Daily Kos

dKos Super Tuesday Office Pool

Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 10:28:55 PM PDT

[Please read the end of this diary before posting.  Thanks.]

Every year, people across the nation become college basketball wonks and amateur pundits as they fill out scores of brackets and test their prognosticative skills in what is known as March Madness.

This year, however, the madness comes a month early.  On Tuesday, 22 states hold their Democratic primaries and caucuses.  Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are engaged in a very tight race and Super Tuesday will be a critical step in the race to become the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.  This is no doubt an important and historic event, unprecedented in many ways in our lifetimes.  Nevertheless, I thought it might be fun to engage in the lighter side of this event, and invite all of you to channel your inner political punditry and try to predict the results in the Unofficial Daily Kos Super Tuesday Office Pool.  

dKos Super Tuesday Office Pool

The rules are simple.  

  1.  For each state, predict the winner (hint: Clinton or Obama).  Winner will be determined by ‘pledged delegate’ count.  
  1.  For each state, assign a ‘confidence number’ between 1 and 22.  22 should be assigned to the state for which you have the most confidence in predicting the winner.  1 should be assigned to the state prediction for which you have the least confidence.  Use each number from 1-22 exactly once.
  1.  The confidence numbers for all the states in which you correctly pick the winner will be added up to determine your total score.  In the event that the candidates tie in delegates in a given state, half of your confidence score will be earned.  A perfect score (picking the correct winner in all 22 states) is 253.
  1.  Choose a tiebreaker ‘spread’, that is, who you think will win the most total delegates on Super Tuesday and how many more delegates that candidate will win than the candidate with the next highest number.  Examples:  Clinton +243 , Obama +178.  
  1.  The Kossack with the highest score (as calculated in rule #3) is the office pool winner.  In the event of a tie, the entry with the most accurate tiebreaker spread will be the winner.
  1.  Only one entry per user, please.  Deadline for entries is 8:00am (EST), Tuesday, February 5th.

Entry Sheet

State – xx (confidence score 1-22) - Winner

AL  xx  Clinton Obama
AR  xx  Clinton Obama
AK  xx  Clinton Obama
AZ  xx  Clinton Obama
CA  xx  Clinton Obama
CO  xx  Clinton Obama
CT  xx  Clinton Obama
DE  xx  Clinton Obama
GA  xx  Clinton Obama
ID  xx  Clinton Obama
IL  xx  Clinton Obama
KS  xx  Clinton Obama
MA  xx  Clinton Obama
MN  xx  Clinton Obama
MO  xx  Clinton Obama
ND  xx  Clinton Obama
NJ  xx  Clinton Obama
NM  xx  Clinton Obama
NY  xx  Clinton Obama
OK  xx  Clinton Obama
TN  xx  Clinton Obama
UT  xx  Clinton Obama

Tiebreaker:  Clinton Obama +xxx
.
.
.
**  Procedural and Formatting Requests **  Please follow instructions.

Submitting your entry

  1.  Please only reply directly to the diary when submitting your entries.  Please do not reply to someone else’s entry.  Please do not reply to the tip jar with an entry.  
  1.  To submit your entry, please copy and paste the above list of states.  Change xx to your confidence score.  Delete one of the candidate names.  This is your entry.
  1.  You will be responsible for calculating your own scores on Wednesday or late Tuesday.  Reply to your own entry with your total score.
  1.  For discussion, please keep comments as replies within the tip jar.  Please no policy talk or candidate wars.  Try to keep the discussion limited to the spirit of this game.

And please recommend diary if you participate or just like the idea.

Poll

The winner of the Super Tuesday Office Pool should get:

2%2 votes
10%10 votes
39%37 votes
12%12 votes
8%8 votes
25%24 votes

| 93 votes | Vote | Results

Tags: Super Tuesday, 2008 elections, president, primaries, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 53 comments

  •  Tip Jar (15+ / 0-)

    Thanks for participating and GOOD LUCK!!

