I predict every result in the upcoming Presidential election and senate elections, including the electoral college, based on Gallup polling, voter registration statistics and past election results. I predict a high African American turnout and a high youth turnout. No governor races or house races.
Voter turnout: 145 Million Americans.
The Presidential Race
Popular Vote (Rounded to One-Millions)
Barack Obama / Joe Biden: 76,000,000 - 52.4%
John McCain / Sarah Palin: 68,000,000 - 46.9%
Other: 1,000,000 - .7%
Electoral College
Obama: 353 Electoral votes.
McCain: 185 Electoral votes.
True tossups won by Obama: North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, Colorado.
True tossups won by McCain: Indiana, Missouri.
The Senate Race
Colorado: Bob Schaffer (R) vs. Mark Udall (D)
Idaho: Jim Risch (R) vs. Larry LaRocco (D)
Nebraska: Mike Johanns (R) vs. Scott Kleeb (D)
New Mexico: Steve Pearce (R) vs. Tom Udall (D)
Virginia: Jim Gilmore (R) vs. Mark Warner (D)
Arkansas: Mark Pryor (D) (No Republican Challenger or Third Party Challenger Polling Above 20%)
Deleware: Christine O'Donnel (R) vs. Joe Biden (D) [Ruth Anne Miller (D) to be appointed by Governor]
Illinois: Steve Sauerberg (R) vs. Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa: Christopher Reed (R) vs. Tom Harkin (D)
Louisiana: John N. Kennedy (R) vs. Mary Landrieu (D)
Massachusetts: Jeff Beatty (R) vs. John Kerry (D)
Michigan: Jack Hoogendyk (R) vs. Carl Levin (D)
Montana: Bob Kelleher (R) vs. Max Baucus (D)
New Jersey: Dick Zimmer (R) vs. Frank Lautenberg (D)
Rhode Island: Robert Tingle (R) vs. Jack Reed (D)
South Dakota: Joel Dykstra (R) vs. Tim Johnson (D)
West Virginia: Jay Wolfe (R) vs. Jay Rockefeller (D)
Alabama: Jeff Sessions (R) vs. Vivian Davis Figures (D)
Alaska: Ted Stevens (R) vs. Mark Begich (D)
Georgia: Saxby Chambliss (R) vs. Jim Martin (D)
Kansas: Pat Roberts (R) vs. Jim Slattery (D)
Kentucky: Mitch McConnell (R) vs. Bruce Lunsford (D)
Maine: Susan Collins (R) vs. Tom Allen (D)
Minnesota: Norm Coleman (R) vs. Al Franken (D)
Mississippi: Thad Cochran (R) vs. Erik R. Fleming (D)
Mississippi: Roger Wicker (R) vs. Ronnie Musgrove (D)
New Hampshire: John E. Sununu (R) vs. Jeanne Shaheen (D)
North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma: James Inhofe (R) vs. Andrew Rice (D)
Oregon: Gordon Smith (R) vs. Jeff Merkley (D)
South Carolina: Lindsey Graham (R) vs. Bob Conley (D)
Tennessee: Lamar Alexander (R) vs. Bob Tuke (D)
Texas: John Cornyn (R) vs. Rick Noriega (D)
Wyoming: Mike Enzi (R) vs. Chris Rothfuss (D)
Wyoming: John Barasso (R) vs. Nick Carter (D)
Republican Victories: 15 Democratic Victories: 20
Overall: Democrats +8
New Senate: 59 Democrats* | 41 Republicans
(* 57 Democrats + 2 Democratic Leaning Independents)
No real upsets here, with agreeable polls for all of my predictions save for two. Al Franken's victory in Minnesota might be something of an upset as would an Obama victory in North Carolina.
Feel free to taunt me on Wednesday, or give me some props. We'll see.