Favorable. And then some.
From pollster.com:
http://www.pollster.com/...
Strategic Vision (R)
10/6-8/2008;
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Florida
1,200 likely voters, +/-3
Obama 52, McCain 44
(9/23: Obama 45, McCain 48)
Ohio
1,200 likely voters, +/-3
Obama 48, McCain 46
(9/9: Obama 44, McCain 48)
My understanding of SV is that it has a Republican house lean. More interestingly, is the comparison with the previous SV polling for those states, Florida showing a +11 move from McCain to Obama and Ohio a +6 move from McCain to Obama.
Yowza.
Also of note, the polling was done Monday - Wednesday, so it only picked up one day of post-debate reaction.
I still don't understand how McCain wins this election if he loses Florida, and the trend in Florida remains just gawdawful for him.