    This comment has been crossposted at AT&T: 611 Folsom St, San Francisco, CA - Room 641A.

    by ManahManah on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 10:28:38 PM PDT

  •  ManahManah's entry (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, cfk, tecampbell

    AL  4  Clinton
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  10  Obama
    AZ  6  Clinton
    CA  8  Clinton
    CO  7  Obama
    CT  1  Obama
    DE  9  Obama
    GA  20  Obama
    ID  16  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  17  Obama
    MA  15  Clinton
    MN  5  Obama
    MO  2  Obama
    ND  11  Obama
    NJ  12  Clinton
    NM  3  Clinton
    NY  18  Clinton
    OK  19  Clinton
    TN  13  Clinton
    UT  14  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +11

    This comment has been crossposted at AT&T: 611 Folsom St, San Francisco, CA - Room 641A.

    by ManahManah on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 10:29:24 PM PDT

  •  my entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, tecampbell

    AL  5    Obama
    AR  10   Clinton
    AK  5    Clinton  
    AZ  5    Obama
    CA  20   Obama
    CO  10   Clinton  
    CT  22   Obama
    DE  20   Obama
    GA  20   Obama
    ID  10   Obama
    IL  22   Obama
    KS  5    Obama
    MA  5    Obama
    MN  15   Obama
    MO  10   Obama
    ND  5    Obama
    NJ  15   Clinton  
    NM  5    Obama
    NY  2    Obama
    OK  10   Clinton  
    TN  5    Obama
    UT  5    Clinton

    Tiebreaker:   Obama +115

    Join us at Bookflurries: Bookchat on Wednesday nights 8:00 PM EST

    by cfk on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 10:40:52 PM PDT

    •  No, no. You need to rank from 1 to 22. (0+ / 0-)

      (You can't have 4 states with a confidence level of 20.

      If you think the terrorist fist jab is bad... you need to see his terrorist Hokey-Pokey.

      by JeffLieber on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 09:17:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  redo...thanks...sigh (1+ / 0-)

        Recommended by:
        ManahManah

        AL  5    Obama
        AR  20   Clinton
        AK  19   Clinton  
        AZ  18   Obama
        CA  17   Obama
        CO  16   Clinton  
        CT  21   Obama
        DE  14   Obama
        GA  13   Obama
        ID  12   Obama
        IL  22   Obama
        KS  11   Obama
        MA  10   Obama
        MN  9    Obama
        MO  8    Obama
        ND  7    Obama
        NJ  6   Clinton  
        NM  15   Obama
        NY  4    Obama
        OK  3   Clinton  
        TN  2    Obama
        UT  1   Clinton

        Tiebreaker:   Obama +115

        Join us at Bookflurries: Bookchat on Wednesday nights 8:00 PM EST

        by cfk on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 12:32:55 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Wanted: Someone to travel back in time with me (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AL  08  Obama
    AR  19  Clinton
    AK  12  Obama
    AZ  02  Obama
    CA  01  Obama
    CO  11  Obama
    CT  03  Obama
    DE  04  Obama
    GA  20  Obama
    ID  13  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  10  Obama
    MA  14  Clinton
    MN  06  Obama
    MO  07  Obama
    ND  05  Obama
    NJ  15  Clinton
    NM  09  Obama
    NY  21  Clinton
    OK  17  Clinton
    TN  16  Clinton
    UT  18  Obama

    Obama +100

    jaiapprovedthis - Because I am right about things.
    Abolish Superdelegates by 2012

    by Jaiwithani on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 10:57:32 PM PDT

  •  Gravel Rocks Alaska! (0+ / 0-)

    AL  xx  Obama
    AR  xx  Clinton
    AK  xx  Clinton
    AZ  xx  Gravel!  Ok, Obama
    CA  xx  Obama
    CO  xx  Obama
    CT  xx  Obama
    DE  xx  Obama
    GA  xx  Obama
    ID  xx  Obama
    IL  xx  Obama
    KS  xx  Obama
    MA  xx  Obama
    MN  xx  Obama
    MO  xx  Obama
    ND  xx  Obama
    NJ  xx  Clinton  
    NM  xx  Obama
    NY  xx  Clinton  
    OK  xx  Clinton
    TN  xx  Obama
    UT  xx  Obama

