Skip to main content

I'm from the philly area and I know everyone gives Mason-Dixon enormous credit around here, but everyone is so excited about Obama, so what is going on here?

Andrea Mitchell made the announcement just now on MSNBC and they put up the numbers officially, wasn't just an off-the-cuff remark

So does anyone know what polls are the "gold standard" (say in 2004) in PA, and if MD is some outlier...and if so why?

I grew up in racist, yes racist, Northeast PA, and i know those people won't vote for Obama simply because he is black

I am worried, I am a chronic worrier, but at least i have a reason, a +4 only poll, and we all know undecideds in PA are going to break hard for McCain more than any other battleground state

Edit:

HERE ARE THE 2004 POLL RESULTS AND ACTUAL RESULTS

Everyone is citing CNN...uhh they had Bush up +4, and were terrible off, I do not trust them in PA

Mason Dixon had Kerry up +2, EXACTLY how the race turned out...with my friends in Northeast PA going heavy for Kerry, race playing no factor

Qpac was off 2 points in PA, and they're from here...jesus that bothered me

zogby...ignore, and was wrong anyway

SurveyUSA was swinging between +4 and +1

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/...

^see for yourself

I don't even see a lot of these current polls being active in 2004

EDIT 2X: As someone has noted, Obama is up +2 from a month ago in MD, that is relevant info

Originally posted to Draxinum on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:28 AM PDT.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site