Daily Kos

Uncommitted Superdelegate Power Ranking

Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 09:17:54 AM PDT

For weeks now, there's been all this talk about how this presidential primary campaign might come to an end - if several prominent superdelegates were to endorse either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton as a group.  Or even, a larger group of semi-prominent superdelegates (remember the superdelegate surge that was rumored to be happening post-Texas/Ohio?)

Which got me to thinking:  Who would those superdelegates be?   Which superdelegates are especially influential - with other superdelegates, with the media, with the public?

  • Obviously, a lot of folks have mentioned Al Gore.  But he doesn't seem particularly interested in the job.
  • Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid could play that role, but they seem committed to waiting it out.
  • Jimmy Carter has negotiated peace treaties and observed elections all over the world.  Maybe we need him to weigh in.

In any case, rather than brainstorm up names, I decided to attempt a Power Ranking of Uncommitted Superdelegates.

So, I poured myself a stiff cocktail, came up with some criteria, assigned some values, and came up with a chart that ranks all 286 uncommitted superdelegates.

What did I include in my criteria?  Well, former presidents and vice presidents get big points, as do congressional leaders.  Senators were valued slightly more than Governors, who were valued slightly more than members of Congress, who were valued more than DNC members and other folks.  Members of Congress in tough swing districts, or those running for the US Senate, were valued slightly higher.  Being from a swing state counted extra, and being from a big state also counted extra.  Being from one of the remaining primary states counts extra, but being from Michigan or Florida carries a slight penalty.  Folks who seem to have some sort of prominence got bonus points as well, such as former presidential candidates, policy leaders on key issues, committee chairmen, etc.

Now, admittedly, this is an entirely subjective exercise, an attempt at quantifying purely qualitative judgments.  Hundreds of them.  

The purpose here isn't to craft the definitive list, or to issue some truth from a mountaintop.  Rather, it's to start a conversation.

What did I miss?  Who should be ranked higher?  Who should be ranked lower?

Which superdelegate endorsement are you waiting for?  Which of these superdelegates, perhaps in combination with a dozen others, could put an end to this primary election?

[Some disclosure:  I'm a campaign internet strategist based in Oregon.  Several of my past and present (and hopefully future) clients are superdelegates - some Obama, some Clinton, some uncommitted.  I'm an Obama supporter, but as one prominent Clinton supporter says, I'm an "Obama-come-lately."  I was a diehard maxed-out Edwards supporter, for whatever that's worth.]

Without further ado...

