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  This is the first in what will be a series of diaries previewing the Senate seats that may be competitive in 2010.  This is the last cycle that we will be on "offense" before we need to revert back to defense in 2012.  Ohio is among those states that has a potential to be competive.  Back in 2004, the Incumbent George Voinovich won reelection with 64% of the vote over then State Senator Eric Fingerhut.
 Voinovich has dropped in popularity, with a Februrary 2008 SUSA Poll showing him with a 42% approval rating.  Several PPP Polls showed him either slighty ahead, tied, or even behind possible challengers. I will preview the possible candidates...

Tim Ryan: A very young House Member, Ryan was elected in 2002 to the seat held by then Congressman Traficant.  He beat Rep. Tom Sawyer in the primary and hasn't had too much of an issue sense.  His Progressive Punch score puts him at num ber 99/ 435 members.  He is very anti-war, but is pro-life and anti-gun control.  The PPP Poll had him tied with Voinovich.

Betty Sutton: A true Progressive, Sutton also beat Tom Sawyer, as well as Capri Cafaro to get the right to beat Lorain Mayor Craig Foltin in 2006.  She is very similar to Sherrod Brown in her politics.  I feel that she would be the best choice for Progressives to rally around.  

The Mayors: Jackson, Coleman, McLin.  All three present opportunities in their candidacies, but also risks.  I feel that McLin and Coleman would have the best chance of winning.  Jackson has the "Cuyahoga County" problem that has brought down many a Democrat in this state.

Zack Space: Winning a 60-40% reelection on Tuesday, Space carries a much more centrist voting record.  He does have a strong base in his district that could be used to catapault him to the Senate.  It would be tough to hold his House seat.

Capri Cafaro: Really?

Dennis Kucinich: Doubtful he could win statewide, but he doesn't mind seemngly impossible races.

Lee Fisher:  Actually had a lead in the PPP poll!!  Hasn't won statewide by himself since the year I was born!! (1990)  He is my second choice after Sutton.  Then again every recent Ohio Senator has lost a statewide race for something at some point so Fisher may be the best choice.

Jennifer Brunner:  I really like Brunner, but she needs to beat Jon Husted for reelection.  Governor 2014?

Hackett:  Not sure what to make of him.  His almost bid in 2006 was awkward.  

What do you guys think?

Originally posted to liberal intellectual on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 03:34 PM PST.

Poll

Who should be the Democratic Nominee for U.S. Senate from Ohio in 2010?

30%72 votes
13%33 votes
4%10 votes
0%0 votes
4%11 votes
2%5 votes
1%4 votes
8%21 votes
5%12 votes
12%29 votes
0%0 votes
0%2 votes
9%23 votes
1%4 votes
4%10 votes

| 236 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  I'm not convinced (6+ / 0-)

    Voino will run - at the Petraeus hearings this year, he seemed quite disgusted with Bush, and wouldn't really relish continuous attacks for having supported him.

    •  I thought that too but (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Ahianne, Big Danny
      he announced he is running and he's already fund-raising. He looks so tired whenever I see him, and he got such a beat-down at the hands of right-wing groups when he opposed Bush's tax cuts initially and the appopintment of Boltin to the UN. He seems to be determined to hang in, although I supposed his mind might be changed by what happens this year. In that case. the GOP will have problems. their bench isn't that deep, although Portman or Kasich might give up the idea of challenging the very popular Gov. Strickland in 2010 and go for it. I heard a delicious rumour at one point that Ken Blackwell would throw his hat in the ring, but the GOP would drive him out of Ohio before letting that happen, considering the thorough trouncing he got from Strickland in 2006.
  •  Yeah, I agree... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ahianne

    Which case there will be a crazy GOP primary too!!

  •  Rhine McLin (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ahianne, last patriot left

    I voted for her. She's done a lot of firsts in Ohio, so she may as well become the first female and first African American Senator from Ohio. And having an actual embalmer in the US Senate would be, well, interesting.

    •  My concern is (5+ / 0-)
      how some of these candidates would run statewide. First of all, Brunner's off the list. She's already planning  her re-election as secretary of state and she is way too vital not only to our elections but to apportionment to throw that slot up for grabs. Elections are her passion and her point of experience. She's not in the running/ And Rich Cordray, often mentioned as a potential candidate, is out too, with his election last week to his ideal job as attorney general to fill out Marc Dann's term. The post-election email from his campaign reminded us he would need us again very soon to help get him re-elected for a full term in 2010.

      Coleman might be viable because he's already taken a stab at a statewide run (governor in 2006, dropped out of the primary due to personal issues which may or may not be resolved- his wife's alcoholosm). The oter mayors may not run well statewide. Kucinich would be a disaster of epic proportions but he's not enoguh of a team player for the Democrats to give him a serious look, and i think he's happy representing his district. He would be horrible downstate, worst than Fingerhut who is a great guy, very smart and effective, but cannot talk to non-urban voters that well (He's currently chancellor of higher education in the Strikcland administration).