    We have become what they fear.

    by tecampbell on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:00:44 PM PDT

  •  Pro-Pro's entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AL  9  Obama
    AR  19  Clinton
    AK  20  Obama
    AZ  2   Obama
    CA  4  Clinton
    CO  11  Obama
    CT  7  Obama
    DE  13  Obama
    GA  22  Obama
    ID  19  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  17  Obama
    MA  3   Obama
    MN  5   Obama
    MO  3   Clinton
    ND  8   Obama
    NJ  14  Clinton
    NM  5   Obama
    NY  20  Clinton
    OK  17  Clinton
    TN  15  Clinton
    UT  10  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +15

  •  this is the first time i've posted in a year... (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    x, mytribe, d to the f

    1 IL Obama
    2 NY Clinton
    3 GA Obama
    4 AR Clinton
    5 OK Clinton
    6 TN Clinton
    7 NJ Clinton
    8 CO Obama
    9 AL Obama
    10 CA Obama
    11 MN Obama
    12 ND Obama
    13 ID Obama
    14 AK Obama
    15 KS Obama
    16 AZ Clinton
    17 UT Obama
    18 NM Obama
    19 MO Obama
    20 MA Obama
    21 DE Obama
    22 CT Obama

    maybe i'm drinking the koolaid, but i think the momentum the polls are showing is going to make obama the victor on tuesday; not because he kept it close, but because he actually wins.

    obama +159

    tips for the returning kossack?

    in the unlikely story that is america, there has never been anything false about hope. yes we can!

    by defyingravity on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:03:22 PM PDT

  •  this is a great idea (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    but an awful lot of work for people who are busy doing actual campaign stuff for the next few days!

    Politics is like driving. To go backward, put it in R. To go forward, put it in D.

    by TrueBlueMajority on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:17:11 PM PDT

  •  Oregon Bear's entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    CT  1  Obama
    AZ  2 Clinton
    MO  3  Obama
    NM  4  Clinton
    CA  5 Obama
    AL  6  Obama
    UT  7 Obama
    MN  8  Obama
    MA  9  Clinton
    CO  10  Obama
    DE 11  Obama
    ID  12  Obama
    TN  13  Clinton
    AK  14  Obama
    ND  15  Obama
    KS  16  Obama
    NJ  17  Clinton
    GA  18  Obama
    OK  19  Clinton
    NY  20  Clinton
    AR  21  Clinton
    IL  22  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +200

    "And life is grand/and I will say this at the risk of falling from favor/With those of you who have appointed yourselves/To expect us to say something darker."

    by Oregon Bear on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:20:52 PM PDT

  •  This is about where I'm at right now (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AL  7  Obama
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  12  Obama
    AZ  8  Clinton
    CA  3  Obama
    CO  15  Obama
    CT  2  Obama
    DE  6  Obama
    GA  18  Obama
    ID  17  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  16  Obama
    MA  11  Clinton
    MN  8  Obama
    MO  1  Obama
    ND  9  Obama
    NJ  13  Clinton
    NM  4  Clinton
    NY  19  Clinton
    OK  20  Clinton
    TN  14  Clinton
    UT  10  Obama

    fivethirtyeight.com: electoral projections done right.

    by poblano on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:21:26 PM PDT

  •  Oregon Bear's entry, now in exciting alpha order (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AK  14  Obama
    AL  6  Obama
    AR  21  Clinton
    AZ  2 Clinton
    CA  5 Obama
    CO  10  Obama
    CT  1  Obama
    DE 11  Obama
    GA  18  Obama
    ID  12  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  16  Obama
    MA  9  Clinton
    MN  8  Obama
    MO  3  Obama
    ND  15  Obama
    NJ  17  Clinton
    NM  4  Clinton
    NY  20  Clinton
    OK  19  Clinton
    TN  13  Clinton
    UT  7 Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +200

    "And life is grand/and I will say this at the risk of falling from favor/With those of you who have appointed yourselves/To expect us to say something darker."

