Daily Kos

Barack's VP choices with poll

Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:06:40 PM PDT

After canvassing in the ice and snow this weekend for Barack Obama in Rhode Island, I have gotten myself pretty sick.  It was not the cold weather as much as shaking numerous hands (how do professional politicians stay healthy?)

Anyway, watching the Clinton campaign flailing this weekend, I am pretty confident that this race will be over on March 4.

After we have selected the nominee, the nominee selects the running mate.  So, who will it be?

Why am I so confident that Barack Obama will be our nominee?  

He does not need to win Ohio and Texas, he just needs to keep it close enough that it makes it mathematically impossible for Hillary Clinton to catchup with the delegate count with the last remaining races (unless she wins 75% of the vote in PA, which is impossible).

And what do the latest polls tell us of Ohio and Texas?

"Momentum is rapidly swinging Barack Obama's way in Ohio," according to a new Public Policy Polling survey.

Sen. Hillary Clinton's lead over Obama has been cut to four points, 50% to 46%. Just a couple weeks ago Clinton held a lead over 20 points in some polls.

Key factor: "Obama is benefiting from the decided nature of the Republican contest. That's increasing the number of Republicans and independents who plan to cast their ballots in the Democratic primary next week, and Obama leads those groups 80% to 13% and 64% to 33% respectively. Clinton actually has a 56% to 40% edge among self identified Democrats."

http://politicalwire.com/...

Two new polls from the American Research Group:

   * Texas: Obama 50%, Clinton 42%
   * Ohio: Clinton 49%, Obama 39%

http://politicalwire.com/...

As I mentioned above, the Clinton campaign is flailing.  Next you will hear that she has shaved her head, attacked Barack's car while shouting, "I drink your milkshake!"

OK, so who does Barack Obama select as his running mate?

Check out the poll with, who I think, is on Barack's short list.

Update -

There are quite a few people that I have left off the poll but I cannot edit or update it (darn it, dKos).

This list could be over 100 people long if I include every Democratic governor and senator currently in office (most likely VP candidates, especially those from red states).  

Poll

Barack Obama's running mate

11%83 votes
4%34 votes
11%85 votes
10%79 votes
15%119 votes
20%157 votes
25%192 votes

| 749 votes | Vote | Results

Tags: Barack Obama, VP (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 142 comments

  •  To quote someone else earlier this week: (14+ / 0-)

    Winning Texas and Ohio for VP
    Not Counting Chickens for Sec of State
    No Placing Cart Before Horse for Attorney general

    Absolute Horror: The Best in Bad Horror Movies

    by dansac on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:07:36 PM PDT

  •  President Obama will usher in (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    kissfan, catchaz

    a new progressive era for these United States

    John W. McCain, Bush's third term.

    by aaraujo on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:07:46 PM PDT

  •  I think it's fair to work with Clinton (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    theboz

    And makes the most sense.  but My personal order of choice would be

    1. Howard Dean
    1. Bill Richardson
    1. Wesley Clark
    1. John Edwards
    1. Hillary Clinton
  •  I believe the proper term is "retired general" (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    pat208, Tamar

    I could be wrong, and you can't change the poll anyway, but I thought I'd mention it.

    Al Qaeda No. 2: "We don't kill innocents." GW Bush: "We don't torture." How tragic that both statements bring the same snort of disbelief....

    by PatsBard on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:09:34 PM PDT

  •  Edwards all the way! (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    polecat, cjallen, BlueGenes

    The two of them would make a great team, and it would set up Edwards nicely to take over in 2016.

    "It depends on what the meaning of the word 'is' is."

    by Ivoryox on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:10:44 PM PDT

  •  First take HIllary off ballot in Ohio & Texas (0+ / 0-)

    because I don't like her running against our Obama.

    Then let Ohio & Texas voters choose Obama VP, using this ballot.

    PS--Wes Clark's vile reference to "New York money people" running our Mideast foreign poicy disqualifies him. Most voters don't appreciate bigotry.

