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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/20-22. Likely voters. MoE ±5% (no trendlines).

Harris (R) 44
Kratovil (D) 40

Maryland's First District is an undeniably conservative place, sporting a PVI of R+10. It was gerrymandered to be one of two solidly Republican districts in Maryland, as part of a Democratic redistricting plan to eliminate Reps. Bob Ehrlich (who was subsequently elected Governor of Maryland before losing his reelection bid to Gov. Martin O'Malley), and Connie Morella (who was defeated in 2002 by current Rep. Chris Van Hollen).

Among those left standing was moderate Republican Wayne Gilchrest, who represented MD-01, now aligned to include both the predominantly rural Eastern Shore of Maryland, as well as small pockets of Anne Arundel County, Harford County and Baltimore County. The Eastern Shore itself is a conservative place, with a lot of conservative Democrats. In some ways, it is culturally Southern, and usually votes solidly Republican. It's also the home of Democratic candidate Frank Kratovil.

This race first appeared on the national radar when incumbent Republican Wayne Gilchrest lost in the Republican primary to a Club for Growth-back right-wing State Senator, Andy Harris.

This opened the race to a potential Democratic victory for the first time in decades, for the following reasons:

  1. Kratovil has a good profile for a Democrat in the district; he's a moderate who has served as a prosecutor and state's attorney in the past. Law-and-order types frequently do very well in such elections.
  1. The primary was a bitter one, and Harris is viewed as an extremist even by many Republicans.
  1. Former Rep. Gilchrest endorsed Frank Kratovil and did a nice ad for him (he also endorsed Barack Obama for President).
  1. Kratovil hails from the Eastern Shore, while Harris is from Baltimore County.

Kratovil's geographic advantage, coming from the Eastern Shore, gives him a leg up on most Democrats running in the district, and he may even win the Eastern Shore. If he can keep his margins down in Baltimore County - Harris' home turf - Kratovil has a good shot at victory.

Here's a map of the district, to illustrate the regional divide:

This poll indicates that Kratovil has a real chance to win this election. The best numbers for him lie in his favorables, which are superior to Harris', and his numbers among independents.

Kratovil's favorables are at 45/33 favorable/unfavorable, a significant advantage over Harris' 45/44. He also leads among independents, 47% to 42%.

He will also be helped by an unusually strong Democratic candidacy in the district. Obama trails McCain 47-43 in MD-01...which is stunning, when you consider that Bush defeated Kerry 62-38 in the district.

So overall, these are very promising numbers for the Democrat. If a Democrat is likely to win this district anytime soon, it will be Frank Kratovil this year.

On the web:
Frank Kratovil for Congress

                        MD-1 CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT POLL – OCTOBER 2008
                                                                 
This survey was conducted by Research 2000 of Rockville, Maryland. A total of 400 likely voters in the First Congressional District were interviewed by telephone between October 20 and October 23, 2008.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the district. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by district.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men                  194 (48%)
Women                206 (52%)

Democrats            147 (37%)
Republicans          135 (34%)
Independents/Other   118 (29%)

18-29                 72 (18%)
30-44                132 (33%)
45-59                116 (29%)
60+                   80 (20%)


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Andy Harris? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 14%         31%         32%         12%         11%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 45%         44%         11%

MEN                 49%         41%         10%
WOMEN               41%         47%         12%

DEMOCRATS           30%         60%         10%
REPUBLICANS         64%         24%         12%
INDEPENDENTS        42%         47%         11%

18-29               41%         48%         11%
30-44               47%         41%         12%
45-59               47%         42%         11%
60+                 45%         45%         10%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Frank Kratovil? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 13%         32%         24%          9%         22%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 45%         33%         22%

MEN                 42%         37%         21%
WOMEN               48%         29%         23%

DEMOCRATS           63%         20%         17%
REPUBLICANS         24%         51%         25%
INDEPENDENTS        47%         30%         23%

18-29               49%         30%         21%
30-44               42%         36%         22%
45-59               43%         35%         22%
60+                 46%         32%         22%


QUESTION: If the election for Congress were held today would you vote for Frank Kratovil the Democrat or Andy Harris the Republican?

