a name... or admit to fabrication.

    Edwards voted for the war, and did not provide any return on the 2004 Kucinich/Edwards deal that propelled Edwards to second place, after Kerry and UNCOMMITTED...

    A deal is a deal, and this is in the spirit of the DFA initiative, and should please even the most strident Deaniac that is not currently in the employ of Edwards in Iowa.

    Kucinich will do well in New Hampshire, Nevada and Minnesota, from what I can tell!

    •  Send me your email (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Hardhat Democrat, Terra Mystica

      and I'll put you in touch.  Just don't call me a liar.

      If Democrats have a pre-911 view of the world, Republicans have a pre-July 4th view of the world.

      by chadlupkes on Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 02:26:48 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks! (0+ / 0-)

        Personally I think Kucinich's staff are more like cats than his supporters, and I think the numbers bear that out.

        We had a great group here in MN in 2004, we did things together successfully, achieved 17% statewide. It is his National Office staff that seem determined to re-invent the wheel and invest in tangents and fads while Dennis and his core supporters understand classical organizing...

        Iowa is a mess. I think that is by design. Whether this deal works or backfires, we have to continue to organize locally in the best way we know how, beacuse Dennis is the most consistently progressive, pro-peace voice in D.C. and those that are finding something to complain about right now about the Edwards/Kucinich spat need to not blame Dennis. Edwards and Hillary conspired to keep Dennis and Gravel out of debates, and the deal in 2004 did not work in any sort of reciprocal fashion (based on multiple eyewitness accounts).

        I was in Iowa in 2004 and I found it disheartening to hear then about the deal, but I stayed committed and got to be an alternate to the Congressional District and State Convention and vote on who are delegates from MN got to be.

        I also took a big personal risk and helped to put on  a large event for Kucinich (with around 2200 people, it raised $8000 net), and ran some newspaper ads, etc.

        We got 17% statewide in a late caucus months after Iowa and with regular report that Kucinich was receiving single digits in other states.

        Solid organizing locally can trump bad campaign leadership nationally.

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