(Update 2) Friday Super Delegate Open Thread (O + 3, C +0)

Good morning fellow super delegate news junkies.   The trickle has been turning into a steady stream lately: +4 on Wednesday, +2 yesterday, and every day we get closer to that magical moment at which Obama will surpass Clinton in SDs - a nice media moment that will further confirm what everyone (finally) seems to realize: that Obama is the Democratic nominee.  According to ABC News' count, he already has (more on that below).

Consider this an open thread, and I will update throughout the day as news comes in.  All news tips are welcome, so if you hear of anything, please let us know in the comments.  

In the meantime, we start the day off well with the news that Rep. Payne of New Jersey has switched from Clinton to Obama and Oregon Rep. DeFazio endorsed Obama as well.  

UPDATE 1: Clinton picks up Rep. Carney from PA.  

UPDATE 2: Obama wins endorsement of AFGE President John Gage.  That, by the way, comes with the union's endorsement!:

The American Federation of Government Employees endorsed Barack Obama Friday, giving the Illinois senator fresh momentum toward capturing the Democratic nomination for president.

"Our people, I think, recognize the enthusiasm and vitality behind Senator Obama's campaign," AFGE President John Gage said.

Gage, a previously uncommitted superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention, said he is also personally endorsing Obama.

That makes today's official count:

Obama +3
Clinton +0 (-1 and +1)

TOTAL Super Delegate count (via DemConWatch - not updated as quickly as individual endorsements):
Clinton 269.5
Obama 263

Difference: 6.5

More on ABC's report, which I think may be a little premature, but here's how they list the different counts of super delegates:

ABC
OBAMA 267
CLINTON 265

CBS
CLINTON  271
OBAMA 261

CNN
CLINTON 268
OBAMA 258

NBC
CLINTON 274
OBAMA 260

AP
CLINTON 271
OBAMA 256

New York Times
CLINTON 263
OBAMA 258

Politico
CLINTON 268.5
OBAMA 260

Washington Post (uses AP statistics)
CLINTON 271
OBAMA 256

I think they're being a bit aggressive, but the fact that they are reporting it shows what a big news story it will be when it's a clear-cut lead.  Will it be today?

Again, I will update the thread throughout the day, so all tips and recs are welcome so we can update the news.

•  Tips and Recs for a clear-cut winner

  Barack Obama

  by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:22:20 AM PDT

  •  Kinda silly, but Clinton did pick up a Super

    from Pennsylvania last night: Rep. Chris Carney from the Scranton area...

    by Throwing Stones on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:53:29 AM PDT

    •  silly, pathetic, or hilarious

      I can't figure out which adjective best describes Carney's Clinton endorsement.  I mean, Heath Shuler I can understand, if only because his permanent track record in the "judgement" department includes 14 interceptions (against just 2 TDs) in his final year of the NFL.  But Carney?  Perhaps it's a Scranton thing -- maybe he and Hillary were hunting buddies back in elementary school...

      by djs on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:20:12 AM PDT

      •  no more support from me

        Shuler is one of the freshman who I supported financially (albeit modestly) in 06, but I don't see myself chipping in again.  He is in a conservative district, so I can understand some of his votes, but endorsing Clinton at this point?  Its idiotic.  I hope that these Clinton supers realize that they are not making any friends among the netroots by helping McCain, and we have proven to be a fundraising and organizing powerhouse for Democrats in recent campaigns.

        by WahooMatt on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:10:16 AM PDT

        •  He pledged before the NC primary

          to endorse whomever won his district. Clinton won it, so he endorsed her. I think you should cut him some slack. =)

          by tomjones on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:31:50 AM PDT

    •  Back room deals...

      there has appeared to be a host of SD willing to drag their heels, holding out their endorsement with little rational other than it's their prerogative.

      I've often wondered if this has been part of the Clinton strategy for weeks now... ie, she has a large group of SD's in her pocket that she intends to leverage on the 31st and early June.

      from the NYT opinion page:

      The undeclared superdelegates should stop their coy posing. With few exceptions, there is no reason left (other than the hope of making back-room deals) for those whose states have voted to keep their positions private. The rest should state their allegiance as soon as their primaries are held in the next few weeks.

      by zerone on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:03:14 AM PDT

•  you need a better breakdown of SD's

  does Hilary still have a lead of white SD's?

  I didn't see that anywhere in your diary.  Don't you think that is a very important metric right now?

  by jalapeno on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:26:10 AM PDT

  •  Must be a SD

    from a relevant state, must be white, hard-working and not object to obliterating Iran, voting for Nafta or setting back race relations in this country 40 years.

    by gladkov on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:27:32 AM PDT

    •  Also, you have to subtract all

      of the younger SDs, they were blinded by the hype.

      by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:35:25 AM PDT

      •  Subtract the male SDs, too

        Who are all misogynist.

        by cadejo4 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:39:44 AM PDT

        •  And all of the women

          they are traitors to their gender.

          Claire McCaskill is the biggest traitor of all!