                   HARRIS      KRATOVIL    UNDECIDED  

ALL                 44%         40%         16%

MEN                 48%         38%         14%
WOMEN               40%         42%         18%

DEMOCRATS           13%         71%         16%
REPUBLICANS         79%          5%         16%
INDEPENDENTS        42%         43%         15%

18-29               40%         44%         16%
30-44               47%         38%         15%
45-59               45%         39%         16%
60+                 43%         41%         16%


QUESTION: If the election for President were held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin or another candidate?

                   MCCAIN      OBAMA       OTHER       UNDECIDED  

ALL                 47%         43%          3%          7%

MEN                 50%         40%          3%          7%
WOMEN               44%         46%          3%          7%

DEMOCRATS           13%         80%          3%          4%
REPUBLICANS         84%          5%          2%          9%
OTHER               47%         40%          4%          9%

18-29               43%         47%          3%          7%
30-44               51%         40%          3%          6%
45-59               48%         41%          3%          8%
60+                 46%         44%          2%          8%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 12:20 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  This is the best chance we will ever have (6+ / 0-)

    of turning the Eastern Shore blue.

    Go, Kratovil!

    "Everybody has won, and all must have prizes." - Lewis Carroll

    by Dave1955 on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 12:28:19 PM PDT

  •  This Is a Damn Tough District.... (6+ / 0-)

    ...that we're even within 10 points here is amazing in itself.

    •  It's due to amazing volunteers and staff (0+ / 0-)

      Frank Kratovil's people have been working their butts off. The local Dems in Wicomico have been working like never before for a Congressional candidate in recent memory. Frankly, these numbers are a little discouraging, since DCCC had this at +2 Frank a few weeks ago, but it's just more proof there's more work to be done.

      Duck Around - a blog about MD, the Shore, and getting off my lawn.

      by duck on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 07:35:08 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I'm Amazed Obama Is This Close Here.... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, pademocrat, Dave1955, bluedonkey08

    Probably means he'll win Maryland by 25 points.

  •  My guess is that this poll is (0+ / 0-)

    way overestimating Kratovil, given that he's running  behind Obama.

  •  Harris... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, stitchmd, hardtoport, Dave1955

    ...lost every county on the Eastern Shore in the primary. Every single one.  While I won't pretend that it is a predictor of anything, we can say that the Eastern Shore doesn't have much warmth for politicians whose allegiances are in the Baltimore area.

    McCain/Palin can't be a team of Mavericks. One of them, by definition, has to be Goose.

    by DH from MD on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 12:42:55 PM PDT

  •  Been working in Wicomico (6+ / 0-)

    and although this is a tough district, I've got a some hope we might pull this one out.

    We've had a DNC staffer working the tri-county area for the past month; last week another young lady came into the hdqtrs looking for Jamie and it turned out she was another from the Big City sent down to help out.

    More than that though, it is the people I've seen coming in--folks that haven't voted in years or never bothered to vote at all who are drawn to the campaign hdqtrs because of Obama and are sent away having been educated on the need to elect Frank Kratovil as well.
    :)

    I want this win badly--so perhaps that is coloring my perception.

  •  Phonebanking for Kratovil in Maryland (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Naturegal, duck, stitchmd, hardtoport, Dave1955

    The phonebank/GOTV operations here in Maryland have been targeting possible Kratovil voters.  The Towson operation has been all over this much of the weekend, and will continue to work on it over the next week.

    It is the business of the future to be dangerous.

    by RiderOnTheStorm on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 01:01:50 PM PDT

  •  That 16% undecided figure (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Naturegal, duck, hardtoport, Dave1955

    is very encouraging. We're also still inside the MoE which I expect will be true when the results are counted.

    I'll even go ahead right now and predict that somebody squawks for a recount Nov. 5.

    Thanks for the great write up on the district.

