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Retirement number 27 30.

GOP sources confirm that Rep. Tom Reynolds, a Western NY Congressman since 1999 and ex-NRCC chairman, will announce around noon tomorrow in Buffalo that he will not seek re-election this fall. Reynolds spokesman LD Platt did not return an e-mail seeking comment.

Reynolds, who is also a former Assembly minority leader, has been pushing back against retirement rumors for some time now.

But the recent NRCC fraud scandal - some of which took place on his watch - has made his re-election effort that much more difficult in an already tough year (increasingly Democratic state, presidential election etc).

Were he to run, this would be the second election-year scandal in a row for Reynolds. The first, of course, was the Mark Foley page debacle.

There is already one announced Democratic challenger in the 26th CD: Jon Powers, an Iraq War veteran. Independently-wealthy businessman Jack Davis, who ran against Reynolds in 2004 and 2006, is reportedly considering another run.

Iraq War vet Jon Powers is an awesome candidate. Reynolds got lucky last year facing off against bat-shit insane "Democrat" Jack Davis, a wealthy businessman who refused to campaign (and only quit the GOP because Cheney personally insulted him). The nut is thinking about running again, and if nothing else, would serve as good batting practice for Powers in a primary.

This is an R+3.5 district, but getting bluer. Reynolds only managed to eke out a 52-48 victory against crazy Jack Davis in 2006. Given this is a presidential year in a solidly Democratic state, Reynolds saw the writing on the wall. He won't be the last one either. We're at 27 retirements. I predict 36 before all's said and done, or about 20 percent of the GOP's decimated caucus.

On the web:
Jon Powers for Congress

Update: I'm looking forward to some good analysis at the Albany Project on Thursday.

Update II: It's 27 open House seats this November, 30 total retirements, including seats that have had to be filled or will be filled pre-November with special elections, like IL-14.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 08:53 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Am I correct to assume that... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Randall Sherman, MI Sooner

    this district represents the Buffalo area?

  •  he's definitely out (10+ / 0-)

    now watch jack davis run as a republican.

    more at the albany project...

    "after the Rapture, we get all their shit"

    It's time: the albany project.

    by lipris on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 08:55:08 PM PDT

  •  Alice Kryzan is the real Democrat running (5+ / 0-)

    Markos, why are you getting behind Powers before the people of NY's 26th have? Powers was a Republican until two years ago. In contrast, Alice Kryzan has been an attorney serving the public interest for her entire career -- and a lifelong Democrat. She's a serious candidate. If the netroots want to elect more women to Congress, then we need to be willing to support them in primaries -- or at least not act as if their candidacies don't even exist.

    •  pardon me, (9+ / 0-)

      but are you insane? how many of the local dem committees have endorsed kryzan, who defended the polluters in the love canal case?

      how many have endorsed powers?

      seriously.

      "after the Rapture, we get all their shit"

      It's time: the albany project.

      by lipris on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:02:13 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Here are some sources (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lipris

      Take a look at this link from the Albany project that quotes a 1998 Buffalo news article as follows:

      Alice Kryzan, an attorney who represented Hooker and Occidental, said Hooker's waste-disposal policies in 1978 "were entirely legal and well-ahead of the industry standards of the times."

      And, she said, scientific studies have yet to prove a link between chemical exposure of people living in the area and health effects. Complying with Superfund legislation cost private corporations $ 11.3 billion in 1995, she said.
      Ms. Kryzan said it seems to take longer than ever to correct problems.

      Remediation of Love Canal was under way within two years but under Superfund, she said she doubted that any cleanups got under way that quickly. During a later discussion, Jennings said it takes 10 to 12 years for a Superfund cleanup due to the number of agencies involved. It should take 48 months, he said. And, Jennings said, "cleanup" is a poor word because it makes it sound like the waste disappears and it really doesn't.

      Val Washington, executive director of the statewide Environmental Advocates, said she has "a very different version" of the history of Love Canal than Ms. Kryzan but didn't offer it.

      She agreed that the Love Canal situation ("hysteria" Ms. Kryzan called it later) was such that there was very little "reasonable discussion" among the affected people, government regulators and the industry.

