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The Minnesota Secretary of State just updated its numbers to show Frankin closing the gap by a total of 100 votes in the recount, which brings the difference to 115.  60.6 percent of the vote has now been counted.  The Minnesota Secretary of State last updated its numbers Friday night at 8 p.m.  At that time 42.33% of the votes had been recounted.

UPDATE:  The StarTribune just updated their numbers to show Coleman's lead down to 120 votes with 64% of the votes counted.

Update 2 The Star Tribune pulled the update back. Will update again when they do.

Update 3 Update back up with no apparent changes.

UPDATE 4:  The silver lining in this evening's StarTribune numbers is that Minneapolis is only 28% counted.

Note making the calculation is a bit confusing.  Subtract the Nov 4 Ballots cast from each candidate from the recount total.  Coleman lost 54 votes.  Franken lost 440 votes.  The difference of 100 is subtracted from the original difference of 215 to arrive at 115.  

It is noteworthy that the votes already counted were from areas that voted almost 2% higher for Coleman.  One would hope that the under votes in those areas would slightly favor Coleman.  

More remarkable, however, is the fact that Franken has now overtaken Coleman in challenges.  It is widely reported that most challenges are not upheld.  However, challenged voted ARE NOT counted in the recount totals while they remain challenged.  Therefore the candidate with fewer of their votes challenged is likely to pick up around the difference between the two candidates challenges.  That difference now favors Coleman by 31 (Coleman has challenged 747 and Franken has challenged 778).  So the bottom line is that although Coleman's lead decreased by 11 from the Star Tribune's Thursday night update, Franken's challenge margin over Coleman increased by 26.  (For our purposes it is better to have fewer challenges).  The bottom line is that Franken did not pick up any ground in the 14% of the vote that was counted Friday.  

UPDATE:  The StarTribune shows the Franken-Coleman challenge difference narrowing a bit to 27 more challenges by Franken.  

MINNEAPOLIS is only 28% counted.  Between Franken and Coleman; it was Franken 78% Coleman 22%.  The odd thing is that Coleman has picked up a net of 35 votes in Minneapolis (with 8 more challenges).  I do note that the 8th Ward has not reported at all, and that is right in the heart of the city.  

MINNEAPOLIS 8TH WARD has not reported any recount numbers.  Coleman only got 10% in this inner city area.  This is the type of area Franken is hoping to find undervotes.   Hennepin County (Minneapolis) numbersHere.

Originally posted to speet on Fri Nov 21, 2008 at 06:28 PM PST.


Who will win the recount

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63%280 votes

| 444 votes | Vote | Results

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