  •  Also... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Naturegal, hardtoport, vcthree, Dave1955

    Don't forget the $1,000,000 ad buy that the DCCC has planned for Kratovil in the final 7 days.

    I haven't heard of a similar buy for Harris.

  •  Very excited about this race (9+ / 0-)

    MD-01 rules the Chesapeake Bay, and Harris is no friend to the environment. We really need Kratovil to pull this one out for the Bay.

    Refuge Watch -- news from America's national wildlife refuges

    by Naturegal on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 01:24:50 PM PDT

  •  The Sierra Club is helping with the GOTV effort. (6+ / 0-)

    They know allowing a CfG tool like Andy Harris to represent the 1st District would be disastrous for the environment and the Chesapeake Bay's recovery efforts.

    I picture a cancerous tumor every time I hear CfG, one that would devour my way of life. We've seen far too much unchecked growth in recent years. Our tidal wetlands and farmlands have been sacrificed to make way for waterfront condos and communities of McMansions. I fear the only types of businesses a Club for Growth candidate would bring to the Shore would be Wal-Marts and Home Depots.  

    I've lived on the Eastern Shore all of my 35 years. I see my home not approaching, but teetering upon a tipping point. The last 15 years efforts to save the Bay have yielded, at best, negligible results. I fear that even two years of inaction, or worse, would put us on a path of no return.

    I can tell you that a lot of my neighbors feel the same way.

    Why does Sarah Palin hate polar bears?

    by hardtoport on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 01:27:38 PM PDT

  •  This is exciting news (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, hardtoport, Dave1955

    This is probably the first neutral poll of the race, and thanks to DailyKos for doing it.  This race is much tighter than any race should be in this district, it goes to show that the numbers leaked from the Democratic pollsters aren't outliers at all.  In addition, the Club for Growth has been particularly aggressive lately, pulling out a seriously misleading line of attack on Kratovil by misquoting his response to a question about the bailout bill.  I have not seen much response ad yet, but I expect one to be coming soon from Kratovil, in addition to the extra money DCCC has promised.

    This is a definitely winnable race, and it's hard not to be excited about it!

  •  The Club for Growth helps Dems again (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, stitchmd, hardtoport

    Those nuts will not stop until they've purged any half-way sane Republican out of the party. And as such, they're putting up such whackjobs that they're putting formerly safe GOP districts in play. It's not just in this district. Look at MI-07, where they knocked off moderate Joe Schwartz and replaced him with nutjob Tim Walberg, who now looks likely to lose the seat.

    So keep up the job, boys. We appreciate your drive to make the GOP a permanent minority.

  •  This is exciting (6+ / 0-)

    I grew up on the Shore in Kent County (the northern section, where Wayne Gilchrest was from), and I have to say this is exciting news.  I need to make a confession that Wayne was the only Republican I have ever voted for on the national stage in 10 years of being eligible, probably because, like most people in my county, we knew him personally.  I was originally disapointed to see  him go, consisidering the lean of the district.  I always thought Wayne was the best that we ciould do, and that was not that bad with his advocacy for the Bay and against Iraq.  However, seeing this poll gives me hope that the Shore will be represented by someone from the "Shithouse side of Maryland" (Schaeffer's old quote not mine) and it will be blue.  I wish I still had residency to vote for Kratovil and also was able to help GOTV for him.

    Anecdotally, both of my parents are Shore Republicans who did not even vote for a conservative Dem like Roy Dyson in the 80's, and have never voted for a Demnocrat at the presidential level from Niixon on down.  They are undecided because of Harris being from the Western Shore, even though they think Kratovil is an "asshole".  So, go Kratovil, and talk to everybody!

    •  I grew up in the 1st District... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      duck, fleisch, Dave1955

      ... on Kent Island even before it was gerrymandered, and Gilchrest has a heck of a lot of respect there.  He's a pragmatic moderate, and extremely focused on issues dealing with the health of the Bay.  If it were Gilchrest vs. Kratovil it wouldn't be close.  It was probably the gerrymandering that caused him to lose in the primaries, however.

