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Ivan Moore Research. 10/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4.4%. (10/3-6 numbers)

Begich (D) 46 (49)
Stevens (R) 45 (45)

Ugh. That's some critical ground lost for Orange to Blue candidate Mark Begich.

This race has been tight for a while...too tight, especially as Stevens is under indictment. The case of US vs Stevens went to jury today. If Stevens is convicted, Begich will win. If he is acquitted, Stevens is favored strongly, though he could still lose.

Those taking this race for granted should think again; while Begich's favorables are still very high, Stevens has a good chance of winning reelection.

In the House race, however, the news is far better:

Ivan Moore Research. 10/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4.4%. (10/3-6 numbers)

Berkowitz (D) 51 (51)
Young (R) 43 (42)

Well, with two weeks to go, and no trial pending, no last-ditch chance to save himself, Don Young looks pretty doomed.

Some of the best news: Obama and Biden are closing in in the presidential race:

Ivan Moore Research. 10/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4.4%. (10/3-6 numbers)

McCain/Palin (R) 53 (55)
Obama/Biden (D) 42 (38)

The "Palin effect" seems to be wearing off even in a state where she could do no wrong for two years.

On the web:
Mark Begich for Senate
Ethan Berkowitz for Congress
Orange to Blue ActBlue page

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Wed Oct 22, 2008 at 08:53 PM PDT.

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