#139 pts.Vice President Al GoreTN
#238 pts.President Jimmy CarterGA
#336 pts.Sen. Harry ReidNV
#433 pts.Rep. Nancy PelosiCA
#530 pts.Gov. Howard DeanVT
#629 pts.Sen. Sherrod BrownOH
#727 pts.Sen. Tom HarkinIA
#825 pts.Sen. George MitchellNY
#924 pts.Sen. Joe BidenDE
#1023 pts.Sen. Mary LandrieuLA
#1122 pts.Rep. Rahm EmanuelIL
#1122 pts.Sen. Ron WydenOR
#1122 pts.Sen. Max BaucusMT
#1122 pts.Sen. Jon TesterMT
#1521 pts.Sen. Jim WebbVA
#1521 pts.Rep. Steny HoyerMD
#1521 pts.Gov. Joe ManchinWV
#1820 pts.Rep. Dennis KucinichOH
#1820 pts.Sen. Robert ByrdWV
#1820 pts.Gov. Brian SchweitzerMT
#2119 pts.Rep. Mike HondaCA
#2218 pts.Rep. Henry WaxmanCA
#2218 pts.Rep. Zack SpaceOH
#2417 pts.Rep. Tom UdallNM
#2417 pts.Sen. Herb KohlWI
#2417 pts.Rep. Jason AltmirePA
#2417 pts.Rep. Chris CarneyPA
#2816 pts.Rep. Jim ClyburnSC
#2816 pts.Rep. Jerry McNerneyCA
#2816 pts.Sen. Jeff BingamanNM
#2816 pts. Robert Schwarz StraussTX
#2816 pts.Rep. Jim McDermottWA
#2816 pts.Rep. Peter DeFazioOR
#3415 pts.Rep. Ron KleinFL
#3415 pts.Rep. Pete StarkCA
#3415 pts.Rep. Tom AllenME
#3415 pts. Donna BrazileDC
#3415 pts.Rep. Marcia KapturOH
#3415 pts.Rep. Tim RyanOH
#3415 pts.Rep. Betty SuttonOH
#3415 pts.Rep. Charlie WilsonOH
#4214 pts. Alex SinkFL
#4214 pts.Rep. Mark UdallCO
#4214 pts.Gov. John LynchNH
#4214 pts.Rep. Ciro RodriguezTX
#4214 pts. Chris RedfernOH
#4214 pts.Gov. Mike EasleyNC
#4214 pts.Rep. Bob BradyPA
#4214 pts.Rep. Mike DoylePA
#4214 pts.Rep. Tim HoldenPA
#5113 pts.Sen. Carl LevinMI
#5113 pts.Sen. Ken SalazarCO
#5113 pts.Rep. Howard BermanCA
#5113 pts.Rep. Lois CappsCA
#5113 pts.Rep. Jim CostaCA
#5113 pts.Rep. Susan DavisCA
#5113 pts.Rep. Sam FarrCA
#5113 pts.Rep. Bob FilnerCA
#5113 pts.Sen. Frank LautenbergNJ
#5113 pts.Rep. Nick LampsonTX
#5113 pts.Rep. Chris Van HollenMD
#5113 pts.Sen. Ben CardinMD
#5113 pts.Rep. Heath ShulerNC
#5113 pts.Rep. Brad EllsworthIN
#5113 pts.Rep. Joe DonnellyIN
#5113 pts.Rep. Baron HillIN
#6712 pts.Rep. Allen BoydFL
#6712 pts.Rep. Tim MahoneyFL
#6712 pts.Gov. Roy RomerCO
#6712 pts.Gov. Brad HenryOK
#6712 pts. Art TorresCA
#6712 pts.Rep. Jim MarshallGA
#6712 pts.Sen. Daniel AkakaHI
#6712 pts.Sen. Jack ReedRI
#6712 pts. Linda Chavez-ThompsonTX
#6712 pts.Sen. Thomas R. CarperDE
#6712 pts.Rep. Gabrielle GiffordsAZ
#6712 pts.Rep. Harry MitchellAZ
#6712 pts.Rep. Collin PetersonMN
#6712 pts. Joyce BeattyOH
#6712 pts. William BurgaOH
#6712 pts. Enid GoubeauxOH
#6712 pts.Rep. David WuOR
#8411 pts. Karen ThurmanFL
#8411 pts.Rep. John SalazarCO
#8411 pts.Gov. Bill RitterCO
#8411 pts.Rep. Joe CourtneyCT
#8411 pts.Rep. Bruce BraleyIA
#8411 pts.Rep. Nancy BoydaKS
#8411 pts. Brian ColonNM
#8411 pts. Sam LiebermanNV
#8411 pts. Ray BuckleyNH
#8411 pts.Rep. Ike SkeltonMO
#8411 pts.Gov. Phil BredesenTN
#8411 pts.Rep. Rick LarsenWA
