I am sure most of you probably have seen this simulator already. It was new to me and have spent lot of time doing my own simulations.
Similar to fivethirtyeight I think these guys do regression analyses to simulate the results of the presidential election. I havent looked carefully in to how these methods are different, but seem to give different results.
270 to win - here - O - 99.8% M - 0.1% Tie - 0.1%
fivethirtyeight - here - O - 93.8 % - M - 6.2 %
The fun part 270towin for me is just clicking on "Run Again" and see the map just fill up with blue again and again in each and every simulation. I think I have wasted an hour on just doing that (day dreaming that nov 4th will be the same).
Here is to hoping it looks like this simulation I did (my first run)
I do remember seeing another simulation before by somebody at UIUC who had similar results to 270towin
Here is to hoping but trying harder to change the rest of the red states blue.