The latest detailed NY Times polling polling includes people beliefs on issues. McCain’s focus on taxes, seems to be having some effect, as a growing number of voters now say Mr. McCain would not raise their taxes, while Obama would.
NY Times Poll October 25-29 (compared to October 10-13)
"Would the candidate raise taxes on people like yourself, or not?"
Obama: would=50% (46%), not=44% (41%), no opinion=6% (12%)
McCain: would=46% (51%), not=47% (38%), no opinion=7% (11%)
Compared to these false beliefs, the NY Times also published the most detailed breakdown of how the two candidates tax proposals would actually play out for different people under different scenarios.
And I would also like to show again the better graphics showing how many people are in each tax-income bracket. Follow me below...
The Obama campaign has pushed back with, among other things, their own tax calculator tool:
Obama-Biden Tax Calculator
Barack Obama and Joe Biden will cut taxes for 95% of working families, and provide at least three times as much tax relief for middle class families as John McCain and Sarah Palin. The Obama/Biden plan provides $1,000 of tax relief for workers and new tax benefits to help families pay for college, childcare and save for retirement.
Per the NY Times here are the facts:
Independent analyses of the presidential candidates’ tax proposals show that those who make less than $250,000 a year would not see their taxes raised under Senator Barack Obama’s plans. Further, Mr. Obama would generally cut taxes more than Senator John McCain would for households with incomes less than $100,000 a year.
Mr. McCain would cut taxes generally on par with Mr. Obama for those making $100,000 to $250,000 a year, the analyses found, but those making $250,000 a year and above would typically pay less in taxes under Mr. McCain.
The analyses were conducted independently by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Urban Institute and the Brookings Institution, and Deloitte, the accounting giant, at the request of The New York Times.
And here is how it looks in detail for different scenarios:
1. Case Studies of Tax Proposals:
Now that is far more complete, but also a bit complicated to follow.
Here is the standard way that most sources have displayed the effect of the two tax plans by income group.
1A. Tax Plan Comparison by Income Group:
However, the graphic above misleads, because it does not show how many people, or what percent of the population, actually belongs in each group.
The graphic below show more clearly just how disproportionate the effect is, with McCain's tax break being far more for a tiny proportion of people, and conversely Obama's increase being for a small proportion, with much bigger breaks for many more people.
2b. Tax Plan Comparison by Income Group Weighted by Number of People Actually Effected:
I hope folks will find ways to use this material to push back on the continued lies of the McCain campaign and the Republicans in general.