Daily Kos

The View from Manchester

Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 07:37:21 AM PDT

For many on this site, the 1990s look like part of the problem.  NAFTA, welfare reform, triangulation--the whole nine yards.  The problems didn't start in 2001--we have to overturn Washington and those that are part of it.

Apparently, the voters in Manchester, New Hampshire -- the largest city in Northern New England and the base of the region's principal working class and union community -- feel differently.  For why that is so, and what that means for this election, follow below the fold.

The 1990s were very kind to to Manchester, and to many other working class communities across the United States.  Here is the economic record of the Clinton administration.

Average economic growth of 4.0 percent per year, compared to average growth of 2.8 percent during the previous years. The economy grew for 116 consecutive months, the most in history.

Creation of more than 22.5 million jobs—the most jobs ever created under a single administration, and more than were created in the previous 12 years. Of the total new jobs, 20.7 million, or 92 percent, were in the private sector.

Economic gains spurred an increase in family incomes for all Americans. Since 1993, real median family income increased by $6,338, from $42,612 in 1993 to $48,950 in 1999 (in 1999 dollars).

Overall unemployment dropped to the lowest level in more than 30 years, down from 6.9 percent in 1993 to just 4.0 percent in January 2001. The unemployment rate was below 5 percent for 40 consecutive months. Unemployment for African Americans fell from 14.2 percent in 1992 to 7.3 percent in 2000, the lowest rate on record. Unemployment for Hispanics fell from 11.8 percent in October 1992 to 5.0 percent in 2000, also the lowest rate on record.

Inflation dropped to its lowest rate since the Kennedy Administration, averaging 2.5 percent, and fell from 4.7 percent during the previous administration.

The homeownership rate reached 67.7 percent near the end of the Clinton administration, the highest rate on record. In contrast, the homeownership rate fell from 65.6 percent in the first quarter of 1981 to 63.7 percent in the first quarter of 1993.

The poverty rate also declined from 15.1 percent in 1993 to 11.8 percent in 1999, the largest six-year drop in poverty in nearly 30 years. This left 7 million fewer people in poverty than there were in 1993.

The surplus in fiscal year 2000 was $237 billion—the third consecutive surplus and the largest surplus ever.

Of course, people in Manchester, like people everywhere, care about more than the economy.  They want they nation to be strong and respected around the world.  They want peace and prosperity.  And, in the 1990s, they got it.  Few American soldiers died in the 1990s, but by the end of the decade U.S. was greatly admired throughout the world for its international leadership in resolving conflicts and maintaining the peace.

Were the 1990s perfect?  Of course not.  But most working class folks don't make the perfect the enemy of the good.  They can't afford to.  They need to see real progress in their lives if they are going to feed and clothe their family and achieve their aspirations.  And they reward the politicians they think can deliver that.  The politicians who praise and contributed to what we achieved in the 1990s, rather than those implying we should turn our back on those "Washington" accomplishments.

Voters in Manchester don't want fancy talk.  They want results.  And they vote for the politicians they believe can deliver them.

On Tuesday, January 8, 47% of voters in Manchester voted for Hillary Clinton for President, thus helping send a political shock wave across the U.S.  And guess what?  That are scores of Manchesters all across the U.S., filled with workers, union members, low-income folks, the unemployed, single moms, and waitresses who can't wait to vote for Hillary Clinton.

CORRECTED Update: Here's a terrific first-hand on-the-ground account of exactly what I'm talking about.

Tags: Hillary Clinton (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 23 comments

  •  Yup (4+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    al Fubar, markw, buddabelly, BachFan

    The 1990s were much better economically for the working class and the the lower middle class.  Hell, they were better for the geeks and nerds.  I wasn't a big fan of a lot of things with Bill Clinton, but he damn well took care of the economy and he damn well made sure there were competent people in the Departments.  Things worked and ran well, and you could get in the door and talk to somebody and the factions had at least some say.  This is not an endorsement of the Hilary Clinton for President campaign.  However, it is a reminder to the various other partisans that they may not remember that in the 1990s people had the idea that they might be able to sent two children to college, not just one.   People had the idea that they might have the ability to buy a house and to get ahead.  People remember stuff like that when they are doing the bills, and wondering what they can do about their smart under achieving kid who they can't get much of a scholarship for.

  •  Clinton owes Bill Gates ALOT (0+ / 0-)

    Seriously, if it were not for the development of the Internet, which honestly was the result of the Military and not Clinton, then the 90's would have gotten alot uglier alot faster

    Hillary Clinton is still riding those coat tails

  •  Great job, Mark. (4+ / 0-)

    Thanks for filling us in on Manchester's importance in the primary.  They know they have a friend in Hillary.

    http://inlinethumb58.webshots.com/18937/2240830470101620085S425x425Q85.jpg

    by Izarradar on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 07:46:18 AM PDT

  •  The thing I can't figure out is that in Iowa, ... (0+ / 0-)

    Hillary did worse in the more urban areas than in the rural areas.