    •  yes but (0+ / 0-)

      unlike Sen. Maccacca who managed to censor for years any news media mention of Jews in his background -- Clark said up front in the last election cycle that he was proud to be 1/2 Jewish.  While it doesn't excuse the "NY money people," it may soften it a bit.
      And I do wonder how a smart man (I don't mean Maccacca) could say such a dumb thing.  Unless he really is naive and really meant "New York" when he said "New York."

      If, in our efforts to win, we become as dishonest as our opponents on the right, we don't deserve to triumph.

      by Tamar on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:37:21 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Oh christ,,, (0+ / 0-)

      a new low.  "Our" Obama?  He's not mine, buddy.  You can have him.

      And frankly, I find your entire post offensive.

      Hillary happens to be a Democrat, in case you've forgotten.

      "But your flag decal won't get you into heaven anymore"--Prine 4070+ dead Americans. Bring them home.

      by Miss Blue on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 01:21:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The senior senator from your state (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    cjallen

    Sen. Jack Reed. I dont know if he wants to be VP, but I think he would be a good choice.

  •  who would we like to see (0+ / 0-)

    running for President in 2016? That's the question.

  •  Tim Kaine. (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    jj32, goodlittlesquid, alba

    Tim. Kaine.  That's who it's going to be.

    •  good choice (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      goodlittlesquid

      John W. McCain, Bush's third term.

      by aaraujo on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:16:53 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I hope not (0+ / 0-)

      He still has a lot to prove in VA.  At this point he is just a smaller version of Mark Warner.

      Most of his VA initiatives are stalled or dying, he's juggling all kinds of budget issues, he hasn't really worked any major deals out with the GOP Statehouse.

      He rode in on Warner's coat tails and he's still earning his own stripes.

      I like him, don't get me wrong, but Virgnia already realizes its in a bit of a governmental denouement after the Warner Administration.

      But that WOULD be a good cabinet pick.  He can only serve one term as Gov-VA so it would be good for him to step up on the National Stage as a Secretary of HHS or Energy or something.

      Thinking men can not be ruled. --Ayn Rand

      by Wisper on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:35:02 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  They all have issues. (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    cjallen

    I just don't know anymore. I almost am leaning Edwards, since at least it would galvanize some of the fractured Democratic base. But I just don't know. I'll bet the Obama team is sweating this decision, too.

  •  If Obama is really the candidate for Change (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    cjallen, tcdup

    His choice of VP will probably blow our pants off from the surprise.

    We're shocked by a naked nipple, but not by naked aggression.

    by Lepanto on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:23:38 PM PDT

  •  Joe Biden (2+ / 0-)

    Shores up a perceived weakness of Obama's.  They are friends, and, while Biden has ruled out being VP for Clinton, he has not ruled out being VP for Obama.

    Also fairly attractive to Southern whites and corporatists.

    Ancora Impara--Michelangelo

    by aravir on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:25:23 PM PDT

    •  Why I like Biden (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      Over the Edge, steve2012

      He's a kick ass attack dog who can be ruthlessly tough while seeming down to earth, he exposes Rethug bullshit with common sense, matter of fact lines.  He would have Obama's back, and he's going to need that.

      On the down side, he doesn't win us a state like VA or OH...but tough to say if that ever works out that way because of a VP pick anyway.

      And to think I use to like the Clintons...

      by hollywood politcaljunkie on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:27:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I find it very interesting that Biden (0+ / 0-)

        has gotten such a great reputation as a "kick ass attack dog," (a compliment, of course) given his spineless chairing of Clarence Thomas' confirmation hearings.  He was just awful and let the Repubs get away with anything.  I lost all respect for him then and have only started liking him again in the last few years.
        In addition, he's known for his "foot in mouth" problems.  

        If, in our efforts to win, we become as dishonest as our opponents on the right, we don't deserve to triumph.

        by Tamar on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:44:14 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Come on (0+ / 0-)

      Biden should already be thinking if his new business cards should read:
      Joseph Biden, Jr - Secretary of State or
      Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr - Secretary of State

      That's about the only decision left to be made in my mind.