      •  qwatz (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        dufffbeer

        she is a lawyer and was representing a client. the dear departed armando used to litigate for walmart and other large clients whose politics he despised. Does that make him unqualified to be a liberal blogger?

        Does she take money from polluters? what policies does she support? isn't that a fairer way to evaluate this person rather than who employed her?

        Harry Mitchell is my new congressman, replacing JD Hayworth.

        by 2liberal on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 10:34:20 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Kryzan isn't a real Democrat... (6+ / 0-)

      If she is, why did she give $250 to Tom Reynolds in 2000?

      Also, I live in this district. Kryzan has hardly been in touch with many of the Democratic committees here and has pretty much run last behind Jon Powers and Jack Davis, with Davis not even entered this race yet.

      Yes, Powers was a Republican. But he switched for what I think are good reasons. He came back from fighting in Iraq and wasn't happy with what he saw in Washington. He switched parties as a result.

      In fact, I had dinner with him tonight. He's a good man and a very good progressive candidate who is loved by the local (and state) netroots.

      Support our troops... not the war.

      by robert harding on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:23:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I was a Republican 6 years ago... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Hey BB, Pragmaticus, robert harding

      ... people learn from their mistakes. And we accept them.

    •  Is he the sort of "fighting" Dem Carney is? (0+ / 0-)

      The kind of Dem who wouldn't fight for the Constitution despite having sworn to uphold it as both a member of the military and as an elected Representative.  Because if he is, he may be of the "more" variety but he certainly isn't of the "better."

      "An entire credulous nation believed in Santa Claus, but Santa Claus was really the gasman." Gunter Grass

      by rrheard on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:51:58 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Alice Kryzan will be a great Congresswoman (0+ / 0-)

      Right on.  With the news that Tom Reynolds will retire, New York's 26th is even more in play. We need to put a true progressive in that seat: Alice Kryzan. Kryzan is a life-long Democrat, the only one in her race, and has demonstrated for 30 years her ability to solve problems not just talk about them. In her work as an environmental lawyer she has brought together businesses and communities to find pragmatic solutions to contentious issues. She's also fought for women's rights and helped young women and mothers to become economically self-sufficient. As a congresswoman, she'll make Western New York a hub for so-called green collar jobs – the alternative energy jobs of the future that will help revitalize our economy. She'll fight for affordable healthcare for everyone and vote to end the Iraq War, a war that she has opposed from the beginning. Kryzan has the experience and proven track record we need to make our government start working for us again, and not just the special interests.

  •  What is it in NY, five still to go? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shiobhan, InsultComicDog

    Even with the Spitzer fiasco and senator Clinton's refusal to accept the reality that her candidacy for President is doomed, NY Dems still have a a shot at running the table in the House races.  Keep the pressure up!

  •  A test of HRC pantsuit tails? nm (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike

    There once was a man named mccain, who had the whole white house to gain, but he was quite a hobbyist of boning his lobbyist, so much for his 08 campaign. SC

    by christomento on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 08:59:35 PM PDT

  •  Wow all of NY could be Blue. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shiobhan

    It is possible. This is incredible! All of New England and NY could have Democratic congresscritters.  

    The Republicans are becoming a rural and suburban party of white folk only... between the coasts.

    And even districts that are largely white and rural are sometimes represented by good Democrats.  Whereas diverse, northeastern or rural districts may soon have no Repub representation at all.

    THEY are the "National party no more."

    Adopt a Shelter Dog!
    "No one worked harder to re-elect George Bush in 2004 than John McCain"

    by psycho liberal on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 08:59:58 PM PDT

    •  I use to live in Amherst, NY (0+ / 0-)

      Thats Reynolds District and I have some bad news Liberals, this area of town is Republican.

      •  Not that Republican Anymore (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TexMex, edsbrooklyn

        Their Republican Town Supervisor recently switched parties.  The previous Supervisor was a Democrat.  Lancaster is also trending Democratic.  Neighboring Clarence, however, is the local wingnut central.  

        The mind of a bigot is like the pupil of the eye. The more light you shine on it, the more it will contract. Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.

        by dietznbach on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 10:26:05 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  ha ha ha ha!!! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        edsbrooklyn

        trust me, your in for a shock

        Amherst, that figures.......
        The community that forced Black people to cross a busy road to get to the mall because they wouldn't let the bus from a poor Bufffalo neighborhood drop off their passengers in the parking lot like all the other buses.
        A young Black woman was killed while trying to cross the road and trying to get over the snow to get to her job at the mall.
        How proud we are of that.

