Daily Kos

Predictions galore! NFL & NH (but no NHL)

Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 07:51:58 AM PDT

It's been quite an interesting week all around for politicians and players.  Obama stepped up, Eli Manning looked good and we all know the connection between them (hint: they both live in the United States).  The Iowa caucus gave people plenty to chew on, while the NFL playoff weekend was quite enjoyable with four entertaining games...well, Tampa Bay looked kind pathetic, but that was to be expected.  

That leads us up to round two of Predictions!  I blew one pick in the NFL last weekend (I really thought Seattle would be overcome, but that just shows what I know).  And I didn't bother picking Iowa cuz their system is too weird for my widdle brain to figure out.

I've mostly stayed out of the candidate discussions up to now, but I will say I'm essentially comfortable with the idea of Obama being the frontrunner.  He really seems to have captured the younger voting crowd, which could be huge in the long run.  I think the big mistake the Democrats made in 2004 was showing Dean the door early because frankly, Kerry lacked the ability to excite anyone.  The "he's not Bush" angle honestly is not the same as a candidate who really provides hope and inspiration in people.  I think New Hampshire may show a similar trend: many more Democrats turning out than Republican counterparts (seriously, how could any Republican be excited about their field of twits and sociopaths?) with a younger legion giving Obama a good push.  Clinton probably will do a bit stronger, but I suspect that it won't be sizable.  Edwards very well may have the exact same dilemma as 2004: always No. 2 and never quite catapulting into the lead.  The rest of the field for the Democrats is neglible, even if I generally like the policy ideas of Kucinich way more than the others.  I'm perfectly aware he is not going to ever be a frontrunner candidate.  As with 2004, it'd be nice if his presence would help pull the frontrunners more towards a true progressive platform.  

As for the Republican side, I was thrilled to see the "social conservatives" have no use for Giuliani.  That is one guy I really want to see disappear from the face of the planet.  He truly scares me.  He has no business being anywhere near the seat of power for the United States.  But I figured there was no way he'd fly with the bible thumpers and moral extremists out there.  But Mike Huckabee is equally scary.  I'm kinda hoping John McCain can pull a "Kerry" and have a good showing in New Hampshire.  Yes, the guy nauseated everyone by pandering to the Bush crowd over the last few years in his desperate attempt to become president.  But compared to the other republicans, he's the least horrendous.  For example, he might not authorize waterboarding as a method of "interrogation".  That said, I still don't want him in power.  He's just the least terrible of the rotten Republicans.  

Anyhow, onto the NFL playoffs:

I have noticed that the four games this coming weekend all feature teams that really should belong in the playoffs.  The wild card weekend got rid of the pretenders (namely, Tennessee and Tampa Bay) and any of the remaining teams has the ability to make it to the Super Bowl.

Without further delay, the picks.

Seattle at Green Bay: Green Bay
I know all the folks here in the northwest will say Seattle is underrated and doesn’t get respect and that could very well be true.  I thought Washington might nab them last weekend based on momentum and the emotion surrounding the team playing for the memory of Sean Taylor.  Then Seattle’s defense showed up and bullied the Redskins around like the one-time 5-7 team they were.  Seattle’s offense should have played better.  They’ll have to against the Packers.  This game very well should go down to the last couple of minutes because they’re pretty well matched all around.  Both teams have great pass rushers (Green Bay has Aaron Kampman, Seattle has Patrick Kearney) and great passing games.  However, Green Bay’s rushing attack is somewhat better than the hodge-podge approach Seattle has had all season.  Though I am picking Green Bay, it is entirely possible Seattle can steal a couple Favre throws and make that the difference.  But a roadtrip to Lambeau in January?  I just can’t quite go for the road team.

Jacksonville at New England: New England
Here’s what could be an extremely entertaining game.  Jacksonville has been the team I thought could knock off the Patriots in a playoff upset, but their performance in Pittsburgh was a bit worrisome.  They dominated the first half and made Ben Roethlisberger weep with sorrow over his interceptions and sacks.  However, the Jags’ offense was very unimpresive (save a couple good throws and a couple great runs by Maurice Jones-Drew) and the defense seemed to relax in the second half, allowing the Steelers to get back into the game.  By rights, they should have put it to the Steelers and walked out with at least a 14 point victory.  If they make even 10% of the mistakes against the Pats, they’ll get their butts kicked.  But, on the positive side, the Patriots have occasionally had problems with a good rushing attack this season, so Fred Taylor and Jones-Drew need to step up.  The Jags have to figure out a way to get a serious pass rush on Tom Brady so he can’t destroy them with deep bombs to Randy Moss.  But that’s a very tall order.  Like many of the Patriots’ late season games, this one will be close and hard fought with Tom Brady again demonstrating why he’s the best fourth quarter quarterback in the league.