      Thinking men can not be ruled. --Ayn Rand

      by Wisper on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:37:03 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  A few other names to consider (3+ / 0-)

    Definitely too early to be playing this game -- we still need to nail down the nomination

    That said, I'd definitely enlarge the list beyond some of the names you have:

    Sen. Jack Reed -- strong military cred, solid with blue collar Democratic base, although RI doesn't really add anything to the ticket

    Retired General Anthony Zinni -- intriguing possibility, opposed Iraq war

    Senator Joe Biden -- impressed everyone on foreign policy in the primaries

    Sen. Bill Nelson -- a little conservative for my taste, but would be useful in FL

    ex- Sen. Sam Nunn - has zero attraction to me, but I've seen his name mentioned in other places. Has done good work on nuclear proliferation since leaving the Senate

    Sen. John Kerry -- I don't see it, think his time has come and gone, but he has huge name recognition and would be fun to see him go out to get revenge on the swiftboaters

    Gov. Brian Schweitzer -- great populist appeal, good campaigner, would play well in the mountain west

    Sen. Sherrod Brown or Gov. Ted Strickland - both could put Ohio in play. Brown would play well in mid-western industrial states. Strickland's moderate and  religious background might help reach some swing voters who would be attracted to McCain

    ---

    I'm sure there are others. I'm guessing in a campaign against McCain Obama will opt for a VP with strong military/ foreign policy experience. I'd love to see a woman on the ticket -- although most of the viable female candidates are governors with little foreign policy/military cred, or senators with limited time in office. Othar than a long shot like Claudia Kennedy, I can't think of many women meeting that need.

    Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

    by terjeanderson on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:30:36 PM PDT

    •  Great choices all, although no women? (0+ / 0-)

      And to think I use to like the Clintons...

      by hollywood politcaljunkie on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:32:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I was adding to the list in the poll (0+ / 0-)

        I think Sebilius, Napolitano and Clinton are the most likely women - couldn't think of another realistic one to add to the list

        I've always wondered why Blanche Lincoln has never been thought of as a national name - southern female Senator, seems popular at home. Not sure how good she would be (as a campaigner or a VP) but my contacts with her in DC were always quite positive

        I did float Claudia Kennedy, but that seems like a real stretch to me

        Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

        by terjeanderson on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:37:54 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Biden is a good call! (0+ / 0-)

      Excellent defense credentials and has the experience that so many people fear Obama lacks (unnecessarily).

    •  Sam Nunn will be 70 this year. (0+ / 0-)

      Two years younger than McCain, anyway. Otherwise a brilliant choice.

      Schweitzer good strategic choice also.

      Bill Richardson's resume checks all the right boxes, but he just couldn't get the public excited about his campaign.

      -4.25, -4.87 "If the truth were self-evident, there would be no need for eloquence." -- Cicero

      by HeyMikey on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 01:14:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Get well! (0+ / 0-)

    Northern Illinois University: Kate's and Matt's parents meet, 1976

    by chicago minx on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:31:10 PM PDT

  •  Psssssttt (0+ / 0-)

    It's "Retired" General Wedsley Clark, not "former" (once a general always a general. .. )

  •  Chuck Schumer (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Wisper

    If it doesn't screw us up to much for him to pass the DSCC over to someone else, he would be great.  He's a great traditional fundraiser, he would be an absolutely vicious attack dog (freeing Obama to stay above the fray) and his presence on the ticket would counteract the below the radar claims about Obama being anti-Israel or Muslim or a sleeper cell (and we know these attacks will continue).  

    Obama/Schumer '08!!!  It has a nice ring to it...  

    •  Good idea, but Obama proved support for Israel (0+ / 0-)

      in this letter to our UN ambassador about Gaza:

      Dear Ambassador Khalilzad,

      I understand that today the U.N. Security Council met regarding the situation in Gaza, and that a resolution or statement could be forthcoming from the Council in short order.