        Spanish was my first language, that is why I know that" you are" is contracted to you' re.  But then you would have to be educated enough to recognize that error.  Fairly basic elementary lesson, contractions.

        Catholics have Rome, Muslims have Mecca, evolutionists have Galapagos. Lineatus

        by TexMex on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 08:12:37 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  NY-03 (0+ / 0-)
      Rep. Pete King (R, NY-03), on Long Island, seems pretty safe.
  •  Race Tracker Wiki (0+ / 0-)

    Thanks for the link to the race tracker wiki Kos.

    Our aim must never be to defeat or humiliate the enemy, but to win his friendship and understanding." -- 1958 MLK

    by Cascadia on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 08:59:58 PM PDT

  •  Another fly drops (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    majcmb1
  •  Jon Powers Bio (4+ / 0-)

    "A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves."--Edward R. Murrow

    by Scarce on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:02:23 PM PDT

  •  My family would be pretty disappointed if they (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jonah in nyc, mcfly, redrelic17, majcmb1

    knew what's become of me. Raised Republican, but never really sold on the idea of either party, I've found myself cheering for Democrats in congressional districts I didn't even know exist.

    Every generation needs a new revolution.

    by anna789 on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:02:48 PM PDT

  •  As we kick the pubs out of office (0+ / 0-)

    in districts anywhere close to even that means that the remainder are going to be crazy right? i mean it seems like any district with a moderate getting elected is going blue. Sounds like the r party elite is going to be even more batshit on average after this cycle is over.

    The only limit to our realization of tomorrow will be our doubts of today. -Franklin Roosevelt, US President 1932-1945

    by Liberal Youth on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:02:59 PM PDT

  •  Tom Reynolds sweated it out in 06 (5+ / 0-)

    after the Foley scandal broke...
    Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

  •  War Kids Relief (5+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lipris, jonah in nyc, mcfly, dufffbeer, echatwa

    Out of school youth (OSY), disenfranchised youth, ex-combatants and other vulnerable groups of school age youth ranging in age from 16-25 represent social capital of a great importance for the future of Iraq and, if provided the opportunities, these youth can become active contributors to, both, their own healthy development and to the public revitalization and long-term economic growth of their nation. The Iraq Youth Center Work/Study Program seeks to offer training and skills that will enable youth, male and female, in Iraq to become active participants in the post-war social and economic reconstruction of their country.

    "A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves."--Edward R. Murrow

    by Scarce on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:03:49 PM PDT

  •  Good Riddance To Yet Another Ethical Cripple. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ezdidit

    "You can tell the truth but you better have a fast horse." - Rita Mae Brown -8.38, -5.54

    by majcmb1 on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:04:28 PM PDT

  •  This is fantastic news!!! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    willyr, LNK

    We have a real shot here with Jon Powers.  Next on my wish list though: knocking off Peter King.

    Pragmatic progressivism is the future.

    by Pragmaticus on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:05:09 PM PDT

  •  Tom Reynolds is utterly despicable. (9+ / 0-)

    He has been a pox on this district, which was specially re-gerrymandered to make it even more safely Republican for him, freeing him up to spend most of his time raising corporate cash for other Republican contests.

    My father was active in this district's Republican party, and he knows all the folks. Dad's a good Reagan Republican (if there is such a thing), and basically an honest guy. He considered Reynolds' predecessor Bill Paxon an empty-headed pretty boy chosen to be an inoffensive empty suit. Reynolds however he despised as a corrupt and dishonest corporate shill.

    Think that over a bit. Tom Reynolds is so vile, he makes my dyed in the wool "baptized Republican" dad want to hurl. That's saying something.

    The classic image of Reynolds is his fat ass cowering behind a protective crowd of children in the immediate aftermath of the Foley scandal. What an asshole.

  •  Thanks for the good news. OT, link (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KnotIookin

    http://www.daveforamerica.com/

    trying to defeat Peter King.

    Something you need to understand, though, about certain districts like King's .....the constituents are just as bitchy, small-minded, and kool-aid drinking as their elected representative.