    by Oregon Bear on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:24:07 PM PDT

  •  Entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    State – xx (confidence score 1-22) - Winner

    AL 10 Obama
    AR  6  Clinton  
    AK  2 Obama
    AZ  3 Obama
    CA  4 Obama
    CO  5 Obama
    CT  6 Obama
    DE  9 Obama
    GA  22 Obama
    ID  8 Obama
    IL  20 Obama
    KS  21 Obama
    MA  19 Obama
    MN  16 Obama
    MO  15 Obama
    ND  8 Obama
    NJ  1  Clinton  
    NM  7 Obama
    NY  18  Clinton  
    OK  12 Obama
    TN 11 Obama
    UT  13 Obama

    Tiebreaker:   Obama +230
    .

  •  Kucinic sweeps due to early voting (3+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, Gooserock, ManahManah

    AL  15  Obama
    AR  18  Clinton
    AK  5  Obama
    AZ  1  Clinton
    CA  6  Obama
    CO  7  Obama
    CT  3  Obama
    DE  8  Clinton
    GA  20  Obama
    ID  16  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  17  Clinton
    MA  9  Obama
    MN  2  Clinton
    MO  10  Clinton
    ND  11  Clinton
    NJ  12  Obama
    NM  13  Clinton
    NY  14  Clinton
    OK  21  Clinton
    TN  19  Clinton
    UT  4  Clinton

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +135

    America would have been better off with four 8 years of Ralph Wiggum

    by LeftCoaster on Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 11:40:36 PM PDT

  •  too complicated (0+ / 0-)

    obama across the board (with my fingers crossed).

    good enough?  lol
    s.

    the best lack all conviction while the worst are full of passionate intensity --w.b.yeats the second coming

    by synth on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 12:43:03 AM PDT

  •  Entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AL  18  Obama
    AR  20  Clinton  
    AK  15  Clinton  
    AZ  04  Obama
    CA  03  Clinton
    CO  16  Obama
    CT  01  Obama
    DE  12  Clinton
    GA  21  Obama
    ID  17  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  09  Obama
    MA  13  Clinton
    MN  10  Obama
    MO  08  Obama
    ND  11  Obama
    NJ  02  Clinton
    NM  07  Clinton  
    NY  19  Clinton  
    OK  05  Clinton
    TN  14  Clinton
    UT  06  Clinton

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +118

  •  shunpike's entry (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    anna, ManahManah

    AL  9  Obama
    AR  15  Clinton  
    AK  20  Obama
    AZ  6  Obama
    CA  3  Obama
    CO  8  Obama
    CT  1  Cinton
    DE  2  Clinton
    GA  18  Obama
    ID  21  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  12  Obama
    MA  5  Clinton
    MN  13  Obama
    MO  7  Obama
    ND  19  Obama
    NJ  4  Clinton
    NM  11  Clinton  
    NY  14  Clinton  
    OK  17  Clinton
    TN  16  Clinton
    UT  10  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +104

    apparently, in Spanish, the name Cheney translates to 'Pinochet'

    by shunpike on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 05:25:44 AM PDT

  •  my picks (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL  2  Obama
    AR  3  Clinton
    AK  9  Clinton
    AZ  15 Clinton
    CA  22 Obama
    CO  14 Obama
    CT  8  Obama
    DE  10 Obama
    GA  1  Obama
    ID  21 Clinton
    IL  4  Obama
    KS  5  Obama
    MA  6  Clinton
    MN  16 Obama
    MO  11 Clinton
    ND  17 Clinton
    NJ  12 Clinton
    NM  7  Clinton
    NY  6  Clinton
    OK  13 Clinton
    TN  18 Clinton
    UT  19 Clinton

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +250

    John Cornyn is an asshole with shoes. Support Rick Noriega!

    by anna on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 05:52:26 AM PDT

    •  i'm the only person predicting clinton thus far (0+ / 0-)

      LOL!

      i'm taking early voting into account, and am thinking clinton will win more states than most of us would like...

      disclaimer: i am on team obama at this time.

