Daily Kos

Exit polls: O(39.44%), H (38.12%), E(15.72%)

by NeuvoLiberal

Tue Jan 08, 2008 at 05:46:57 PM PDT

A quick post as I didn't see this reported on the TV shows.

If we calculate the total percentages from CNN exit polls, using male/female split numbers given, we get these results:

(Richardson 4.72%, Kucinich 1.43% not in this screenshot of the table).

My spreadsheet is here: NH Results/exit polls Spreadsheet.

Of course, these are only exit polls which have sampling and other forms of errors built in. The race is hence too close to call.

Concord Monitor results page.

Please free to use this as a results open thread.

Update: While responding to a comment, I calculated the average of polls (NH@pollster.com) for NH, from Jan 1-2, i.e. just prior to the IA caucuses. The table is in the  "PreIAPolls" page of the spreadsheet. Here's a snapshot of the table, which shows that HRC led Obama in NH by 4.5% entering the Iowa caucuses.

Pre-Iowa Caucus Poll averages for New-Hampshire

Update: CNN results page

Update: CNN seems to have updated their exit polls from the earlier snapshot from which I made the original calculations. I will be posting an updated table shortly.... here is the new table which puts Hillary in the lead ("newinput" sheet in the spreadsheet shows the table):

It appears to me that she'll win this one. If she does, my congratulations to HRC, Bill, and Team Clinton on their victory.

Poll

Who will win the NH primary?

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Tags: 2008 election, Presidential race, New Hampshire (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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