    HOW to get through to them on their level?

    Best Diary of the Year? http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/2/23/03912/3990

    by LNK on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:10:50 PM PDT

  •  Western New York is not New York City. (0+ / 0-)

    I voted for Reynolds and the district he represents is RED! It only skates into Buffalo City and Extreme North Rochester so other than that you have a very good chance there will be another Republican to replace him. These are the suburbs were people are register Republican in very large numbers and Republicans hold offices locally. In Erie County alone, we elected a little know Republican County Executive vs a Heavily Union backed Democrat opponent. McCain with Rudy will sprinkle they  Republican representative with some name recognition. New York is a blue state however the Dems are in big trouble statewide (i.e. Spitzer) so dont think about counting this in the win column. Western New York is not New York City.

    •  Why are you here? (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      NMRed, edsbrooklyn, echatwa

      RedState is a great place for GOP supporters such as yourself.

    •  Dems in trouble statewide? (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      lipris, NMRed, KnotIookin, edsbrooklyn, echatwa

      Can you provide one other example?  They picked up a State Senate seat in a special election, about to flip the Senate this November.  Of the six Congressional Republicans in NY two are retiring rather than face another campaign.  The Republican party is trying to push a third, Kuhl, out, in hopes of keeping his seat.  What trouble is it you speak of?

    •  WNY isn't New York City... (5+ / 0-)

      But it sure as hell aint Texas either.

      Reynolds nearly lost in 2006. He would have lost in 2008. Any Republican opponent that steps up now will need to campaign heavily and raise money. That will be a challenge - even with a Republican advantage.

      Republicans won in Erie County because Democrats ran the worst candidate possible. Keane was not a strong candidate and the Dems were embarrassed in November because of it.

      And Spitzer has nothing to do with this. Spitzer was pushed out of the SD-48 State Senate special election and a Democrat won there - in a predominantly Republican district. So I don't get your logic... or lack thereof.

      Support our troops... not the war.

      by robert harding on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:35:14 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  28th District (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        edsbrooklyn

        Reynolds nearly lost to Davis and both are equally unsavory a choice for Congress.  I think the Foley scandel and now the accounting problems at the RNCC under his watch sealed Tommy's fate. There's no way he was going to be re-elected.

        While the district is overwhelmingly Republican (especially where I live in Wyoming County), it could very easily swing towards a Democrat this election cycle.  Powers is getting a lot of media attention and folks are getting real tired of the same old song and dance with no real change.

        As for Alice Kryzan, it's not going to happen.  An attorney from Amherst who worked to protect Hooker Chemical isn't going to fly in the farm belt.

  •  Holy crap. This is unbelievable. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lipris, bythesea, echatwa

    Wow...

  •  Let's get back to matters (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    edsbrooklyn

    The House of Representatives, first and foremost.

  •  we better watch (0+ / 0-)

    and make sure all these guys aren't leaving the country!

    So much time and so little to do...wait, stop, reverse that.---Willy Wonka

    by bluestateonian on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:21:12 PM PDT

  •  27 retirements is very good news (0+ / 0-)

    Even for the races that Dems don't pick up, at least it gets rid of some incumbents.  We'll have new Congressmen who aren't nearly as adept at pork barrel spending and cronyism.

  •  Cue up NY's own FDR's favorite song... (0+ / 0-)

    "No matter what people say, what people think, if you do what you think is right, you're serving your country." - Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV)

    by kovie on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:25:55 PM PDT

  •  2012 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    InternetJunkie, bythesea

    New York will likely lose two seats in Congress after the 2010 census. It is possible that Reynolds assumes his district will be wiped out then, so why not retire now?

    •  Very Likely... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      davybaby

      Anything could happen, especially in New York, with how the districts will be drawn up after 2010. I don't think Reynolds had much of a chance this time around, but your reasoning could have been possible too.

      The 26th is pretty big. It covers seven counties and it can be a long drive from the furthest points of the district.

      Support our troops... not the war.

      by robert harding on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:30:10 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Don't discount Jack Davis... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MeToo

    ... he may look batshit crazy from a national perspective, but here in Buffalo he's got a lot of respect from us regular folks. If it hadn't been for the October Surprise that gave Reynolds a chance to use his connections to get Buffalo area communities immediate support, he'd likely have lost to Davis.