San Diego at Indianapolis: San Diego
San Diego showed us that they now have more than a couple ways to defeat you.  Tennessee made life tough for LaDainian Tomlinson but Philip Rivers came out in the second half and looked great, discovering the team had traded for a good receiver in Chris Chambers around midseason.  "I’ve got it!" said Rivers at halftime, "I’ll throw to that new guy!"  And it worked.  What I like about the Chargers is their defense is a match for Peyton Manning.  Ask him about his six interceptions earlier in the season against the boys in blue.  In fact, that game should have been a blowout in favor of San Diego except that was the point of the year where the offense was unaware that they, too, should try gaining positive yards and scoring points.  They’ve solved that problem.  I think the Colts will be flat at first due to resting their entire team during the last weekend of the season and the Chargers seem like they have something to prove after being bounced out of the playoffs early the last few go-arounds.  The Colts have some injuries that keep nagging them and it’ll create just enough of a deficit to harm their ability to win.

New York at Dallas: New York
Yes, I’m surprising myself by picking New York.  It’s a gut feeling.  Dallas seemed like they weren’t quite hitting on all cylindirs the last few weeks and perhaps that’s Lisa Simpson’s fault.  Er...her sister, whatshername.  I haven’t heard the status of Terrell Owens’ ankle, but high ankle sprains are tough to bounce back from in quick fashion.  Without him, Dallas is much more ordinary on offense.  The other thing to consider is New York’s defense is playing really well.  They looked strong against the Patriots’ great offense and they totally dominated the Bucs.  There’s no reason they won’t keep Tony Romo in check.  I don’t foresee Eli Manning doing anything more than playing efficient football, but as long as Bad Eli has been left behind for the playoffs, the Giants have a decent chance.  Like the other games this weekend, this should be a pretty close one, but I can see Romo having another weird playoff meltdown that’ll end their season.

And finally, for those who hate primaries and football, a pretty kitten in a sink:

Call the plumber

Poll

Who is the team you think will win it all

7%4 votes
10%6 votes
7%4 votes
3%2 votes
53%30 votes
3%2 votes
5%3 votes
3%2 votes
5%3 votes

| 56 votes | Vote | Results

Tags: primaries, Obama, McCain, NFL, football, predictions (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 22 comments

  •  3 out of 4 ain't bad - tips for being a sage (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Danno11, mtullius, Newzie

    Let's see if I can keep up the batting average this weekend.

    My favorite play was David Garrard tearing off a long run late in the game on 4th down.  Will a presidential candidate pull off a similar move this week?

    •  I agree with most of your predictions... (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      ssmt

      Last week, I did pick the Seahawks to beat Washington.  I picked all the winners, though I did pick John Edwards to win Iowa, and that's really the only pick I cared about getting right.  :-(  

      I do think that Dallas has a better team than NY, so I'm picking them.  Also, I would rather see Dallas beat New York, because I hate everyone named Manning.  

      Speaking of which, go Chargers!!!

      I really like the Jaguars, but I don't see them beating the Patriots.

      I like Seattle well enough, but, my sentimental favorite is Brett Favre, so, go Packers!!!

      And, while the polls are probably right about Obama winning NH, I still hope that JRE comes in a close second.  Go Johnny!!!

      :-)

      •  Of the "Big Three" (2+ / 0-)

        Recommended by:
        goodlittlesquid, Newzie

        I think I lean towards Edwards the most.  At least he makes some effort to show he cares about the poor and downtrodden.  

        Have you ever noticed Eli Manning often looks like he wishes he was a sous chef somewhere rather than an NFL QB?  I bet he wishes his name was Eli Schmoe and would get zero media attention outside of normal coverage QBs get.  

      •  Chargers (0+ / 0-)

        San Diego looked perfectly awful for almost 3 quarters of their game yesterday.  If they do that against Indy, they'll be looking at a huge deficit and will have to rely on Rivers.  Which is not really something you want to have to do...

        Colts should win easily, but you never know...

        •  I think Tenn's defense deserves credit (0+ / 0-)

          They have a great defense and when Haynesworth is in there, they can shut down just about any running back.  Their biggest problem is Vince Young is just miles away from being a high caliber NFL QB, though it's quite possible he'll get there someday.  I even ventured to suggest that if Young had been hurt and they started Kerry Collins, they had a better chance to win.

          So I wouldn't play up how the SD offense looked in the first half.  Rivers got it together in the second half and diced up their secondary...without Antonio Gates!  Colts have a good defense, but it's not as tough as the Titans.

    •  Short on time (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      ssmt

      So I can't do into detail.  

      Green Bay - (no choice here; lifetime fan)

      New York - (I've not liked NY all year but Dallas has played poorly of late.)

      New England - (Jax could capture lightning in a bottle but go w/the odds.)

      Indianapolis (The AFC West is the weakest division in the league.  SD sputtered against the Titans and Colts are rested.)

      Green Bay is this year's NFL Obama - all the way in 2008!

  •  Jags and Chargers (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ssmt, coloradocomet

    College football lunacy reaches the NFL.

    Also, NY Giants beat Dallas, and Green Bay beats Seattle.

  •  This is the week (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ssmt

    when the Pats finally shake off their 2nd half doldrums, respond to all the predictions of a close game or a Jag upset, and beat the living heck out of Jacksonville.  That's my prediction, and I'm sticking to it.