      Now that I'm living in MD's 5th District, I can only watch this horror movie from the sidelines.  I have a friend who worked at Hopkins while Andy Harris was there, and his impression is that the guy is a total ass, completely self-centered.  I can easily see why Gilchrest (who I've met and had a decent conversation with in person) would cross party lines and endorse Kratovil over Harris.

      Let's help this guy out.

  •  I got canvassed today in AA County (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, Dave1955

    by a Kratovil volunteer.  Hopefully good folks like wmtriallawyer will get us over the line.

    Frank's a good guy, a square G.  

    Barack Obama is going to be the next President of the United States.

    by LarsThorwald on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 03:11:44 PM PDT

  •  Also, got a hilarious mailer from Harris... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, stitchmd, fleisch, Dave1955

    Touting McCain, Palin and Harris as Mavericks.  My wife said, "Good Lord, is every Republican a maverick now?  If so, how do you run things with a bunch of mavericks in charge?  Sounds like anarchy.  Mavericks.  Pfft."

    Barack Obama is going to be the next President of the United States.

    by LarsThorwald on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 03:13:35 PM PDT

  •  The Star Democrat in Easton endorsed Kratovil (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, stitchmd, Dave1955

    I'm not sure what impact these endorsements have, but it won't hurt.  All the papers on the Eastern Shore were owned by Chesapeake Publishing which had a nortorious right winger, Ralph Hostetter, as the publisher.  He owned the papers for many years.  They have been sold, and they are no where near as conservative as they once were.

    In registration, the shore is nominally Democratic and, interestingly, according to a local blogger, Lost On The Shore, Obama has outraised McCain  

    As we've known for some time, residents of the Eastern Shore are not big political donors.  But for what it's worth, here are the numbers.
    Eastern Shore Presidential Campaign Contributions through 8/31/08 McCain Obama
    Lower Shore (ZIP 218xx) $46,019 $39,075
    Mid Shore (ZIP 216xx) $139,333 $193,176
    Upper Shore (ZIP 219xx) $12,004 $14,082
    Shore Total $197,356 $246,333

    So, even on the Shore, Obama is running ahead of McCain in donations.  Only here on the Lower Shore does McCain come out ahead in contributions.  It will be interesting to see how this plays out in the election.

    I've been spending most of my time working for Obama in VA, but I have contributed to Kratovil's campaign numerous times and I canvassed for him in Anne Arundel County.  I even have a bumper sticker on my car for the times I go visit my mother in his district.  I hope that he can pull this one out.

  •  Go Frank! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, Dave1955

    The slimy, distorting, fear-mongering Club for Growth ads have been relentless.  I'm glad to see Kratovil's numbers so close despite that barrage.  Here's hoping for some long coattails.

    Barack Obama: One house, one spouse.

    by rb608 on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 04:00:55 PM PDT

  •  Voter Registration Breakdown by (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, Dave1955

    county:

    DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN GREEN LIBERTARIAN & OTHER TOTAL
    FIRST CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
    ANNE ARUNDEL 27,098 32,598 187 148 12,061 72,092
    BALTIMORE COUNTY 20,165 19,242 124 69 5,513 45,113
    CAROLINE 6,865 6,649 27 50 2,579 16,170
    CECIL 22,914 21,224 121 122 10,409 54,790
    DORCHESTER 9,335 6,483 21 21 2,026 17,886
    HARFORD 29,329 34,648 136 135 9,689 73,937
    KENT 5,985 4,304 42 17 1,601 11,949
    QUEEN ANNE'S 10,841 13,278 49 68 3,819 28,055
    SOMERSET 7,021 3,976 12 14 1,462 12,485
    TALBOT 10,092 11,256 62 66 3,820 25,296
    WICOMICO 22,968 18,902 93 92 7,685 49,740
    WORCESTER 15,006 12,904 61 64 5,074 33,109
    FIRST DISTRICT TOTALS 187,619 185,464 935 866 65,738 440,622

    Democrats outnumber Republicans. The numbers on the left are Democrats; Republicans are on the right. But the key stat here is to see that Republicans are a majority of the voters in the Anne Arundel and Harford County parts of the district.

