I know we're all addicted to polls, so I thought I'd post yet another poll diary, but since it has good news, I hope I won't get flamed, because we all need good news with our nerves frayed at this point in the campaign.
PPP released their VA poll (along with the PA poll which has already been diared. In case you haven't seen the PA numbers, PPP has it O + 8).
Public Policy Polling’s final Virginia survey finds Barack Obama with a
52-46 lead in the state. Obama led in all seven polls PPP conducted in Virginia this year.
Obama’s lead is down from 52-43 last week, an indication that undecided voters might be moving toward John McCain. Nonetheless Obama is holding strong over the 50% mark.
Obama is winning more Republican voters (13%) than McCain is Democratic voters (9%). Obama is also holding a slight lead with independents, 49-47.
Obama has held tight at 42% of the white vote since last week. McCain’s share has increased from 53% to 56%. That’s not going to be good enough for him given the 20% black portion of the electorate, and Obama’s 91-9 lead within that group.
"Virginia has really become a firewall for Barack Obama," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "Even if he ends up losing in places like Florida and Ohio, it still seems pretty certain that he’ll win here, and there aren’t a lot of scenarios where he wins Virginia and doesn’t take the Presidency along with him."
PPP VA
My prediction for VA? Obama 51 McCain 48, Other 1
A win is a win is a win. Sleep well, and GOTV!