      John Cornyn is an asshole with shoes. Support Rick Noriega!

      by anna on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 05:54:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  my CORRECTLY FORMATTED picks (2+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      JeffLieber, ManahManah

      (thanks jeff for catching that, and apologies for the repost).  i did change one or two of these, but this is my out-of-my-butt prediction for tomorrow.

      GA 22 Obama
      AL 21 Obama
      IL 20 Obama
      AR 19 Clinton
      KS 18 Obama
      NY 17 Clinton
      NM 16 Clinton
      MA 15 Clinton
      CT 14 Obama
      DE 13 Obama
      AK 12 Clinton
      NJ 11 Clinton
      MO 10 Clinton
      OK 9  Clinton
      CO 8  Obama
      AZ 7  Clinton
      MN 6  Obama
      ND 5  Clinton
      TN 4  Clinton
      UT 3  Clinton
      ID 2  Clinton
      CA 1  Obama

      Tiebreaker: Clinton +250

      John Cornyn is an asshole with shoes. Support Rick Noriega!

      by anna on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 12:28:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  You can all get in line here... (2+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    Steve Singiser, ManahManah

    AL 17 Obama
    AR 21 Clinton
    AK 5 Obama
    AZ 15 Clinton
    CA 4 Obama
    CO 14 Obama
    CT 3 Obama
    DE 9 Obama
    GA 20 Obama
    ID 8 Obama
    IL  22 Obama
    KS  12 Obama
    MA 6 Clinton
    MN 13 Clinton
    MO 1 Obama
    ND 11 Obama
    NJ 2 Obama
    NM 7 Obama
    NY 18 Clinton
    OK 19 Clinton
    TN 16 Clinton
    UT 10 Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +50

    If you think the terrorist fist jab is bad... you need to see his terrorist Hokey-Pokey.

    by JeffLieber on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 09:07:08 AM PDT

  •  Steve Singiser's Entry.... (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    Because I am a sucker for all types of predictive games (and betting pools, for that matter)....

    AL  5   Clinton
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  15  Obama
    AZ  7   Clinton
    CA  3   Obama
    CO  8   Obama
    CT  4   Obama
    DE  12  Obama
    GA  19  Obama
    ID  14  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  16  Obama
    MA  9   Clinton
    MN  1   Obama
    MO  2   Obama
    ND  17  Obama
    NJ  11  Clinton
    NM  10  Obama
    NY  18  Clinton
    OK  20  Clinton
    TN  13  Clinton
    UT  6   Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +65

    "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
    Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
    Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

    by Steve Singiser on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 09:30:07 AM PDT

    •  I Got 235...Not Counting New Mexico.... (0+ / 0-)

      We're still waiting, AFAIK.

      If Obama claims New Mexico, I stand at 245.

      "You share your young with the wolves of the nation...
      Theres nothing left til you pray for salvation"
      Black Rebel Motorcycle Club "American X"

      by Steve Singiser on Thu Feb 07, 2008 at 10:03:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  JonnyKilbane gives it a go... (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AR  21  Clinton
    OK  20  Clinton
    NY  19  Clinton
    NM  17  Clinton
    AZ  16  Clinton
    NJ  15  Clinton
    TN  10  Clinton
    UT  7  Clinton
    MA  6  Clinton
    MO  3  Clinton
    CA  1  Clinton  

    IL  22  Obama
    GA  18  Obama
    AL  14  Obama
    CO  13  Obama
    KS  12  Obama
    ID  11  Obama
    ND  9   Obama
    AK  8   Obama
    MN  5   Obama
    DE  4   Obama
    CT  2   Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton + 35

    "Literature is made upon any occasion that a challenge is put to the legal apparatus by conscience in touch with humanity." - Nelson Algren

    by jonnykilbane on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 10:01:27 AM PDT

  •  my entry (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL  12  Obama
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  13  Obama
    AZ  4   Clinton
    CA  3   Obama
    CO  9   Obama
    CT  1   Clinton
    DE  8   Obama
    GA  19  Obama
    ID  18  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  11  Obama
    MA  2   Obama
    MN  10  Obama
    MO  5   Obama
    ND  16  Obama
    NJ  6   Clinton
    NM  7   Clinton
    OK  20  Clinton Obama
    TN  14  Clinton
    UT  17  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Obama +25