    Based on the numbers it seems like Anne Arundel, Baltimore, and Harford counties account for 191,142 out of a population of 440,622 district wide. The western shore part of the district accounts for 43% of the vote. Here are the votes for the 2008 GOP primary:

    Republican Candidates
    Representative in Congress
    Congressional District 01 (Vote for one)
    Joe Arminio Robert Joseph Banks Wayne T. Gilchrest Andy Harris(Won) E. J. Pipkin
    Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
    Anne Arundel 249 263 4,191 6,664 2,535
    Baltimore 86 96 1,107 4,591 1,140
    Caroline 43 39 1,075 1,057 673
    Cecil 174 190 2,211 2,108 2,051
    Dorchester 51 45 1,315 987 628
    Harford 219 212 2,544 8,080 2,637
    Kent 20 19 1,358 495 339
    Queen Anne's 114 54 1,877 1,894 2,100
    Somerset 28 21 748 600 317
    Talbot 79 50 2,916 1,731 761
    Wicomico 129 120 3,640 3,524 1,417
    Worcester 85 77 2,642 1,896 1,102
    Totals 1,277 (1.6%) 1,186 (1.5%) 25,624 (33.1%) 33,627 (43.4%) 15,700 (20.3%)

    Harris dominated the Anne Arundel, Baltimore, and Harford county part of the district. The Baltimore and Harford county numbers went 4-1 for Harris over Gilchrest. Pipkin, a Republican State Senator who represents the upper Eastern Shore, got the rest of the vote. It seems like he Naderized Gilchrest.

    The bottom line is that Kratovil needs to have a dramtic turnout in the Eastern shore precincts to win. He also has to hold his own in the Baltimore suburb part of the district. He can't lose those counties by more than 20% if he is to win. They account for 43% of the district's population.

  •  The problem with this district is that it takes (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck, dufffbeer, fleisch, Dave1955

    in the most conservative Baltimore suburbs. The purpose of this district (and MD-6) was to take the most conservative Baltimore/Washington exurbs and suburbs and throw them into the state's rural districts, thus ending the careers of Bob Ehrlich and Connie Morella. It worked, although Ehrlich became Governor.

  •  Eastern Shore (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck

    I grew up on the eastern shore and still call the place home.  One thing that kinda flies under the radar is the resentment a lot of rural people feel toward Baltimore and Annapolis.  The feeling here amongst many people from all political persuasions is that we are governed by people that see our region as "fly over country".  Politicians from outside of the lower eastern shore come to Ocean City to frolic in the summer, then return home and promptly forget about the region.  Even democrats.  Most of us still remember Democrat Governor William Donald Schaefer calling our area the "outhouse" of Maryland.  I go to Baltimore and western Maryland a lot and have friends there.  None of them seem to hold any resentment toward the eastern shore nor do they understand why a lot of the people from there resent their region.  It's because they feel powerless.  They feel like becoming Mayor of Baltimore automatically makes you an heir to the Governor's chair.  

    Trivia question:  When was the last time a person from east of the Chesapeake Bay became Governor of Maryland?  

    It would be good for this area to have a man like Frank represent them.  

    What Frank needs to do is run some ads in Salisbury that mentions that he is from the shore and Harris is from Baltimore.  I would recommend that it not be the focus of the ad, but it should be stated plainly.  This would tap into the resentment without exploiting it in a McCain/Palin type of way.

    •  Last Governor from Eastern Shore (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Thelonious Bunk

      A complex question.  Harry Hughes was from Denton, but he didn't live there when he was elected governor, as far as I know.  Prior to him, it was J. Millard Tawes, who was from Crisfield, of all places.

      The resentment on the Eastern Shore goes back a long ways.  It was very isolated until the Bay Bridge was built.  As Brownsox' post puts it, it is more southern in orientation than the rest of Maryland.  There's a statue to Confederate veterans on the courthouse lawn in Easton, although Rockville might have one, too.