    We like our candidates a little eccentric out here, and accurate or not, that's the image Davis has managed to cultivate.

    •  The same Jack Davis... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      hazey, InternetJunkie

      that said tonight, essentially, we have to prevent Hispanics from taking over Arizona, New Mexico and California?

      The same Jack Davis that isn't willing to campaign. I've spoken to at least three former staffers of Davis and they all said the same thing: He wasn't willing to work or campaign. He saw it as a waste of time.

      I'm over the October Surprise theory. That's not what lost Davis this race. Davis didn't campaign and when issues like the Mark Foley Scandal come about, usually you hit your opponent hard on the campaign trail. Davis didn't do this and he paid for it.

      I don't like my candidates eccentric. I like my candidates normal, intelligent, hardworking, etc. Davis isn't one of us "regular folks." He's a millionaire and he'll be the first to tell you that.

      Support our troops... not the war.

      by robert harding on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:38:25 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

        Davis would remind me too much of an old Congressman I read about a few months ago. Randall Harmon won an election in 1958 after having run at least a half-dozen times before (never winning a primary). He proceded to serve one term where he put his wife on the payroll, designated his front porch as a Congressional Office in order to get paid, and suggested he might run for President.

        And he narrowly won a primary in 1960, before losing the election, and running for office about a half-dozen more times until he died in 1982.

        But Harmon campaigned, with a replica of a front porch on a truck.

        "Our country right or wrong. When right, to be kept right; when wrong, to be put right" - Carl Schurz

        by RBH on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:49:15 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Davis (0+ / 0-)

      Well, you got the batshit crazy part right.

      As for him being for the people, I wouldn't trust him as far as I could throw him.  The only reason I voted for him the last time was because he wasn't Reynolds.

      •  I don't think... (0+ / 0-)

        ... he's truly for the people, but he's managed to generate that narrative here. Partly that was just contrast to the odious Reynolds, but for whatever reason I can remember a lot of positive comment regarding Davis from friends and family, and that's not going to just disappear.

  •  One down, one to go ...... (0+ / 0-)

    I'll be holding my breath until the official announcement comes, that this idiot loud mouth buffoon is finally gone.

    It is still beyond me how NY dems have not redistricted WNY back as of yet, which is the only reason Reynolds and his piece of garbage friend Kuhl remain in office in WNY, after the underhanded neocons reconfigured the political map ala DDT Delay.

  •  I don't know why... (0+ / 0-)

    ... but when I read this "Reynolds got lucky last year facing off against bat-shit insane "Democrat" Jack Davis, a wealthy businessman who refused to campaign (and only quit the GOP because Cheney personally insulted him)" I LOL'ed. He's exactly what we're trying to move away from. Better the Republican won, then the Dem seat stays in the hands of someone who's actually a Republican at heart pretending to be a Democrat. We've already got one Joe Lieberman.

    "The next time Hillary opens her mouth, she's going to sound like Elroy Jetson in comparison." ~ Some anonymous 'Wonkette' talk-backer.

    by OReillysNightmare on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 09:47:19 PM PDT

  •  Client #27, too, maybe? Why not? n.t. (0+ / 0-)
  •  This race enters the toss-up category now (0+ / 0-)
  •  Won't be missed (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    InternetJunkie

    Voting record more suitable for a Texas Republican than someone representing a Northeastern district. Poisonously partisan to boot.  And he always managed to be close by when scandals erupted.  The epitome of the brain dead and ethics challenged 90's Republican. Good riddance!

    The mind of a bigot is like the pupil of the eye. The more light you shine on it, the more it will contract. Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.

    by dietznbach on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 10:05:43 PM PDT

  •  So much for the gerrymander strategy (4+ / 0-)

    The districts here in western New York were part of the "permanent Republican majority" strategy that Reynolds, his buddy Tom DeLay and their friends were behind.

    Louise Slaughter, a saint if ever there was one, was gerrymandered into a bizarre safe-D seat that contains most of the cities of Rochester and Buffalo and a tiny strip of lakeshore in between. (That's a 70-mile distance!) Another safe-D seat, the 27th, was created south of Buffalo.

