Obama Rebound? New CBS Poll: O vs. C: 50:38

There are some signs in the last couple of days that the worst is behind for Obama. At least for now. Clinton started to spil her Kitchen Sink III and casts herself as an "underdog" in Indiana. The polls showed that Obama held off Clinton's surge in NC and tie her up in Indiana.

Now, new CBS poll shows that Obama is on offensive again.

http://www.cbsnews.com/...

And that relates to both races. A hypotethical race against McSame:

On one key measure, Obama has seen a big reversal since his denunciation of Wright’s remarks on Tuesday. He now leads presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in the hypothetical fall contest by eleven points, 51 percent to 40 percent.  

 

And ongoing race agains the Clintons.

Positive assessments of how Obama has handled the situation with Wright are also reflected by a continued lead over fellow Democrat Hillary Clinton in his battle for their party’s nomination. Among Democratic primary voters (those who have voted or plan to vote in a Democratic primary) Obama’s lead over Clinton has increased -- he now leads Clinton by twelve points, 50 percent to 38 percent. That’s up from his eight point lead in the poll released just a few days ago.  

Perhaps, Obama, for the first time since before TX & OH primaries, surges just in time.

•  Let's hope

  It's time to relegate the Clintons to the dustbin of  history.

  by jaywillie on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:15:08 PM PDT

  •  Tip Jar, please :)

    by karpaty lviv on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:27:35 PM PDT

    •  Our "ruined" military deserves

      at least that much respect.   "Obliterate Iran" Hillary vs. her neo-con, corporate/MIC  buddy "Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran"  McCain.   WHAT THE HELL ARE MY FELLOW WOMEN PEERS THINKING?   (disclosure:  mom of a Florida National Guard Staff. Sgt. that has supported Obama, along with his military friends, since their return from Afghanistan and Iraq in the fall of 2006)  

      by mjd in florida on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:02:23 PM PDT

      •  When is Obliterate-Gate going to be the story?

        Who cares about "bitter gate" when Clinton's pledge to "totally obliterate" Iran, which implies that she is willing to incinerate all 75 million men, women and children in Iran, is largely ignored?

        Seventy-five million?  An entire ancient culture, gone, wiped away?   What a stunningly stupid thing to threaten!   That drags the discussion down to the lowest and crudest level, giving a rallying point to the most repressive and regressive elements inside Iran.   To say something so stupid makes life a lot harder for the younger and more progressive Iranians who chafe under ultra-orthodox rule and hope to break free and join the world community once more.

        What do you call someone who gives aid and comfort the the worst elements in another nation?  Someone who is ready "on day one"?   or someone who has no business in a position of high authority.  I vote for option two.

        by arthura on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:16:58 PM PDT

        •  Hillary proved months ago that she is a party

          to the neocon, military, industrial complex with her War Vote against Iran (Kyl-Lieberman) designating Iran's National Guard "terrorists" which endangered all of our troops in the Middle East, especially those deployed to Iraq.  Of course, our complicit, corporate media didn't discuss or analysis that vote either.    peace, mjd

          by mjd in florida on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:25:56 PM PDT

          •  That Kyl-Lieberman vote...

            is the proof I need to know that a Clinton and Obama presidency will be very different from one another. The media is pushing this meme, and even the candidates are at fault for this, that the two are not much different from one another. I think that is completely absurd.

            by BlueStateWatchdog on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:41:27 PM PDT

        •  I've wondered about that, too--why

          does the media harp on the non-issue of Obama's former pastor, while virtually ignoring Hill's boast of "obliterating" Iran if they attack Israel? That's so much scarier...

          by collardgreens on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:30:11 PM PDT

          •  Probably because

            An invasion of Iran is on the military-industrial corporate agenda . . .

            by susanWAstate on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:58:16 PM PDT

            •  That is so frightening..but prob. true...

              by collardgreens on Sun May 04, 2008 at 08:15:22 PM PDT

    •  The man is AMAZING!!

      He takes a lickin' and keeps on tickin'!!

      by markthshark on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:03:14 PM PDT

    •  ahem

      >>>However, among all registered voters who identify themselves as Democrats (regardless of whether they have voted or plan to vote in a Democratic primary) Obama and Clinton are virtually tied -- 45 percent for Clinton and 44 percent for Obama. This is similar to the numbers earlier in the week.

      by katz5 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:29:07 PM PDT

      •  Isn't Indiana an open primary though?

        by Jampacked on Sun May 04, 2008 at 09:20:09 PM PDT

  •  We can do that

    By making calls!

    Something tells me we've stopped phone banking =(

    by dsharma23 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:59:13 PM PDT

    •  Yes! I am a native, rural farm girl raised

      in mid-Michigan.  My 85 year old (very) Catholic mommy is still running our 1600 acre crop farm and voting for Obama this fall. (my dad was a former director of the Michigan Crop Improvement program at MSU)  Come on rural Indiana.  Get it together!    peace, mjd

      by mjd in florida on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:42:03 PM PDT

  •  Yay!