  •  R Rhino from CT4's entry: (0+ / 0-)

    AL  6   Obama
    AR  2   Clinton
    AK  13  Obama
    AZ  17  Clinton
    CA  22  Clinton
    CO  8   Obama
    CT  16  Obama
    DE  11  Obama
    GA  4   Obama
    ID  9   Obama
    IL  1   Obama
    KS  18  Clinton
    MA  12  Clinton
    MN  19  Clinton
    MO  20  Clinton
    ND  14  Obama
    NJ  15  Clinton
    NM  10  Obama
    NY  3   Clinton
    OK  5   Clinton
    TN  21  Clinton
    UT  7   Obama

    Tie-breaker: Clinton+55

    Regime change begins at home: Vote Democratic. (Economic: -7.88 Social: -6.31)

    by R Rhino from CT4 on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 12:36:52 PM PDT

    •  Oh, duh, Confidence numbers backwards... (1+ / 0-)

      Recommended by:
      ManahManah

      CA  1  Clinton
      TN  2  Clinton
      MO  3  Clinton
      MN  4  Clinton
      KS  5  Clinton
      AZ  6  Clinton
      CT  7  Obama
      NJ  8  Clinton
      ND  9  Obama
      AK  10  Obama
      MA  11  Clinton
      DE  12  Obama
      NM  13  Obama
      ID  14  Obama
      CO  15   Obama
      UT  16   Obama
      AL  17   Obama
      OK  18   Clinton
      GA  19   Obama
      NY  20   Clinton
      AR  21   Clinton
      IL  22   Obama

      Tie-breaker: Clinton+55

      Regime change begins at home: Vote Democratic. (Economic: -7.88 Social: -6.31)

      by R Rhino from CT4 on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 01:06:00 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MJB's pool entry (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    Entry Sheet -- MJB

    State – xx (confidence score 1-22) - Winner

    AL  4   Obama
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  1   Obama

    AZ  2   Obama
    CA  11  Clinton
    CO  12   Obama

    CT  10   Obama
    DE  19  Clinton
    GA  17   Obama

    ID  16   Obama
    IL  22   Obama
    KS  9   Obama

    MA  3   Obama
    MN  14  Clinton
    MO  13  Clinton

    ND  15  Clinton
    NJ  18  Clinton
    NM  8  Obama

    NY  20  Clinton
    OK  5   Obama
    TN  7  Clinton

    UT  6   Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +31

    So this is how liberty dies... with thunderous applause.

    by MJB on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 02:09:14 PM PDT

  •  In Mario's voice: Here we go! (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    This is probably a pretty standard G'Obama entry, and I'd be thrilled if it came to pass.

    AK 3 Clinton
    AL 16 Obama
    AR 19 Clinton
    AZ 2 Clinton
    CA 10 Obama
    CO 7 Obama
    CT 13 Obama
    DE 6 Obama
    GA 21 Obama
    ID 12 Obama
    IL 22 Obama
    KS 9 Obama
    MA 8 Clinton
    MN 14 Obama
    MO 15 Obama
    ND 4 Obama
    NJ 5 Clinton
    NM 1 Clinton
    NY 20 Clinton
    OK 17 Clinton
    TN 18 Clinton
    UT 11 Obama

    Tiebreaker: Obama +76

  •  My Predictions (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL 10 Obama
    AR 22 Clinton
    AK 15 Obama
    AZ 5 Clinton
    CA 22 Clinton
    CO 18 Obama
    CT 20 Obama
    DE 20 Obama
    GA 22 Obama
    ID 22 Obama
    IL 22 Obama
    KS 22 Obama
    MA 22 Clinton
    MN 15 Clinton
    MO 5 Obama
    ND 18 Obama
    NJ 15 Clinton
    NM 5 Clinton
    NY 22 Clinton
    OK 22 Clinton
    TN 22 Clinton
    UT 22 Obama

