The latest Gallup Tracking poll for the Presidential Race has Senator Obama keeping a 7 point advantage over John McCain 51%-44% using an expanded likely voter model. The lead is 51% to 42% among registered voters.
PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama begins the final week of the campaign with an advantage over John McCain in both Gallup likely voter models, up by 49% to 46% using the traditional model and leading 51% to 44% using an expanded likely voter model.
http://www.gallup.com/...
The current results, based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 26-28, are essentially the same as in Tuesday's report, and show a slightly closer race than Gallup tracking had reported prior to that.
Tonight, Barack Obama is using some of his record campaign funds to air a 30-minute campaign advertisement on most major television networks. Any possible impact of the ad on voter preferences will be apparent in the coming days. Gallup has only found about 4% of likely voters to be truly undecided at this late stage of the campaign, in that they do not express a preference or leaning for Obama, McCain, nor some other candidate.
Obama has a slightly larger lead among the pool of all registered voters, currently at 51% to 42%. These percentages have been stable throughout October, and the current figures precisely match the average for the month to date. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)
It's good to see the National numbers stabilizing at about 4-9 points. We are all looking forward to a new bounce from tonite's 30-minute ad, and the joint Clinton rally.
I think we are between a nice 300-310 ev victory and a +350 blowout.
I think the safe road to 270 is holding the Kerry States (252) +Iowa, NM, VA, CO, OH.
Ofcourse, we want FL, NC, IN, MO, MT; As far as GA, AZ, ND...who knows.
I do know that there are enough outliers out there to give the GOP a glimmer of hope and in a way that
is good because it keeps us working until the end, and it will make their defeat all the more crushing next Tuesday evening!
What do you think?