    "Those who would sacrifice liberty for security deserve neither liberty nor security." -Ben Franklin

    by leevank on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 07:47:18 AM PDT

    •  The quirks of Iowa (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      al Fubar

      Caucus states will be tougher for Hillary, because they make it more difficult for her core constituents (the working poor, single moms, etc.) to get out and vote.  Iowa combined a caucus PLUS allowing independents to vote, a bad combination for Hillary.  Plus it's a pretty isolationist state, and one that has not historically been kind to female candidates.  Plus Obama is right next door and Edwards has been building his base there for years.

      I don't think you'll see too many repeats of Hillary losing in working class cities.

  •  US recession (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    yoduuuh do or do not

    Add to this the mood on Wall Street today, Jan. 9, which is uniformly gloomy, with the Goldman Sachs chief economist hinting we are already in recession (Morgan Stanley concurs) and the market is lowest since last April (breaking through resistance levels, as the kids say). The Bush economy is in tatters.

    In related news, I saw a TV ad yesterday for the Creation Musuem in "Cincinnati" (actually across the river in some Kentucky holler, but whatever). the ad had the tagline "Prepare to Believe."

    In this midst of this Bush intellectual/economic malaise, is it any wonder that the voters of New Hampshire want to return to Clintonian intelligent design?

  •  Born and raised in Manchester. (0+ / 0-)

    And I've never been more ashamed (other than when it went for Bush in 2004) than I am of it today.

    Make a move and plead the fifth 'cause you can't plead the first. He had a lot to say; He had a lot of nothing to say.

    by teleporno on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 07:59:24 AM PDT

  •  The word Inevitability was wrongly tagged to her (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    al Fubar

    as it should have been applied to the incoming recession and that's where HRC will excel: she understand the middle classes and that's what counts in any election, in the US or abroad.

    Sic Transit Gloria Locavore!

    by Asinus Asinum Fricat on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 08:03:56 AM PDT

  •  Much of the economic good news... (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    al Fubar, yoduuuh do or do not

    came from the pc and .com bubbles.  They created many of those jobs and put a great deal of money into play (literally, in the case of software).  Bill got a great deal of the credit for this but, perhaps, Gore deserved most of it for backing the internet idea when it was brand spanking new.  

    "I am here because of Ashley." - Unknown Obama supporter.

    by rainmanjr on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 08:05:31 AM PDT

  •  i have been to manchester. (4+ / 0-)

    it looks like a mill town, because it IS a mill town. those people aren't into gauzy hope. they're into safe and affordable housing, child care, education, etc. my kind of people.

    Hillary 2008 - Flying Monkey Squadron 283

    by campskunk on Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 08:29:35 AM PDT

  •  This is a good diary illuminating the (0+ / 0-)

    problem.  My homebase people are from a mill town in upstate NY and they also cannot see the forrest for the trees.

    Much of the Clinton success was the development of the future but they set the stage for political regression back to the barronial agressive suck to the marrow economy.  Because they are policy wonks, it is hard to believe they did not know what they do.

    The health care plan because of lack of transparency as to the whole process.  There is lots to like about Hillary but her basic belief that only the elite knows best remains within her at all times.  Her decisions and the reasoning behind them no matter how it effects us -- is none of our business.  This is what has to go.

    I have 60 first cousins who remain behind in a 50 mile radius and most have never been out of NY.  I had no influence on them--I am the black sheep--so I know the immensity of the problem.

  •  A lot of people are crediting tech bubble, but... (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    markw

    I'm a software developer, and I've benefited greatly from computers.  So I don't wish to discount that, it is signifigant, but it's only part.

    But, I think what really changed from the 1980s to the 1990s was the focus of the economy.  The 1980s(and even prior decades) was really focused around the military industrial complex.  My father worked for a defense contractor from 1977 until 1994.  He built sensors which are in use today on a variety of military planes, including the stealth bomber.  He got laid off in 1994, and then hired back by the same company in a different division making fluid monitoring sensors used in oil refineries and water treatment plants.  (these were hi-tech industrial things that cost like $50k/each, but have no moving parts that can wear out)

    What we saw in the 1990s, that some like to call as the peace dividend wasn't so much the lack of spending on military equipment, as it was the change in focus.  As companies came to realize there was no more free gravy train of military spending, they started looking into other markets.  What they discovered was that these other markets were much much larger than the military market.

    A lot of this was high-tech.  The fluid sensors my father worked on may be an example.  But also look at cell phones and that huge market.  Some of it was not hi-tech.  There's been a tremendous boom, that I've seen, just in the quality of houses built, the kitchen appliances, the quality of cars.  The list goes on and on.

    Now one downside, though, is that a lot of this growth was on the back of consumer debt.  A trend which unfortunately continued and amplified under Bush.  I think the Clinton years were manageable in this regard, but it's gotten way out of hand since.

    However, I think it is signifigant to look at the Clinton economic legacy, and place it in retrospective with the argument Paul Tsongas was making.  That is, if you want to get rid of poverty, you need to focus on job growth, not wealth redistribution.  That's why everybody benefited under the Clinton years.

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