Delegate Count: The Whole Story

The first table below shows pledged delegate counts state-by-state, based on estimates from CBS, CNN, and NBC. (ABC is now excluded because they no longer report pledged delegates separately from superdelegates.)

Number not bold or italic mean that either that 1) this is the consensus estimate of the state's final delegate count, or 2) the estimate comes from the state Democratic party.

Numbers in italics mean that there is a substantial consensus about the state's final delegate count, but that one or more news organizations estimate differently.

Numbers in bold mean that there is no consensus on the state's final delegate allocation. For those states I've substituted my own estimate.

The second table shows, for the bold and italics states, the current estimates from CBS, CNN, and NBC. That way you can see whether my estimate is reasonable.

State	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	TCTC	Total
Alabama	25	27			52
Alaska	4	9			13
Am. Samoa	2	1			3
Arizona	31	25			56
Arkansas	27	8			35
California	207	163			370
Colorado	19	36			55
Connecticut	22	26			48
Delaware	6	9			15
Georgia	27	60			87
Idaho	3	15			18
Iowa	15	16	14		45
Illinois	49	104			153
Kansas	9	23			32
Louisiana	22	34			56
Maine	9	15			24
Massachusetts	55	38			93
Minnesota	24	48			72
Missouri	36	36			72
Nebraska	8	16			24
Nevada	12	13			25
New Hampshire	9	9	4		22
New Jersey	59	48			107
New Mexico	13	12		1	26
New York	139	93			232
North Dakota	5	8			13
Oklahoma	24	14			38
South Carolina	12	25	8		45
Tennessee	40	28			68
Utah	9	14			23
Virgin Islands		3			3
Washington	26	52			78
Pledged Delegates	948	1028	26	1	2003

State	Source	Clinton	Obama	TBD
Colorado
	Me	19	36	0
	CBS	9	19	27
	CNN	9	19	27
	NBC	9	19	27
Georgia
	Me	27	60	0
	CBS	26	61	0
	CNN	27	57	3
	NBC	24	50	13
Louisiana
	Me	22	34	0
	CBS	22	34	0
	CNN	22	33	1
	NBC	20	28	8
Maine
	Me	9	15	0
	CBS	9	14	1
	CNN	9	15	0
	NBC	0	0	24
Washington
	Me	26	52	0
	CBS	15	43	20
	CNN	15	35	28
	NBC	12	25	41
Alabama
	AL Dems	25	27	0
	CBS	24	25	3
	CNN	25	26	1
	NBC	23	25	4
Arizona
	Me	31	25	0
	CBS	30	25	1
	CNN	31	25	0
	NBC	31	25	0
Arkansas
	Me	27	8	0
	CBS	27	8	0
	CNN	27	8	0
	NBC	25	8	2
California
	Me	207	163	0
	CBS	207	163	0
	CNN	204	160	6
	NBC	207	163	0
Illinois
	Me	52	101	0
	CBS	48	104	1
	CNN	49	104	0
	NBC	48	99	4
New York
	Me	139	93	0
	CBS	138	93	1
	CNN	139	93	0
	NBC	138	93	1
Tennessee
	TN Dems	40	28	0
	CBS	38	28	2
	CNN	40	28	0
	NBC	33	29	4
Superdelegates
	CBS	211	137
	CNN	224	135

•  You need to repost the tables

  The formatting is totally gone.

  by JeffinQC on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:21:42 AM PDT

•  Hoo boy. This has problems

  in it's appearance.

  by MTmofo on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:22:02 AM PDT

  •  But the substance is outstanding

    Particularly high marks for transparency -- reporting totals from services with whom you disagree.  Helps a lot.

    by djs on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:42:34 AM PDT

•  E for Effort

  by Feanor on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:24:18 AM PDT

  •  Exactly. Even tough my scroll thumb is sore,

    there are good intentions here.

    by begone on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:26:21 AM PDT

•  working...<nt>

  by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:26:35 AM PDT

  •  Buffering... Buffering...

    by soros on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:27:41 AM PDT

•  Let's see

  American Samoa: 6 delegates worth half a vote, so it's a 1.5-1.5 tie.