      Before reapportionment in the sixties, rural areas had much more representation than they had population and reapportionment did not go down well.

      Your point about resentment of Annapolis and Baltimore is right and I would include Washington, DC, as well. The endorsements of Frank by the Post and the Sun are good, but won't have much impact on the Eastern Shore and may have a contrary impact.  The local ES papers endorsements will mean more.  If 43% of the population is outside the shore than the Sun's endorsement might help overall.

      BTW, to ad to the discussion of the gerrymandered districts, Tom McMillan lost his seat in Congress as a result of all of this, as well.

      •  Governor/isolation/Harris IS the boogeyman (0+ / 0-)

        There have been a few, with Hughes being the last.  Oddly, the region is noted for its conservative lean, yet previous governors Hughes, Tawes, Harrington and Jackson were all democrats from the eastern shore. Phillip Goldsborough is the only republican from the eastern shore to become Governor and he served from 1912-16.  The other 5 republican governors were either from other states or west of the bay.  

        I really liked the point about the isolation.  Our area is very unique.  If you've ever been to Smith Island and heard their English accents then you know that.  

        With this race Andy Harris would be a terrible choice.  We're trying to clean up the Chesapeake Bay and though he calls himself an environmentalist, he simply is not.  He's a doctor that votes against health care.  How can that be?  Because he stands for nothing other than his own ego and ambition.

    •  He has, trust me (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Thelonious Bunk

      And it's part of the script for phone calls to Wicomico County. Trust me, he's got that angle covered.

      Duck Around - a blog about MD, the Shore, and getting off my lawn.

      by duck on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 08:05:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Anne Arundel's pocket of Republicanism (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    duck

    I live in the Severna Park area which is part of the 1st District and the most heavily Republican part of AA County.  When a friend of mine ran as a Dem for the State Assembly (against a whacko named Tony McConkey) I went door to door with him and many, many people told him, "I'll NEVER vote for a Democrat, no matter what."  This is a high income area with a lot of people who work at NSA in professional positions, and also a lot of current and ex-military types.  Yet Kratovil seems to have a following of sorts around here.  If he can hold his own in this area and Balt County and dominate on the Eastern Shore he can win.  My two kids in college in Mass. and Conn. have voted absentee and already cast votes for Kratovil, so who knows?

  •  Harris is staying nasty (0+ / 0-)

    Or, I should say, his front groups are. I did a blog entry on the wonderful piece of lit that was wedged in my car door as I left church today, from something called MDFamilies.org.

    Apparently, they needed to inform me than Frank Kartovil is in favor of wasteful spending, special rights for gays, and abortion on demand through 9 months. None of those are true.

    Harris is also so clueless he thinks supporting off-shore oil drilling will appeal to people who live less than 30 miles from a coastline.

    I was hoping this poll would find us in positive territory. But it looks like I got more phone calls in my future.

    Duck Around - a blog about MD, the Shore, and getting off my lawn.

    by duck on Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 07:50:31 PM PDT

    •  Andy winning Kudos for ads (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Senatorrosewater

      Kratovil press release about the top (bottom) 10 ads this season.

      Coming in at #7 is a "man on the street," ad currently being aired by Maryland State Senator Andy Harris.  Of the ad, the Politico had this to say, "This one makes it on sheer laziness. We can accept the occasional campaign volunteer serving as the "man on the street" for his or her candidate. But Harris took it to a new level – recycling the same exact people — and using the same exact footage — to attack both his primary opponent Rep. Wayne Gilchrest and his general election opponent, Frank Kratovil. The cherry is the ad’s title: "What people are saying about Frank Kratovil."

      "Just too liberal," says one guy in a warehouse.
      "He is a big spender," says a woman in a grocery store. Both clips are from the Gilchrest ad.

      Full story & all 10 ads.

  •  I've been off the Kos for a while, but... (0+ / 0-)

    This is heartening news!  While the last poll had us 2 points ahead, this is still within the margin of error.  

    Besides, we made almost 700 calls from one county HQ in one night, last week!  We will be calling every single day until we win this for Frank.

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