    Everything else, including my very blue suburb of Rochester, was carved up into unnatural stretched-out districts that were meant to be safe for Republicans for generations to come.

    Except...Jim Walsh retired in the 25th (Syracuse west to Rochester's eastern burbs), and the Republicans can't even come up with a credible candidate to replace him this year.

    Reynolds is out in the 26th, and the Democrats have three candidates with at least some credibility (I agree that Powers is by far the best of the bunch), while the GOP has...um...who, again?

    And in my district, the Fightin' 29th, Eric Massa came thisclose to knocking Randy Kuhl off in 2006, and he's spent the last two years getting ready to finish the job.

    Add to that the remarkable Democratic pickup in the 48th state Senate district to our northeast, the distinct possibility of another two seats flipping this fall (giving the Dems control of the state Senate), and it's shaping up to be a heck of a year out here.

    Just as our snows are finally giving way to spring, all that red is turning purple...and getting bluer by the day.

  •  Full retreat (0+ / 0-)

    #27.  Isn't that something?  In 2006, the GOP was soundly defeated.  Now they are in full retreat and hunkering down for a full rout in 2008.  

    I think my favorite part of the retreat was when McCain was at the White House (perhaps for the last time) to receive President Bush's endorsement.  McCain was asked how much campaigning Bush would do for him and he talked about how busy the President must be.  Isn't that precious?  I love it when they scurry away.

  •  This is huge (0+ / 0-)

    I remember Reynolds from the time I lived in Buffalo. He's damn near an institution there. I feel that this really puts the seat in play this year.

    Damn, my friends back there must be weirded out.

  •  Now all we NYers have to figure out is... (0+ / 0-)

    how the hell to get RID of Peter KING!!!!!!!!

    "THE SURGE IS WORKING" is the 2008 replacement for "MISSION ACCOMPLISHED"

    by KnotIookin on Wed Mar 19, 2008 at 10:39:45 PM PDT

  •  The only Republican in Western NY (0+ / 0-)

    HOORAY!!!

    -6.5, -7.59. Is there a hyphen in anal retentive?

    by DrWolfy on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 04:52:49 AM PDT

  •  I didn't realize they had a caucus..... (0+ / 0-)

    I wonder what they talked about...when they had one, that is.

    First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. -Mohandas Gandhi

    by ezdidit on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 05:03:44 AM PDT

  •  One of my old Prof's at Geneseo ran for (0+ / 0-)

    Congress in that district once upon a time. Bill Cook, one of the smartest guys you will ever meet. Wish I could still be back at Geneseo to at least vote for the guy.

    "For, in the final analysis, our most basic common link as that we all inhabit this small planet...We all cherish our children's future. And we are all mortal."

    by gradatbing on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 05:31:26 AM PDT

  •  Cutting and Running (0+ / 0-)

    Do we hear 28 Republicans who aren't willing to fight for their beliefs? Oh wait, they Republicans were just in it for the free hors d'ouvres.

  •  that's great! (0+ / 0-)

    Now the Dems can get a majority in the house!

  •  To be technical... (0+ / 0-)

    20% is doubly decimated - "decimated" originally meaning "to reduce by 10%".

    The kingdom of heaven is spread out upon the earth, and men do not see it.

    by MasonMcD on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 06:59:16 AM PDT

  •  What does it say about Republicans (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Andrew C White, dufffbeer

    that Tom Reynolds could survive his failed stewardship of Congressional pages but couldn't survive his failed stewardship of Republican money?

    I think Reynolds will have a tough time finding a safe K-Street spot to retreat to. I wondered why he didn't go there soon after they lost the House (under his watch), but now I doubt K-Street will have him.

  •  It's a Trap! (0+ / 0-)

    The Republicans figure they can destroy our money advantage by making us competitive in too many districts! We'll be too confused with too many races to target!

  •  A few years ago I got a call from the NRCC... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dufffbeer

    asking me as a business leader (ha!) if I wanted to make a contribution ($500 for my soul) and listen to a message from Reynolds.  Although a lifelong Democrat, I said I'd listen (I was curious). The recorded message had Reynolds telling me all the advantages I would have as a member of this special group of contributors, including periodical (sic) access to Bush.  After the message, the woman got back on the phone and asked me what I thought of it.  I asked her why Reynolds was selling magazine subscriptions.  She indignantly told me he was not, whereupon I told her that Reynolds should learn to speak English properly.  She hung up in a huff.  A fun morning.