          LOL

          by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:59:37 AM PDT

      •  And any super from an insignificant state.

        by langstonhughesfan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:34:06 AM PDT

    •  and

      can't have a college degree.

      by taonow on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:02:31 AM PDT

      •  Or eat arugula

        by Brit on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:08:40 AM PDT

        •  The new broccoli

          for those old enough to remember.

          by Heart of the Rockies on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:13:24 AM PDT

          •  Bush I wouldn't eat it

            ..if I remember correctly.

            I'm kind of on his side on that one. Damn. Does that make me a republican?

            Maybe slicing and dicing demographics should be done on food, coffee, and beer and wine after all. It's the last bastion of identity politics.  

            by Brit on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:17:04 AM PDT

            •  I'm with you on that,

              I'm an anti-broccolist Democrat.

              by Allogenes on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:28:50 AM PDT

    •  MUST be approved by Harvey Weinstein

      by RadicalChristian on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:18:48 AM PDT

      •  Weinstein makes me think about Entourage

        Every time I hear about Harvey Weinstein doing something wacky and combative I can't help thinking of his portrayal in the HBO series "Entourage" which is one of life's guilty pleasures.  If you have a sick sense of humor like I do.  In that series Weinstein is portrayed (who knows how accurately) as a predictably explosive personality who appears to believe that he can threaten and bully his way to the top.  An amazing fictional character, theoretically based on the real individual.  Or else the writers of the show really can't stand Weinstein and it is all an inside joke.  Anyhow, the story of Weinstein threatening the entire Democratic Party could easily be an episode on the show.

        by arthura on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:50:24 AM PDT

    •  And

      Can't drink latte, read the New York Times, drive a Volvo or be educated.

      by kaleidescope on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:35:52 AM PDT

      •  And throw away...

        those damn birkenstocks, fuh chrissakes!

        by mayan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:12:57 AM PDT

        •  Black SD only count for 3/5 th of a vote n/t

          by Kitty on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:24:48 AM PDT

  •  That was snark, right?

    by Lipo on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:28:08 AM PDT

    •  I didn't see a breakdown

      of hard-working SD's either.  Thanks gladkov.  That makes perfect sense.

      by jalapeno on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:29:33 AM PDT

      •  Isn't that the same thing?

        hard working = white?

        by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:35:02 AM PDT

        •  Gah

          Every urge in my body compels me to hide that even though I know you're just firing at Clinton... Must... Resist...

          by discocarp on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:18:54 AM PDT

      •  All I know is: Obama has a latte delegates!

        by pat208 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:21:49 AM PDT

        •  groan.... but made me smile n/t

          by juslikagrzly on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:25:34 AM PDT

        •  Rimshot

          by bwintx on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:38:16 AM PDT

  •  This reminds me of the Daily Show last night

    Where Rob Riggle opined that obviously Obama's only hope was to make sure a lot of white people graduated college between now and November, or convince a lot of hard-working white people to become lazy.  So obviously, you know, those SDs who endorsed Obama are lazy, college-educated latte-drinking minorities.

    Seriously, the treatment Stewart and the Daily Show gave Hillary's remarks last night was a classic satirical skewering.

    by Supercontext on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:53:43 AM PDT

  •  You mean...

    "hardworking white" SD.  I'm sure the "shiftless white" SDs are not to her liking.

    by mayan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:53:58 AM PDT

    •  I have a grad degree but don't like arugala or...

      lattes either. I take black coffee with my orange juice.

      I can't figure it out. Does that make me just half an elitist? Or maybe 3/4?

      Seriously, I never quite figured out what makes somebody an elitist...it seems like attending a classy university on scholarship, even if you're half black and raised by a single mom, makes you an elitist?

      One thing is clear--both Hillary and Obama are members of an elite by several measures: education, wealth, rank (both US senators), fame, earning potential, communications skills. You name it, they are at or near the top.

      What makes somebody an elitist is to believe that only the elites, or only one's own particular elites, matter. By that measure, Bush is clearly an elitist, but Obama is not and never was...

      by LearningCurve on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:52:36 AM PDT

•  The -+4 is confusing

  In the second line

  The trickle has been turning into a steady stream lately - +4 on Wednesday

  by Jez on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:33:23 AM PDT

  •  Good point - I fixed it

    thanks!

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:34:47 AM PDT

    •  Ahhh

      Nothing like a good colon

      by Jez on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:37:47 AM PDT

    •  Dansac: Add John Gage to the list!!

      http://www.latimes.com/...

      by jeepdad on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:44:18 AM PDT

      •  It looks as this if finally ending!

        Nice to pick up both the union endorsement and the SD.