      I urge you to ensure that the Security Council issue no statement and pass no resolution on this matter that does not fully condemn the rocket assault Hamas has been conducting on civilians in Southern Israel for over two years. All of us are concerned about the impact of closed border crossings on Palestinian families. However, we have to understand why Israel is forced to do this.

      Gaza is governed by Hamas, which is a terrorist organization sworn to Israel's destruction, and Israeli civilians are being bombarded by rockets on an almost daily basis. That is unacceptable and Israel has a right to respond while seeking to minimize any impact on civilians.

      The Security Council should clearly and unequivocally condemn the rocket attacks against Israel, and should make clear that Israel has the right to defend itself against such actions. If it cannot bring itself to make these common sense points, I urge you to ensure that it does not speak at all.

      Sincerely,

      Barack Obama
      United States Senator

      In addition, from the Jerusalem Post:

      Obama: Palestinian refugees can't return

      By HILARY LEILA KRIEGER AND TOVAH LAZAROFF, MIAMI

      Palestinian refugees belong in their own state and do not have a "literal" right of return to Israel, Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said Monday.

      "The outlines of any agreement would involve ensuring that Israel remains a Jewish state," Obama told The Jerusalem Post and other members of the Jewish and Israeli press on a conference call. He reiterated his support for a two-state solution, but said, "We cannot move forward until there is some confidence that the Palestinians are able to provide the security apparatus that would prevent constant attacks against Israel from taking place."
      His conversation with reporters and his support for the Israeli position on refugees came on the heels of scurrilous charges that Obama is secretly a Muslim who received a radical Wahhabi education.

      Obama concluded the phone call by stressing how wrong the accusations were.

    •  Fuck that (0+ / 0-)

      The day Schumer comes out to explain his asshat votes on Mukasey, FISA, Alito, Roberts, AUMF and not to mention his back-room meddling in the KY-SEN race is the day I consider Schumer for anything other then "Someone who needs a good primary challenge!"

      Thinking men can not be ruled. --Ayn Rand

      by Wisper on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:39:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Claire McCaskill! eom (0+ / 0-)

    •  2 first term senators on the ticket? (0+ / 0-)

      I like McCaskill - but with even less time in office than Obama, I think the "inexperienced" narrative might take over the campaign

      Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

      by terjeanderson on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:40:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  2 problems... (0+ / 0-)

      Missouri needs her, and the senate needs her (although she voted with the bad guys on FISA - can anyone explain that to me?)

      Also I agree she is not much more experienced than Obama, which might backfire.

      Barack Obama + Wesley Clark 'nuff said.

      by Aike on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:43:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Obama (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Over the Edge

    will choose someone for VP who complements him during the campaign, and who will be a trusted adviser during his administration.

    We'll probably all be slapping our foreheads saying "why didn't I think of that?!" when he announces his running mate.

    More States, More Delegates, More Popular Votes, More Experience, More Judgment. Obama = More.

    by pvlb on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:46:15 PM PDT

  •  I'll repeat what I've said before. (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    catchaz

    Obama can go two different routes...

    1.  The safest option would be to choose an older, reassuringly experienced white male from a red state.  Wesley Clark, Tom Daschle, and Jim Webb are his top choices.
    1.  A riskier route would be to choose a young outsider to reinforce his message of change.  Tim Kaine, Janet Napolitano, and Kathleen Sebelius are all Washington outsiders--popular governors from red states, but with little national experience.  Kaine might be a bit safter because of his gender, but his lack of experience is still a risk.

    In my opinion, Daschle would be the strongest candidate because his status as a congressional veteran would make him an influential figure (Think Cheney, only without the evil).  He's been a great surrogate for Obama thus far, an infulential supporter within the campaign, and running a young outsider with a congressional insider is similar to the Kennedy-Johnson ticket in 1960.