  •  Dropping like flies. (0+ / 0-)

    It is a pitiful shame when these people do not work for the people, because when the going gets tough, they have no reason to fight to stay in and cower in the corner as if getting stoned to death.  I am so glad how more and more of us are finding these people in the Dem party- exposing them.  Soon we wil weed them out as well, I hope.

  •  Who's got the full list? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Superribbie

    If someone's got the up to date list of all of the GOP retirements this cycle (so far), I'd love to see it.  Thanks.  I'd like to email that to my current misrepresentative, Dave Reichert (WA-08).  Give him something to think about.  He might want to add his name to that list now rather than to go through an embarrassing campaign and loss to Darcy Burner, especially when he discovers that the national party can't and won't bail him out financially like they did in 2006.

    •  Here ya go (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Crisitunity

      Vacancies:
      VA-01 (Davis) (death)--replaced by Wittman (R)
      OH-05 (Gillmor) (death)--replaced by Latta (R)
      IL-14 (Hastert) (resignation)--replaced by Foster (D)
      LA-01 (Jindal) (elected Gov.)
      LA-06 (Baker) (resignation)
      MS-01 (Wicker) (appointed to Senate)

      Retirements:
      NY-25 (Walsh)
      NY-26 (Reynolds)
      NJ-03 (Saxton)
      NJ-07 (Ferguson)
      PA-05 (Peterson)
      MD-01 (Gilchrest) (lost primary)
      VA-11 (Davis)
      FL-15 (Weldon)
      AL-02 (Everett)
      MS-03 (Pickering)
      KY-02 (Lewis)
      LA-04 (McCrery)
      OH-07 (Hobson)
      OH-15 (Pryce)
      OH-16 (Regula)
      IL-11 (Weller)
      IL-18 (LaHood)
      MN-03 (Ramstad)
      MO-09 (Hulshof) (running for Gov.)
      WY-AL (Cubin)
      CO-06 (Tancredo)
      NM-01 (Wilson) (running for Sen.)
      NM-02 (Pearce) (running for Sen.)
      AZ-01 (Renzi)
      CA-04 (Doolittle)
      CA-52 (Hunter)

      The frogurt is also cursed. -8.25, -6.51

      by Superribbie on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 09:12:28 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  For balance, here is the Dem list (0+ / 0-)

        Vacancies:
        MA-05 (Meehan) (resignation)--replaced by Tsongas (D)
        IN-07 (Carson) (death)--replaced by Carson (D)
        CA-12 (Lantos) (death)

        Retirements:
        ME-01 (Allen) (running for Sen.)
        NY-21 (McNulty)
        MD-04 (Wynn) (lost primary)
        AL-05 (Cramer)
        CO-02 (Udall) (running for Sen.)
        NM-03 (Udall) (running for Sen.)
        OR-05 (Hooley)

        The frogurt is also cursed. -8.25, -6.51

        by Superribbie on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 09:20:07 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  So who's this (0+ / 0-)

        alleged 27th man that Kos is talking about? (I count 26, and that's including Gilchrest, who didn't go voluntarily.) Is he overlooking that Shadegg tried to retire and then reneged?

        Obama: Running the first campaign of the 21st century... Clinton: Running the last campaign of the 20th century

        by David Jarman on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 10:38:02 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  NY-25 and NY-26 open formerly Republican seats (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hazey, Superribbie, BENAWU

    Dan Maffei and Jon Powers the Democratic candidates to take those seats (Powers has a primary and needs our help).

    NY-29 held by Randy "Shotgun" Kuhl who narrowly, narrowly, narrowly defeated Eric Massa in 2006. Massa is a fantastic candidate but this is the most Republican district in the state so he too needs all the help we can give him.

    In 2006 we took NY-19, NY-20, and NY-24.

    John Hall is looking very safe in NY-19 given the Republicans inability to find a challenger to him.

    Mike Arcuri in NY-24 is likely very safe as Republicans narrowly held that district for some time prior to his taking it last cycle and they have yet to show any real interest in trying to take it back from him.