    Tiebreaker - Clinton + 110

  •  Shot in the dark (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL  1   Obama
    AR  19  Clinton
    AK  9   Obama
    AZ  18  Clinton
    CA  8   Clinton
    CO  15  Obama
    CT  5   Clinton
    DE  7   Obama
    GA  20  Obama
    ID  4   Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  2   Obama
    MA  6   Clinton
    MN  3   Obama
    MO  12  Clinton
    ND  10  Obama
    NJ  16  Clinton
    NM  13  Clinton
    NY  21  Clinton
    OK  17  Clinton
    TN  14  Clinton
    UT  11  Clinton

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +86

  •  Another entry (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL  03  Obama
    AR  14  Clinton
    AK  11  Obama
    AZ  02  Obama
    CA  01  Clinton
    CO  15  Obama
    CT  07  Obama
    DE  10  Obama
    GA  17  Obama
    ID  21  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  13  Obama
    MA  09  Clinton
    MN  05  Obama
    MO  08  Clinton
    ND  06  Obama
    NJ  12  Clinton
    NM  04  Obama
    NY  19  Clinton
    OK  20  Clinton
    TN  16  Clinton
    UT  18  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +30

    You have the power to change America. Yes. We. Can.

    by CA Pol Junkie on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 05:33:36 PM PDT

  •  Spreadsheet junkies, unite! (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    I have to admit, I'd already done a spreadsheet with similar numbers.  Just a quick "sort" function based on margin of victory, and here are my results:

    AL  6  Obama
    AR  21  Clinton
    AK  15  Obama
    AZ  8  Clinton
    CA  1  Clinton (I don't think Calif will be a squeaker -- I just have no idea what will really happen)
    CO  7  Obama
    CT  3  Obama
    DE  11  Obama
    GA  20  Obama
    ID  14  Obama
    IL  22  Obama
    KS  16  Obama
    MA  10  Clinton
    MN  6  Clinton
    MO  2  Clinton (this one really will be a squeaker, just like Missouri always is)
    ND  4  Obama
    NJ  12  Clinton
    NM  5  Clinton
    NY  19  Clinton
    OK  18  Clinton
    TN  17  Clinton
    UT  13  Obama

    Tiebreaker:  Clinton +55
    2nd Tiebreaker: American Samoa for Clinton, Democrats Abroad for Obama

  •  rcbowman's entry (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AL  1  Obama
    AK  3  Obama
    AZ  6  Clinton  
    AR  18 Clinton
    CA  4  Obama
    CO  9  Obama
    CT  2  Obama    
    DE  11 Clinton
    GA  19 Obama      
    ID  15 Obama
    IL  22 Obama      
    KS  10 Obama
    MA  12 Clinton    
    MN  7  Clinton
    MO  5  Clinton    
    NJ  8  Clinton
    NM  14 Obama    
    NY  21 Clinton
    ND  13 Obama      
    OK  17 Clinton
    TN  16 Clinton    
    UT  20 Obama

    Tiebreaker: Obama +19 Even that is probably wishful thinking.

    Cry, the beloved country, these things are not yet at an end. - Alan Paton

    by rcbowman on Mon Feb 04, 2008 at 10:58:52 PM PDT

  •  Here goes! (1+ / 0-)

    Recommended by:
    ManahManah

    AK 16 Obama
    AL 9 Obama
    AR 18 Clinton
    AZ 4 Clinton
    CA 5 Clinton
    CO 6 Obama
    CT 7 Obama
    DE 8 Obama
    GA 19 Obama
    ID 20 Obama
    IL 22 Obama
    KS 15 Obama
    MA 2 Clinton
    MN 12 Obama
    MO 1 Clinton
    ND 14 Obama
    NJ 10 Clinton
    NM 3 Clinton
    NY 21 Clinton
    OK 17 Clinton
    TN 13 Clinton
    UT 11 Obama

    Tiebreaker: Obama +26

    John McCain Defends Bush's Iraq Strategy.

    by ClaudeB on Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 12:31:43 AM PDT

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