Disregard all the spin, all the hype, all the predictions and prognostications. At this point in the primary and caucus process, math is king. Its the final firewall.
more after the fold..
Don't believe my numbers. Simply go to a handy-dandy tool CNN has made available and punch in the number of delegates each candidate will win in the remaining races and see what the results are.
My summary shows Clinton winning Ohio, Obama winning Texas, both narrowly, Clinton winning PA narrowly, and dividing the remaining race in accordance with how I think they will go (see below).
In the end, for Clinton to win, I show her having to win 307 of the 364 remaining superdelegates who have not yet endorsed anyone.
And guess what? These numbers assume Florida and Michigan are seated at the convention with the delegates as they stand today.
Try it however you want. Obama will go into the convention with the most pledged delegates and he will win the nomination. Tomorrow, he may not win the battle, but there is no doubt he will have won the war.
I encourage you to use your own thinking, your own judgements and exercise the tool yourself. Post how many superdelegates Clinton needs to win of the 364 superdelegates remaining based on your own calcuations. I'd be curious to see them.
Here's my numbers:
Superdelegates: 307/57 Total Clinton 2025 (needed to win)
There is no way Clinton gets 307 of the remaining superdelegates.
And don't forget this gives Clinton FL and MI as they stand today.
No spin after tomorrow will change this simple fact. Math is the final firewall. I challenge any HRC supporter to post the numbers that shows a Clinton win and defend it. No spin, just numbers.