#8411 pts.Gov. Steve BeshearKY
#8411 pts. Meredith Woods-SmithOR
#8411 pts. William GeorgePA
#8411 pts. Sophie MasloffPA
#10010 pts. Mark BrewerMI
#10010 pts. Scott BrennanIA
#10010 pts. Lottie ShackelfordAR
#10010 pts. Crystal StraitCA
#10010 pts. Edward EspinozaCA
#10010 pts. Inola HenryCA
#10010 pts. Carole MigdenCA
#10010 pts. Bob MulhollandCA
#10010 pts. Christine PelosiCA
#10010 pts. John A. PerezCA
#10010 pts. Robert RankinCA
#10010 pts. Keith UmemotoCA
#10010 pts. Steve YbarraCA
#10010 pts. Philip D. MurphyNJ
#10010 pts.Rep. Michael MichaudME
#10010 pts. Boyd RichieTX
#10010 pts. John TemporitiMO
#10010 pts. Dwight PelzWA
#10010 pts. Susan TurnbullMD
#10010 pts. Awais KhaleelWI
#10010 pts. Lena TaylorWI
#10010 pts. Paula ZellnerWI
#10010 pts.Rep. Bob EtheridgeNC
#10010 pts.Rep. Mike McIntyreNC
#10010 pts.Rep. Brad MillerNC
#10010 pts.Rep. David PriceNC
#10010 pts.Rep. Mel WattNC
#10010 pts.Rep. Alan MollohanWV
#10010 pts.Rep. André CarsonIN
#10010 pts.Rep. Pete ViscloskyIN
#1309 pts. Dan GelberFL
#1309 pts. Steve GellerFL
#1309 pts. Diane GlasserFL
#1309 pts. Andrew TobiasFL
#1309 pts. Jon AusmanFL
#1309 pts. Terrie BradyFL
#1309 pts. Mitchell CeasarFL
#1309 pts. Janee MurphyFL
#1309 pts. Rudolph ParkerFL
#1309 pts.Rep. Carolyn Cheeks KilpatrickMI
#1309 pts.Rep. Bart StupakMI
#1309 pts.Rep. William JeffersonLA
#1309 pts.Rep. Charlie MelanconLA
#1309 pts.Rep. Rush HoltNJ
#1309 pts. Catherine Cortez MastoNV
#1309 pts. Yvonne GatesNV
#1309 pts.Rep. Edward MarkeyMA
#1309 pts.Rep. John OlverMA
#1309 pts.Rep. John TierneyMA
#1309 pts.Rep. Niki TsongasMA
#1309 pts.Rep. Lincoln DavisTN
#1309 pts.Rep. Bart GordonTN
#1309 pts.Rep. John TannerTN
#1309 pts.Rep. John SarbanesMD
#1309 pts. Nancy LarsonMN
#1309 pts.Rep. Ben ChandlerKY
#1309 pts. Bill BradburyOR
#1309 pts. Frank DixonOR
#1309 pts. Jenny GreenleafOR
#1309 pts. Wayne KinneyOR
#1309 pts. Gail RasmussenOR
#1309 pts. Jerry MeekNC
#1309 pts. Nick Casey Jr.WV
#1638 pts.Rep. Bud CramerAL
#1638 pts. Pat WaakCO
#1638 pts. Chris WhittingtonLA
#1638 pts.Rep. John SprattSC
#1638 pts. Richard MachacekIA
#1638 pts.Rep. Dan BorenOK
#1638 pts.Rep. Dennis MooreKS
#1638 pts.Rep. Gene TaylorMS
#1638 pts.Rep. Jim MathesonUT
#1638 pts.Rep. Mazie HironoHI
#1638 pts. David HardtTX
#1638 pts. Al EdwardsTX
#1638 pts. Jaime Gonzalez Jr.TX
#1638 pts. Robert MartinezTX
#1638 pts. John PatrickTX
#1638 pts. Betty RichieTX
#1638 pts. C. Richard CranwellVA
#1638 pts. Jay NixonMO
#1638 pts. Robin CarnahanMO
#1638 pts. Yolanda WheatMO
#1638 pts. Maria Chappelle-NadalMO
#1638 pts. Leila MedleyMO
#1638 pts. Ralph DawsonNY
#1638 pts. Irene SteinNY
#1638 pts. Gray SasserTN
#1638 pts. Eileen MacollWA
#1638 pts. Ed CoteWA
#1638 pts. Sharon MastWA
#1638 pts. David McDonaldWA
#1638 pts. Don BivensAZ
#1638 pts.Rep. Madeleine BordalloGU