      Ryan is clearly going for it. He has been re-positioning himself effectively on choice for a couple of years now, not so much reversing his own deeply held Catholic beliefs as being more open about expressing his respect for other peoples' beliefs and also being one of the most vocal proponents of Prevention First, to prevent unwanted pregnancies through comprehensive sex education and improved access to birth control, as well as providing better pre- and post-natal care services for pregnant women.

      As for guns, some progressives may get all hot and bothered about this issue, but frankly, it's not liability. Gov. Strickland is pro-gun and he crushed Ken Blackwell by 24 points. Frankly, this isn't a passionate, litmus-test issue for me, much as I'd like to see more controls on gun distribution. I don't think it's even remotely a deal-breaker. Ryan is one of the best progressives we've got.

      Yes, Sutton is the best progressive, but she's establishing herself as a real rising star in the House in a mere two years and I don't think she'd go head to head with Ryan for it. Zack Space is pretty new to national electoral politics too, having been elected the same year as Sutton. He doesn't have much statewide recognition and has focused on serving his district and sponsoring legislation tailored to its rural needs.

      •  like to know more about Ryan (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Ahianne, Big Danny

        His anti-war speeches from the House floor (I learned of him from youtube) were occasionally awesome. How do you think his anti-war stuff (and Catholicism, for that matter) would play in SE Ohio outside of Athens County?

        Zack Space? Leave him where he is; not bigger-league material, IMSIHO (the "SI" means "semi-informed")

        •  I think his pro-life and anti-gun control (3+ / 0-)

          stances would help him get elected statewide.

          But remember, Ohio elected truly progressive Sherrod Brown in 2006.

          I love Tim Ryan. He is a rising star in the party. I don't like his pro-life and anti-gun control stances, and for that reason I'd never support him for Pres or VP, but I think he can be a party leader in the Senate. He is a great speaker, and especially entertaining when he articulates his anti-war positions.

          "Be ashamed to die until you have won some victory for humanity." -Horace Mann

          by Big Danny on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 04:38:46 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

  •  Obama may steal some of these folks away first... (4+ / 0-)

    for work in his administration, so some may not be available in 2010.  Speaking of the 2010 election, it is KEY that the Dems continue to maintain control of at least 2 of the 3 elected spots for the apportionment board, in hopes of reversing the past gerrymandering of the Repubs...so we can turn the state even bluer in subsequent elections!

    The November 2010 Democratic Tsunami Approacheth!

    by Public Servant on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 04:03:18 PM PST

  •  My heart (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ahianne, metal prophet

    breaks that Stephanie Tubbs Jones is not guiding our state any longer - she would have been my first choice.

    I like Coleman, but I don't think it would work because of family problems.

    Tim Ryan is well spoken as is Paul Hackett - guess I'd go with Ryan first.

    My country 'tis of thee, sweet land of liberty, of thee I sing.

    by buckeye voter on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 04:13:57 PM PST

  •  Interesting Diary (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ahianne

    I would be very interested in who Sherrod and Strickland like.  I must be honest, there are very few on your list that I have heard of here in Northwest Ohio.

  •  I like Tim Ryan (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Ahianne, Big Danny

    His only "drawback" is that he is pro-life. We had a lot of diaries about that when Bob Casey Jr. was running for Senate.

  •  Voinovich is an asshole. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mightymouse

    There. I said it.

    Totally undeserved free ride in the media. Centrist reputation, right-wing voting record. Terrible, absolutely terrible record as mayor of Cleveland. Palling around with drug dealers and crooked cops.

    There's not one thing wrong with Voinovich. Everything is wrong with Voinovich.

    God, what a twit.

  •  Not many good choices. (0+ / 0-)
  •  My 2 cents as an Ohioan (0+ / 0-)

    I think Voino will retire. He may make one last run as a crusade to keep some sort of moderation in the Repug party. Not that he is moderate, maybe to whacko R's he is.

    I would say leave Zack Space where he is. He clobbered his opponent, and recall how unlikely a D could win the old Ney seat in the first place. Let Zack rise up in the House. Most of his district voted for McCain.

    Tim Ryan is great. I do not agree with him on abortion. However, that may be a good thing for a statewide run. I know Sherrod Brown is pro-choice and won, so maybe that is a wash.

    I really like Paul Hackett. I hated how he was treated by the D hierarchy. "Please run since Sherrod is not. Oh nevermind, get lost, Sherrod is going to run after all. Sorry."

    One last reason for Hackett, he is from southern Ohio. Ohio has a distinct divide, delineated by I-70. Even though we are fairly, err ok totally, red down here. It would be nice to see a D that the local R's might consider. Don't get me wrong, I love Sherrod, but I like senators to kind of balance things out. So have one senator that is tuned to rural issues and one with a more urban focus.

    Anyhow...my 2 cents.

    The early worm gets eaten.

    by localpol on Sun Nov 09, 2008 at 07:21:21 PM PST

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