400 dams in China damaged, dammit
Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:13:33 AM PDT
The New York Times reports that 400 dams were damaged in the Sichuan earthquake. One dam upriver from Dujiangyan, one of the hardest-hit cities, has "dangerous cracks."
The New York Times reports that some 400 dams were damaged in Monday's gargantuan earthquake in Sichuan. Soldiers have been sent to try to plug dangerous cracks in one dam in particular, the Zigpingpu dam, upstream from the heavily-damaged city of Dujiangyan.
Four hundred dams. I was in the 1971 Sylmar earthquake. We lived in the south end of the San Fernando Valley, and so were not among the 300,000 people who had to evacuate the northern end following the quake because of damage to the Lower Van Norman dam. (Valley residents were very lucky: water authorities were able to drain the basin quickly enough to prevent it from failing. Damage to the dam -- cracked and displaced slabs on the dam's interior structure -- was visible for many, many months afterwards.)
I also had the opportunity to take a cruise on the Yangtze River in 2002, shortly before the Three Gorges Dam was completed: we wanted to see the Lesser Gorges and other places that would soon be underwater forever after. It was sobering to see the line that the Chinese government had marked all along the canyon walls and on buildings in riverside cities and towns: everything below the red line would be underwater, including countless acres of rich, arable land. Millions of Chinese people were displaced.
And as we approached the site of the immense dam itself -- truly the largest structure I have ever seen -- all of the reports critical about the dam's controversial placement and construction were very much on my mind. The volume of water is staggering to consider: with a surface area of 1084 square miles, the reservoir capacity is 1.39 trillion cubic feet. Should the Three Gorges dam fail, some estimates put the number of outright casualties downstream at upwards of 10 million, with tens of millions more affected thereafter by pollution, disease, and starvation. Currently, thankfully, so far no damage to the Three Gorges dam has been reported.
China has already suffered catastrophic dam failure in its history: During Typhoon Nina in August, 1975, a series of sixty-two (62!) dams failed (or were destroyed intentionally) on the Ru River system in Henan Province. Per Wikipedia, 26,000 people died outright, with 115,000 dying from secondary effects; nearly 6 million buildings were destroyed. In all, more than 11 million people were affected.
It is not clear at this point if any of the 400 affected dams will collapse in Sichuan, although aftershocks will continue to weaken those already damaged. It is certain, however, that should a major dam fail upstream, the water released would cause other dams downstream to fail, with catastrophic consequences for any towns and cities along the rivers. Let us all hope that Sichaun's tragedy will not be compounded.
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