  Idaho: Supposedly Clinton failing to get the 15% viability threshold in Ada county set of a chain reaction where she lost viability in CD2 and statewide, and Obama wins 17-1

  by jfern on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:35:25 AM PDT

•  Seems to match up well enough

  with the numbers I'm seeing from other people who actually took the time to estimate ALL the Super Tuesday delegates, rather than the networks which continue to ignore all of the unconfirmed Obama-leaning super tuesday delegates while mixing the entirely useless superdelegate numbers in with the pledged delegates.

  by Skaje on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:53:01 AM PDT

•  I felt as if I was falling! n/t

  by Fishgrease on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:57:50 AM PDT

  •  hehe,

    

    by Libertaria on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:02:12 AM PDT

    •  Eeeep that's creepy!

      It's great. Just that it looks like my dad... only 3 feet tall.

      I'm not gonna dream about this.

      I'm not gonna dream about this.

      I'm not gonna dream about this.

      I'm not gonna dream about this.

      I'm not gonna dream about this.

      by Fishgrease on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:07:47 AM PDT

•  oh, it's coming...

  ...and it's going to be so awesome when it does.

  by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 02:59:55 AM PDT

•  Yeah, but whatever the numbers,

  don't forget that Hillary gets all those quasi-delegates from Michigan and Fla. Numbers, schmumbers!

  by Libertaria on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:04:22 AM PDT

•  wish the media would breakout pledged vs. superD

  It's really frustrating to see "news" outfits like the NY Times just publish the total of pledged plus superD, as if the superdelegates are firm, unchangeable figures.  I know they want to prop up Hillary, but they really do a disservice to their readers.

  BTW, you need to change the formatting of your diary if you want folks to read it.  There's WAY too much white space.

  by davidkc on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:19:12 AM PDT

  •  they nyt is the worst....

    ...they don't report caucus state delegates.

    has the impact of making obama look far far behind hillary when he's actually leading.

    by JedReport on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:57:48 AM PDT

    •  NYT doing its best to get Hillary elected

      But it ain't gonna work.

      by davidkc on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:01:18 AM PDT

  •  tell me about it

    I just noticed that ABC isn't reporting pledged delegates and superdelegates separately anymore in their state results.

    That makes them pretty well useless for this project.

    Way to destroy information, guys.

    by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:38:01 AM PDT

•  and, repaired<nt>

  by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:28:23 AM PDT

  •  A tip for perserverance.

    That's all sorts of better.

    by MTmofo on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:13:36 AM PDT

    •  thanks

      If you're trying to use tables in your diary, DailyKos is unspeakably cruel.

      by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:15:28 AM PDT

      •  try edit grid

        i am not sure how to use it but i think you can just create a table/image and embed it.

        http://www.editgrid.com

        by JedReport on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:38:05 AM PDT

        •  looks good now tho! nt

          by JedReport on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:38:43 AM PDT

•  Democrats Abroad delegates are not in there

  yet. Do we have the totals yet?

  by Overseas on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:45:49 AM PDT

  •  no estimates yet

    from ABC, CBS, CNN, or NBC.

    by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:47:11 AM PDT

    •  Here's Obama's estimates.

      http://origin.barackobama.com/...

      if you add in yesterday's results, he's probably got a 1015 to 938 range, then if you adjust a bit for obama's optimism, maybe 1010 to 943?

      whoo boy, i just checked that estimate against yours -- perfect match.

      by JedReport on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 03:56:52 AM PDT

      •  hmm...

        Thanks for the URL. I'll be interested to see what the Obama campaign thinks about today.

        After Super Tuesday they got their estimates into the media's hands very quickly, to try to frame the issue.

        by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:22:17 AM PDT

        •  They had it 1012-940

          I saw that somewhere on their blog last night.

          by acerimusdux on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 06:32:14 AM PDT

•  formatting

  Just fyi, changing the table tag to:
  table width="250" cellspacing cellpadding border="1"

  gets:
  

  State	Clinton	Obama	Edwards	TCTC	Total
  Alabama	25	27			52
  Alaska	4	9			13
  Pledged Delegates	942	1010	26	1	1935

  by i know on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:46:16 AM PDT

  •  would a border help?

    If so, I can put one in.

    I'm not going to try cellpadding or cellspacing, though -- dailykos rejects your entry if you use those.

    by social democrat on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 04:48:34 AM PDT

•  why is alabama a tie?

  that was a 15point victory in votes, why the tie?

  by Steven R on Sun Feb 10, 2008 at 06:28:55 AM PDT