    Kirsten Gillibrand is the hardest working Representative I've ever seen and is doing everything she needs to do to retain her well deserved seat in NY-20. However, this is the seat the Republicans are really targeting as they have found a self-funding, mulit-millionaire, GE trust fund baby in Sandy Treadwell to challenge her. Treadwell can't hold a candle to Kirsten Gillibrand but the enrollment numbers and his ability to self-fund make this a tough challenge none the less. She needs our support.

    NY-21 is an open Democratic seat with Mike McNulty retiring. 5 Democrats have entered the race. I am working for one of them, Darius Shahinfar, and this is a great opportunity to send not just more, but a better Democrat to Congress. I ask for your help and support in sending Darius Shahinfar to Congress.

    And that leaves NY-13 where Steve Harrison is making a strong challenge against Vito Fossella, NY-03 where nutsy Peter King holds a seat for some bizzare reason, and NY-23 where John McHugh may well end up being the last Republican standing in New York.

    Things are looking up in the Empire State.

    Peace,

    Andrew

    Full Disclosure: I am Chair of the Darius Shahinfar for Congress Campaign Committee in NY-21.

    by Andrew C White on Thu Mar 20, 2008 at 09:04:55 AM PDT

  •  Glad Reynolds is gone, but why Powers? (0+ / 0-)

    Glad to see that Reynolds ("political patron" of Mark Foley) is gone... But I was surprised to see that Kos is supporting Powers, who has sounded like a Republican at times on tax issues and women's rights:

    "Powers labels himself primarily as 'fiscally conservative and socially progressive' -- ducking answers on hotbed issues like abortion.  'I'm an Irish Catholic and that's something I struggle with,' he said."  (Buffalo News 7/1/07)

  •  When did commitment stop mattering? (0+ / 0-)
    I don't understand the rush to support Powers over Kryzan.  Alice Kryzan has been working in the area and has been committed to progressive causes for her entire career, yet people seem willing to drop her for a guy who only recently decided that Democrats might have something worthwhile to say - a guy who by his own admission hasn't even figured out his positions on key issues.  How do you know that Powers will stick to his newfound principles, or that his positions will really be progressive when (if?) he ever gets around to figuring them out?  It's true that Kryzan gave money to Reynolds, but I would think that would be trivial compared to the fact that she was ready to contest him for the seat.  Also, there's an interesting debate to be had about her past work as a lawyer and the ethics of her past choices, but to me the real takeaway from that point is that Kryzan actually has past work that we can talk about in order to make an informed choice.  Powers gets a free pass because he doesn't have a record that we can examine?  

    I get that there's a lot of appeal to a young guy, especially a vet, and I'm sure that his appearance at Yearly Kos won him some points.  But I really feel like Kryzan's story is the ideal - the citizen who puts down roots in a community through years of work and service and ultimately takes that commitment and perspective into the national government.  That demonstrated commitment matters to me, and Kryzan has it; Powers doesn't.

  •  At Least we Know where Kryzan stands (0+ / 0-)

    I have to agree with the last two posts. It's not clear to me where he stands on the issues – until recently his website didn't have any info, and what's there now is pretty skimpy. I have to say I'm a little concerned about a Republican turned Democrat who is just mouthing platitudes and who didn't have any position on some pretty large issues when he declared. Doesn't he think the invasion of Iraq was a good idea, but it was just the poor execution that was the problem? How do we know what he really thinks about a whole host of progressive issues, or how he'll vote in Congress? We need to be electing proven progressives into Congress, otherwise we'll be getting the same old same old. We don't need more Lieberman-style Democrats.

    Kryzan may have given a small amount of money to Reynolds, but she also has given a lot more to a whole host of other Democrats, organized an enormous fundraiser for Kerry in '06, and has been active in a PAC supporting pro-choice progressive women in New York politics. She's been a Democrat her whole life, not just in words but in action, while Powers has been one for a little over two years and hasn't done anything to show it. It seems pretty early to have everyone falling behind him when we don't know anything about him. Has he even participated in a debate? Since we have a chance in this race, maybe we should step back and take a serious look at all the candidates so we can choose the best one to support, instead of just falling behind the first person to have declared (which seems to be what all the local counties did).

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