Zimmeran & Associates
Survey dates and sample size unknown.
The Arizona Daily Star reports today:
A statewide poll taken by Tucson-based Democratic pollsters Carol and Pete Zimmerman two weeks out from the election suggests McCain's lead over Obama falls within the margin of error: 43.5 percent to 41.5 percent, with 10 percent of likely Arizona voters undecided.
[Note: We will add this survey to the Arizona chart when we can track down survey date and sample size information. Thanks to Pollster reader BR].
Holy moly! Here's more information from The Arizona Daily Star:
A statewide poll taken by Tucson-based Democratic pollsters Carol and Pete Zimmerman two weeks out from the election suggests McCain's lead over Obama falls within the margin of error: 43.5 percent to 41.5 percent, with 10 percent of likely Arizona voters undecided.
Merrill is conducting a similar poll this weekend and predicts that the economic downturn will have narrowed McCain's advantage from the 8-percentage-point lead he enjoyed in a previous poll. The Zimmerman poll shows Obama's strength coming, as expected, from Pima County, where he has a 19-point lead over McCain. In Maricopa County, McCain holds just a 3-point lead in that poll.
Surprisingly, the poll also found that Obama was leading slightly among surveyed voters over 65 years of age, while McCain led among voters 45 and under. And Obama leads narrowly among independents. But Carol Zimmerman is careful not to overstate what the poll indicates. She still predicts McCain will win his state. And she says the closeness in the poll results says more about McCain and the 2008 election than it does about long-term political attitudes in Arizona.
It would be so damn sweet if Obama could make a quick stop in Tucson, Arizona, just to make McCain defend his own home state!