    Well, they'll have to console themselves with the millions that Bill makes whoring himself out to corporations and foreign governments for lobbying favors.

    by tiggers thotful spot on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:46:24 PM PDT

  •  Afraid so..tis pity tis true, tis true tis pity

    by collardgreens on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:28:07 PM PDT

•  I hope he can take NC and IN and close this deal

  I'm ready for the next stage of this contest!

  by Wanda517 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:15:36 PM PDT

  •  I've already voted in Oregon

    but want NC and IN to END this on Tuesday!  HRC is coming back to  Oregon on Thursday and Friday.  There's always time to cancel after Tuesday!!!

    by Molly M on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:19:58 PM PDT

    •  I did my part in NC. I hope IN takes care of

      business!!!  

      by Adzam13 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:00:30 PM PDT

      •  on tues I will do my part in In

        I hope the end is near

        by larryww on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:21:21 PM PDT

    •  Thanks!

      by lyingeyes on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:21:41 PM PDT

    •  Something tells me

      No matter how the elections come down this Tues, it will all still go on. I know my state, Kentucky is REALLY looking forward on May 20th to our primary because it will be 'important' for a change since we never have our voices 'heard' since we are always so late.

      For myself, having it all stopped would be 'okie dokie' with me, for sure!

      by Wary on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:51:50 PM PDT

      •  It won't be "over"...

        ...unless and until Obama crosses the "magic number" of 2,208 that would result if the slates from the illicit primaries in Florida and Michigan were seated. (That count would include Obama's pledged delegates, superdelegates, and any Obama delegates from the illicit slates.)

        Not that I think the rules (that HRC agreed to, and her campaign chief voted for) should be broken for Florida and Michigan but, until such time as even including them would not be enough to prevent an Obama first-ballot victory, you can count on Hillary dragging the procedure out with lots of hypocritical complaints about "vote suppression" (as if a one-candidate race with write-ins banned is the height of democracy).

        That's the sort of game the Clintonistas play, and we better be prepared for it.

        by regnaDkciN on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:30:01 PM PDT

  •  He would get his butt kicked on Tuesday as usual!

    by indydem99 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:18:27 PM PDT

    •  Macaroni Souffle

                         
      I took this to my first college potluck

      Recipe By: adapted from Recipes For A Small Planet
      Serving Size: 4
      -= Ingredients =-
      8/9 cups Bread crumbs
      1 1/3 cups Milk ; scalded
      8/9 cups Elbow Macaroni Noodles ; cooked as directed
      2 2/3 Eggs ; beaten
      1 pinch Tabasco sauce
      2/3 teaspoon Dry mustard
      2/3 cup Cheddar cheese ; shredded
      2/3 cup Mozzerella cheese ; shredded, or 2 c. total of several shredded cheeses

      -= Instructions =-
      Pour hot milk over crumbs to soften.

      Stir eggs, cheese and seasonings into crumbs.

      Place cooked macaroni in greased casserole and pour crumb cheese mixture over it. Place casserole in a pan of hot water and bake at 325 for about 40-50 mi. until firm.

      **

      by nicolemm on Sun May 04, 2008 at 08:48:03 PM PDT

•  gallup also shows a rebound

  http://www.gallup.com/...

  hopefully a good sign of things to come.

  by quantumslip on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:15:41 PM PDT

  •  People understand getting stabbed in the back

    by a friend with his or her own agenda. Happens all the time to every day people...

    by The Bagof Health and Politics on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:48:49 PM PDT

    •  Doesn't it though!

      This might have been good for Obama in the end. Everyone can relate to treachery.

      by Zebras on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:59:58 PM PDT

•  That would be great to see

  and to see all the talking heads from the MSM have to eat their own words.
  Heck I just read a diary where someone was showing us how Obama would only have 2 delegates less than Hillary after IN......already assuming he was going to lose. What a mind set to imply!
  Thanks for a good news post, I was becoming depressed after the one before this!

  by Sam In College on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:15:59 PM PDT

  •  Best part of the poll

    The impact (Wright) appears strongest among Republicans who are much less likely to vote for any Democrat.

    by Kitty on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:35:46 PM PDT

    •  Media coverage

      Voters across the board, including many who are not inclined to support Barack Obama’s bid for the presidency, all agree that the media have spent too much time covering the story surrounding Barack Obama and Rev. Wright.

      MEDIA COVERAGE OF THE REV. WRIGHT CONTROVERSY HAS BEEN...?