    However, Obama-Sebelius would probably be the most dynamic in terms of change.  She'd help in states like Ohio and Missouri, make Obama appear more moderate to swing voters, and possibly win over women soured by a Hillary defeat.  And both have strong roots in Kansas...

    I'm torn between the two.

    (I also like Obama-Hagel, but I know everyone will hate me for that and it probably won't happen)

    Prediction: Barack Obama defeats John McCain, 357-181.

    by Namtrix on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:51:53 PM PDT

    •  Your kinda thinking like me (0+ / 0-)

      I have a feeling that Obama will go more with someone who can help him work Congress than one who would help him win an election.  Like a Tom Daschle, Sam Nunn, Chuck Robb, George Mitchell.  Yeah, most of us wouldn't like any of those, but they definitely know how to work the Congress.

      BTW...you hear Hagel on Blitzer's show?  He didn't rule out endorsing Obama over McCain.

      OH-16: John Boccieri will finally end 36 years of Regula Rule.

      by marcvstraianvs on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:58:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Obama-Sebelius (0+ / 0-)

      is the ticket.

      Daschle will either be Treasury Secretary or Chief of Staff. I hope he is CoS but essentially plays the role of Cheney (less evil). On the ticket though? It ruins his whole message.

    •  a crazy thought (0+ / 0-)

      Here's another choice that meets your criteria: Tom Ridge.

      A pro-choice Republican.  Former Congressman and popular governor of Pennsylvania, where John McCain is sure to be very competitive in November.  Vietnam vet.  Homeland Security.

      As a resident of PA, he'd not be my first choice, but I immediately thought of him upon reading your comment.

  •  Gov. Tim Kaine of Virginia (0+ / 0-)

    Good choice, puts a Red State (more purple than ever) into even more serious play.

    "Everything's Hunky Dunk!"

    by The Trucker Pundit on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 12:59:49 PM PDT

  •  My guess is... (6+ / 0-)

    Gaydolf Titler!

    -2.12, -4.97 "Die Lüge wird zur Weltordnung gemacht." -Kafka

    by GermanAmericanDem on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 01:00:09 PM PDT

  •  Obama/Edwards ? (0+ / 0-)

    That ticket would win in a landslide, but two reasons it won't happen:

    1. JRE's reluctance to run for VP again/Elizabeth's health/Obama more likely to want Edwards as AG
    1. North Carolina is a solid red state, I doubt even Obama could win it in November

    Perhaps more likely Obama goes with a female governor or senator

  •  Russ Fiengold (0+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    catchaz

    I call him the the lone patriot, for his vote against the patriot act

  •  Bob Graham (0+ / 0-)

    This must be the sixth poll of this in the last two days.

    If Hillary Clinton wins, the Democratic Party loses.

    by Paleo on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 01:05:07 PM PDT

  •  Just so we're clear (0+ / 0-)

    running around in the cold won't in and of itself make one sick. Usually it requires contact with the mucous membranes of another infected individual. I hope at least that part is a happy story.

  •  Sam Nunn n/t (0+ / 0-)

    What the hell's going on out here--Vince Lombardi -6.75/-5.85

    by Patrick B on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:03:43 PM PDT

  •  I notice no one has mentioned Zinni (0+ / 0-)

    Thinking men can not be ruled. --Ayn Rand

    by Wisper on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:40:52 PM PDT

  •  I expect his VP choice to be someone that can (0+ / 0-)

    help the ticket get elected. I don't think the Northeast or far west will be in play and I doubt there is much hope for us in the south (outside of VA). AZ won't be in play so I wouldn't expect their Governor to make the cut. The intermountain west just doesn't have enough Electoral Votes to make it worthwhile IMO. I come back to Clinton/Gore in 1992, I think two candidates from the midwest could really help solidify that region for the Dems in the GE. I would love to see Feingold but perhaps another statewide politician from the region would make more sense.

    Love that "power of the purse!" It looks so nice up there on the mantle (and not the table) next to the "subpoena power."

    by Sacramento Dem on Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 02:59:14 PM PDT

Permalink | 142 comments