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As we all know, McCain has effectively ceded Michigan to Obama.  Strangely, however, he's trying to make a push in Wisconsin--a state where we've had a prohibitive advantage for the last 20 years.

Well, after looking at a poll from Strategic Vision, McCain may want to stay out of Wisconsin as well.  According to this poll, Obama's up nine here.  This is a Republican polling firm--so in all likelihood, Obama's up double digits here (I'm guessing in the 12-15 point range).  Seems to me it's all over but the shouting in the Badger State. So McCain thinks he can win here?  That's fine--every penny McCain pisses away in Milwaukee is less money he can spend in Denver, the Twin Cities, DC and Charlotte.

Looking at the internals, McCain's push in Wisconsin makes no sense.  They hate Bush here--he has a 15% (!) approval rating.  Obama has a higher favorability rating, and is trusted far more to handle the economy as well.  About the only good news for McCain in this poll is that they seem to like Palin--a 49 percent approval rating, higher than Biden's.

Is there something else I'm missing here?  I'm having a lot of trouble getting my head around this move by McCain.  It may be a pig in a poke--after the stomping Palin will likely take in the debate tonight, Wisconsin is going to be a lovely shade of blue.

Originally posted to Christian Dem in NC on Thu Oct 02, 2008 at 02:36 PM PDT.

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