      (Among registered voters)
      Too much 56%
      Too little 5
      About right 34

      by Kitty on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:07:33 PM PDT

      •  Hey Kitty

        Nice poll. Where did you get those numbers?

        by DelicateMonster on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:22:00 PM PDT

        •  Hey Delecate Monster

          A poster provided a link to the poll.  I copied it directly from the pdf

          by Kitty on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:28:29 PM PDT

        •  The link to the pdf is here

          It's in another diary. click on "cbs poll" link from the diary and you can download the lengthy pdf.  All kinds of goodies in there

          http://www.dailykos.com/...

          by Kitty on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:37:56 PM PDT

          •  Thx!! n/t

            by DelicateMonster on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:21:47 PM PDT

      •  The media is the only institution

        with lower approval ratings than Bush. Always remember that...

        by The Bagof Health and Politics on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:25:46 PM PDT

        •  good point

          That's the only thing we ALL agree on....Obama supporters, Hillary supporters, Republicans, Independents, Ron Paul supporters, Dittoheads, etc, etc, etc.  We all think the corporate media, especially the televised media...especially the 24 hour news stations are garbage.  And they might think that were still watching but we aren't.  Fewer and fewer people I know in my life watch any of that shit.  My 80 year old Grandmother watches CNN religiously.  She's about the only person I know that still watches.  Besides Olbermann, I don't watch.  More people though have to stop complaining and start voting with your remote and turning that bullshit off.  

          by dehydratedcracker on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:52:53 PM PDT

          •  If we turn them off

            how do the networks know?  Does Comcast, for example, keep records of our viewing habits?

            by ybruti on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:30:29 PM PDT

            •  They won't admit it.

              But a friend of mine who works in technical support (not at Comcast, another one) says they know what you watch.  What are the chances that they don't sell that information to the networks?

              by GMFORD on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:54:20 PM PDT

              •  thank you, I've really been wondering

                if they knew I was suddenly watching MSNBC after ignoring it for years.That means Dan Abrams is benefitting from being in a Countdown sandwich as far as this household's viewing habits. Sometimes Hairball,too.

                by nicolemm on Sun May 04, 2008 at 08:52:11 PM PDT

            •  I know TiVo knows

              They make no secret that they collect aggregate viewer statistics. Personally, it doesn't bother me a bit that they report back to MSNBC that there were 37 people in my ZIP code (or whatever) watching Countdown on Thursday, since the information doesn't get back that I was one of them, but I have friends who freak out at the idea of even being counted as part of an aggregate statistic.

              It wouldn't surprise me at all if Comcast does something similar. It's more reliable than Nielsens and therefore more valuable.

              by Omir the Storyteller on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:27:59 PM PDT

      •  How About Way Overboard TOOOO Much?

        by hopalong on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:14:29 PM PDT

•  This is one surge I can support.

  by Namtrix on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:16:38 PM PDT

  •  AMEN

    by ye ye ye on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:26:42 PM PDT

  •  Hagel would be a heck of a choice

    He was McCain's best friend back in 2000...selecting Hagel emphasizes what's changed with McCain over the past eight years.

    by The Bagof Health and Politics on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:26:37 PM PDT

    •  One of the few Republicans I actually like

      I'd go as far to say I like him better than Ben Nelson....well, kinda.

      by illinihusker on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:45:57 PM PDT

      •  I like and respect Hagel alot.

        certainly more than Hillary, but that's a low bar.

        My perception is that he was challenging the Bush administration when alot of Dems were being very quiet.  

        I'm sure i'd disagree with him on alot of domestic issues, but that's ok.  He reminds me of the cliche 'learn to disagree without being disagreeable'.  

        by NY John on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:26:59 PM PDT

    •  Hagel votes about 90% Bush on

      domestic issues. He's only liberal re Iraq.

      by ronlib on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:05:49 PM PDT

    •  Hagel would be a tremendous choice for VP (nt)

      nm

      by unruli on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:12:32 PM PDT

•  Put the head-to-head #'s in the Title

  Obama seems to be closing well. Hopefully this gas-tax pander is getting some negative reaction.

  by turneresq on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:17:00 PM PDT

  •  PS

    I edited your tags. Post a tip jar!

    by turneresq on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:18:00 PM PDT

  •  Done. Tx.

    by karpaty lviv on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:25:33 PM PDT

•  Also Gallup

  Not statistically significant, but Obama is now 4 points up on Clinton on Gallup's tracking poll.  This from being down 4 to 2 then even in the previous 3 days.  Could be a reversal.  He also gained against her in the Rasmussen tracking poll from down 8 a few days ago to even today.  Nice.

  by accumbens on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:17:43 PM PDT

•  yes!