    •  The biggest problem Brady will have (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      cici414, coloradocomet

      ...trying to throw around Grady Jackson.  Jackson is so massive that he has his own Congressional Representive...and imagine if he falls on Brady at any point.  

      You could be totally right about a blowout since NE has all the offensive weapons, but I'm thinking Jax has a good enough defense that'll keep things in check.  I'm really excited about the game, though.  It'll be lots of fun.

  •  If the Chargers play a first half (0+ / 0-)

    against Indy like they did Tenn. then they'll be toast.  It won't be 6-0 at half, it will be 28-0 at half.  Their only hope is to get to Manning, if they don't do that Indy will be in the AFC championship game.

    The Jags should give the Brady bunch a run for their money but if they can't score over 35 then it will be Indy and NE going for the SB.

    Pats should beat Indy at home.  Just to many weapons for Indy to cover.

    Green Bay ought to beat Seattle at home and without T.O. the Giant defense will take the day. Then it will be Manning trying to play at GB in January.  Don't think he can play well in cold weather so that should make it a Green Bay vs. Patriot Super Bowl.

    Then the Pats take it.  19-0 baby.

    Shakespeare got it wrong: the world is not a stage, it is a lunatic asylum.

    by coloradocomet on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 08:11:55 AM PDT

  •  Why no NHL? (0+ / 0-)

    Football is for people that are too slow to figure out hockey.

    Despair? I can deal with despair. It's the hope that's killing me.

    by privatewl on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 08:12:40 AM PDT

    •  It ain't playoff time yet (0+ / 0-)

      I watch the occasional Canucks game (I tell you, this will be their year to go deep in the playoffs), but it's hard to get excited about the NHL just yet, even here in BC.  But perhaps that, and my lack of a toque, is why I'm still an American living in Canada rather than a full-on Canadian.  

      Hockey is the sport for those too slow to figure out chess-like football strategy, haha.

      (I like both for different reasons, so I'm just crackin' on ya)

  •  1 out of 4 is bad...send your tips to ssmt. (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ssmt

    So, I'm aiming for .500 this weekend.

    New England over Jacksonville.
    Indianapolis over San Diego.

    Dallas over the Giants
    Green Bay over Seattle.

    On ESPN right now, 30% of the voters think that Jacksonville will beat the Pats. Half of me is surprised at that because the chances of the Jags winning are very slim (3%-5%), half of me is surprised that the number isn't bigger because folks hate the Pats' success.

    19-0, you know it in your heart to be true.

    This space for rent.

    by Danno11 on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 08:29:58 AM PDT

  •  About Kucinich hanging around (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ssmt

    to "help pull the frontrunners more towards a true progressive platform" - does this really work? It seems to me that from this point on most of the candidates will spend more time trying to separate themselves from the others, define their own identity, and show they are truly different from the others. And one would think that Obama would not have to follow this trend at all, since the secret of his Iowa success was bringing in moderates and independents, rather than winning over more Democrats. Also, pretty soon, the frontrunners will start trying to appeal to the masses to win the general, rather than to the liberals to win the nomination.

    Just wonderin'.

    "I live by Syllogisms. For instance: God is love. Love is blind. Stevie Wonder is blind. Therefore, Stevie Wonder is God!" ~Steven Colbert

    by watch out for snakes on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 08:44:17 AM PDT

    •  I guess I'm just hopeful (0+ / 0-)

      I don't really kid myself into thinking the government and those in power are really all that willing to move in a common-person oriented way.  The system is there to protect the elite, the wealthy and the powerful and they will have no truck with the riffraff gaining any significant foothold in that.  

      It does kinda irritate me that there's so much focus on "independents" and "moderates", rather than appealing to what should be the base of the party: progressive people-oriented types.  Or maybe I'm just kidding myself into thinking that'll ever matter.  

      In reality, Obama is never going to win a single vote from anyone who still supports the Republican party (that weird 30% who think Bush is doing a heckuva job) but those people need marginalized and ignored.  

      I dunno, I admit I'm just rambling at this point and have gotten pretty cynical about the whole process.  There were some high hopes after last year's victories and it doesn't seem like we've gotten anywhere in the meantime.  I don't think the US is better off at the beginning of 2008 than it was in 2007.  I know things take time, but there's an awful lot of housecleaning to do yet.

      •  Shouldn't that make you an Obama supporter? (0+ / 0-)

        Just kidding! Sorry - I couldn't resist, but all the "hope" and Obama discussions are overloading my brain.

        I wasn't trying to burst your bubble - I am honestly curious about whether or not what you mentioned truly works. So by all means, keep hoping.

        "I live by Syllogisms. For instance: God is love. Love is blind. Stevie Wonder is blind. Therefore, Stevie Wonder is God!" ~Steven Colbert

        by watch out for snakes on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 09:08:00 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Go Pats!!! (0+ / 0-)

    and John Edwards!

    "A great empire, like a great cake, is most easily diminished at the edges." ~Ben Franklin

    by rickyscorpio on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 09:30:10 AM PDT

Permalink | 22 comments