272
That's where we are at with Kerry states plus Iowa and Virgina. With an average of 6.3% lead in the state polls over the past two weeks, Obama has created a new map/reality for McCain to deal with (or not). MCain cannot win without Virginia.
McCain cannot even create the ILLUSION of a victory without Virginia, and that's important, because Republicans and the MSM are all about the pre-vote illusion.
Forget about Florida, Ohio, New Mexico, Colorodo, and Nevada. McCain's got a serious VIRGINIA problem. I don't think the McLame campaign has the horses to plug all these leaks in just three weeks.
Strangely, Obama has created a theft proof Electoral Victory. I am not worried or thinking about a landslide. I am too chastened by the reality of the Republican electoral theft machine.
Virginia is helping me to breathe deeply and get a good night's sleep. It's the state that is currently breaking McCain's back.
Below numbers are from realclearpolitics.com
Virginia: McCain vs. Obama
(Starting October 11 partisan affiliated polls will not be added to the
RCP Poll Averages.)
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 09/28 - 10/07 -- 50.6 44.3 Obama +6.3
PPP (D) 10/06 - 10/07 917 LV 51 43 Obama +8
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/05 - 10/05 1000 LV 50 48 Obama +2
SurveyUSA 10/04 - 10/05 666 LV 53 43 Obama +10
Suffolk 10/03 - 10/05 600 LV 51 39 Obama +12
Mason-Dixon 09/29 - 10/01 625 LV 45 48 McCain +3
CNN/Time 09/28 - 09/30 684 LV 53 44 Obama +9
InAdv/PollPosition 09/29 - 09/29 436 LV 51 45 Obama +6