#1638 pts. Michael CryorMD
#1638 pts. Jennifer MooreKY
#1638 pts. Dennis McDonaldMT
#1977 pts. Michael TardiffMI
#1977 pts. Lauren WolfeMI
#1977 pts. Virgie RollinsMI
#1977 pts. Robert FicanoMI
#1977 pts. Richard WienerMI
#1977 pts. Jeffrey RadjewskiMI
#1977 pts. Joyce LalondeMI
#1977 pts. Lu BattaglieriMI
#1977 pts. Tina AbbottMI
#1977 pts. Kwame KilpatrickMI
#1977 pts. Brenda LawrenceMI
#1977 pts. Eric ColemanMI
#1977 pts. Elizabeth BunnMI
#1977 pts. Richard ShoemakerMI
#1977 pts. Debbie DingellMI
#1977 pts. Joe TurnhamAL
#1977 pts. Nancy DiNardoCT
#1977 pts. Ivan HolmesOK
#1977 pts. Larry GatesKS
#1977 pts. Wayne DowdyMS
#1977 pts. Steven AchelpohlNE
#1977 pts. Wayne Holland Jr.UT
#1977 pts. Beverly WithingtonHI
#1977 pts. Keith RoarkID
#1977 pts. Jennifer DeChantME
#1977 pts. Sam SpencerME
#1977 pts. Anita BondsDC
#1977 pts. John DanielloDE
#1977 pts. David StraussND
#1977 pts. Edward SmithIL
#1977 pts. Dr. Jeanette CouncilNC
#1977 pts. Muriel OffermanNC
#1977 pts. David ParkerNC
#1977 pts. Carol PetersonNC
#1977 pts. Alice GermondWV
#2326 pts. Elsie BurkhalterLA
#2326 pts. Claude "Buddy" LeachLA
#2326 pts. Richard RayGA
#2326 pts. Alexis HermanVA
#2326 pts. Joe JohnsonVA
#2326 pts. Jim LeamanVA
#2326 pts. Jerome Wiley SegoviaVA
#2326 pts. Debra KozikowskiMA
#2326 pts. James Roosevelt JrMA
#2326 pts. Vicki HarwellTN
#2326 pts. Jerry LeeTN
#2326 pts. Dr. Inez CrutchfieldTN
#2326 pts. Lauren GloverMD
#2326 pts. John GageMD
#2326 pts. Belkis Leong-HongMD
#2326 pts. Heather MizeurMD
#2326 pts. Gregory PecoraroMD
#2326 pts. John SweeneyMD
#2326 pts. Nathan SmithKY
#2326 pts. Moretta BosleyKY
#2525 pts. Nancy WorleyAL
#2525 pts. Wilbur Lee JeffcoatSC
#2525 pts. Gilda Cobb-HunterSC
#2525 pts. John OlsenCT
#2525 pts. Reggie WhittenOK
#2525 pts. Mike MorganOK
#2525 pts. Jim FrasierOK
#2525 pts. Kalyn FreeOK
#2525 pts. Jay ParmleyOK
#2525 pts. Helen KnetzerKS
#2525 pts. Carnelia Pettis FondrenMS
#2525 pts. Audra OstergardNE
#2525 pts. Helen LanganUT
#2525 pts. Joshua WischHI
#2525 pts. Dr. Marie Dolly StrazarHI
#2525 pts. Blake JohnsonAK
#2525 pts. Cindy SpanyersAK
#2525 pts. Harry Thomas, Jr.DC
#2525 pts. Christine WarnkeDC
#2525 pts. Larry CohenDC
#2525 pts. Harriet Smith-WindsorDE
#2525 pts. Margarett CampbellMT
#2525 pts. Cheryl ChapmanSD
#2525 pts. Nancy DrummondWY
#2525 pts. Cynthia NunleyWY
#2525 pts. Christine MarquesDA*
#2525 pts. Theresa MorelliDA*
#2525 pts. Antonio CharfaurosGU
#2525 pts. Cecilia MafnasGU
#2525 pts. Taling TaitanoGU
#2525 pts. Robert UnderwoodGU
#2525 pts. Luisette CabanasPR
#2525 pts. Eliseo Roques-ArroyoPR
#2525 pts. Marylyn StapletonVI
#2525 pts. Carol BurkeVI

Tags: Obama, Clinton, superdelegates (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

Permalink | 30 comments

Permalink | 30 comments