  Finally some really good news. 11% over McCain, 12% over Clinton. In just 2 days he has rebounded 12 points from a tie. The disavowal of Wright seems to be all America needed to get the momentum going again.

  by reformerdc on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:18:25 PM PDT

  •  At the end of the day

    most Americans can relate to having a slightly nutty friend (and I'm speaking from their point of view here) that you try to support at the start but have to wash your hands of when they (again, from the hypothetical American's point of view) go off the deep end.  It makes Obama look reasonable, diplomatic, and loyal to his friends but not to a fault.

    by socratic on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:29:25 PM PDT

    •  I know thee not, old man

      It's an age-old story.  

      Is Wright Obama's Falstaff?  Not exactly, but the parallels are there.

      by LawStudent on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:10:28 PM PDT

    •  Just one slightly nutty friend,,,I have lots

      Not only am I a mental health professional but I have made the worst or best choice in friends, spouses and significant others. Wright might be a refreshing change for me if he needs a nbf!

      by jjackso1 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:45:54 PM PDT

      •  I can't think of any of my friends

        who does not fit that description. Kind of like years ago when I saw an article someone had clipped out of the Weekly World News on "How To Tell If Someone You Know Is A Space Alien" -- I looked at the list and couldn't think of anyone I knew who didn't fit at least one of their tells.

        by Omir the Storyteller on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:30:22 PM PDT

•  Maybe that's why Hillary is running an ad

  with a gun pointed at his head?

  http://www.politico.com/...

  Just when you think they can't sink any lower, the Clintons never fail to amaze.

  by Dartagnan on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:18:25 PM PDT

  •  She will say anything

    The way Hillary and Bill have conducted themselves is disgraceful.They no longer have my respect. They will do and say anything to achieve what they think she is entitled too.  When I now hear her voice it's like hearing fingernails on the blackboard. I cannot stand to look at either anymore.

    by ardentgent on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:24:18 PM PDT

    •  To my unending sorrow

      I feel the same, ardentgent. I used to have a great deal of respect for them, I hope they can in some way redeem themselves.

      When this ends we need to heal the rift in this party. It is real, I know people who are deeply committed to her and they will feel awful, there has to be healing. But, right now I can barely stand to see her.

      by high uintas on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:46:45 PM PDT

    •  I would like to see a poll which measures

      candidate nastiness.

      Voters could be asked, "Which candidate do you think has run more negative attack ads which you thought were unfair?"

      by BonzoDogBand on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:23:19 PM PDT

      •  I think they have run such polls...

        ...Clinton supporters all say Obama has run a dirtier and more negative campaign, Obama supporters say the same about Clinton.

        by regnaDkciN on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:40:13 PM PDT

  •  I am sure she does not show her nastiness

    without a reason. Recall, how unusually quiet she was until last Friday or so?

    by karpaty lviv on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:29:25 PM PDT

    •  Do you think that Hillary is running scared

      now?

      I hope so!

      by BonzoDogBand on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:26:28 PM PDT

      •  Bill asked today people to pray for her...

        by karpaty lviv on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:43:15 PM PDT

        •  Are you serious?

          After trashing Wright (especially since the Reverend was there to succor Bill in his time of woe), I would be very afraid of asking any Deity for his/her blessing.  The karma that the Clinton's have coming to them just can't be good.

          by Alohilani on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:01:40 PM PDT

        •  I'm going to pray for her to seek redemption for

          threatening to kill 7 million people, let alone the way she has divided Americans.

          by CIndyCasella on Sun May 04, 2008 at 08:28:18 PM PDT

          •  70 million {N/T}

            by grndrush on Sun May 04, 2008 at 09:43:05 PM PDT

•  Gallup and Rasmussen

  He is also back to 49-45 in Gallups tracking poll where he was before PA
  And he is climbing back to a tie on Rasmussen

  "nuff said

  by BenjaminOMeara on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:18:40 PM PDT

•  Obama is Closing the Deal!

  This is his most powerful weekend run up to a Tuesday election since Wisc, plus Hillary gave him the Gas Tax Ponzi scam gift.

  by Delevie on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:19:00 PM PDT

  •  I feel it too

    This does not feel like pre OH./TX or pre PA
    But I havbe been disappointed so many times before ...

    by BenjaminOMeara on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:20:25 PM PDT

    •  Difference between

      pre-OH/TX and pre-PA and now is that:

      In Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania, we were all hoping for an UPSET.  If you hope for upsets, you're going to get disappointed.

      Obama winning North Carolina big will not be an upset.

      by Anarchofascist on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:29:04 PM PDT

      •  Right, but

        an Indiana win would certainly be an upset, and that is probably what would be needed to convince Clinton to drop out forthwith. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like that will happen.

        by Caesura on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:53:34 PM PDT

        •  Indiana was 50/50, but with Obama surging now,

          that will tip it to an Obama victory.

          by BonzoDogBand on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:31:09 PM PDT

    •  Amen n/t

      by bakenjuddy on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:52:01 PM PDT

  •  I said earlier