        AFGE President John Gage -- a superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention -- says he will also personally back Obama. The union endorsement gives the Illinois senator fresh momentum toward capturing the nomination.

        by smartdemmg on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:53:38 AM PDT

  •  just checked DCW

    and their latest is HRC up 7.5.  Am I missing something?

    by juslikagrzly on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:33:38 AM PDT

    •  They are very conservative in their counting

      They wait until the actual official endorsement.  But as I said on a different thread, it's usually just a question of their lagging behind.  I don't remember a case where an announced super ended up not being true.

      by 57andFemale on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:37:16 AM PDT

•  What are the DemConWatch numbers

  They are the ones I trust.

  by smartdemmg on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:35:36 AM PDT

  •  Updated the diary with those #s

    thanks for the reminder

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:38:01 AM PDT

    •  here's Politico's

      actual full list They have him at 265.

      by Buffalo Girl on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:56:26 AM PDT

•  LMAO@ This from yesterday

  The Clinton campaign made the announcement this morning as a "Superdelegate Watch" that Rep. Brad Ellsworth, D-Ind. (along with Rep. Heath Shuler, D-NC) "announced their support for Hillary."
  
  But Ellsworth's support is quite qualified. So much so that ABC News is not counting him as a Clinton superdelegate, per his office's instructions.

  People don't even want to be associated with her anymore. On the Today Show Andrea Mitchell pointed out that SDs didn't even want to admit they even MET with Clinton, while they are walking across the campus with Barack.

  by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:38:32 AM PDT

  •  "quite qualified"?

    What does that mean??  

    by Jez on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:41:39 AM PDT

    •  I think they are saying that

      they know for sure they support her, so they aren't pulling it out of their ass, and the reason they know is because his people specifically asked ABC to not report that he's supporting her.

      by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:46:21 AM PDT

      •  from to your link

        It sounds like he's saying:

        I guess I'll vote for who won my district, unless I don't.  So it'll probably be her at the convention... but I don't want to talk about it.

        by Jez on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:53:13 AM PDT

    •  Some endorsement!

      After a number of media outlets — including Politico — reported that Indiana Rep. Brad Ellsworth was backing Clinton, his spokeswoman put out the word that there was some "nuance" to the congressman’s position: Ellsworth is actually remaining neutral in the race but will cast his superdelegate vote for the candidate who carried his district (Clinton) if the nomination process goes all the way to convention, "unless," of course, "there is a compelling reason to do otherwise."

      by Oothoon on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:02:13 AM PDT

      •  hysterical...

        Some of these SDs whose district went to HRC are really struggling with this decision. Jeez, no wonder nothing seems to get accomplished in Washington. Make up yer minds, already, willya?!

        by bubbalie 517 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:14:45 AM PDT

      •  that tells you what Clintons have been doing

        they have been looking at districts that they would win and then put pressure on their rep to endorse based on that.

        by jalapeno on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:22:26 AM PDT

      •  That's an endorsement to me...

        but he may be easily flipped, or maybe he's signaling it's time for her.  However, he said he will cast the vote for her if it goes to convention.  And by definition it HAS to go to convention.  There is no nominee without the convention.  

        by Losty on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:24:59 AM PDT

  •  Heath Shuler took the chicken's way out

    He obviously had wanted to endorse HRC but he did it in a way that made it seem he didn't make the choice, he let his constituents do it for him....

    it is the news the Keith Ellison has endorsed HRC that has me msytified.   If asked I would have said I thought that endorsement would go to Obama....

    I read in this diary that Ellison's support is quailfied???  what exactly does that mean???????

    Anyway, I agree that the DC photo-op yesterday of Obama surrounded by house members was important...especially since anyone who ISNT going to eventually endorse Obama wouldnt have wanted to be IN that photo but it looked like people were vying for the best spot next to the possibly presumptive nominee.

    I bet the DC photo-op visit by Obama pissed HRC off more then anything else did.... while she was out on the campaign trail dividing our party and begging for votes (and $$$$) Obama was IN DC looking and acting like the race was, for all intents and purposes, OVER.

    by KnotIookin on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:51:32 AM PDT

    •  Brad Ellsworth, not Keith Ellison!

      Keith Ellison of MN endorsed Obama a long time ago. It's Brad Ellsworth of IN who's making non-committal sounds about Clinton.

      by baudelairien on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:19 AM PDT

      •  Whew

        Thanks, I almost had an aneurism.

        by Christopher Day on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:18:03 AM PDT

•  Real Clear Politics has it down to +7 for HRC

  That's a change from +18 5 days ago.

  It is over.  By the weekend Sunday papers will have big headlines.

  Wonderful news.

  by Phil S 33 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:38:43 AM PDT

  •  Is that number with today's Obama addition

    and Clinton loss?

    by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:46:47 AM PDT

  •  ABC shows Obama ahead

    but that seems to be an outlierlink

    by hraftovich on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:50:09 AM PDT

  •  by Monday morning, ALL outlets

    will concur.  Obama will then lead in ALL metrics.  I n fact, I hope someone brings up the fact that he NEVER trailed in anything but Supers.

    by AlyoshaKaramazov on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:48:02 AM PDT

•  There is also an expected add-on frm Utah for

  today, see DCW.

  DCW

  by AvoMonster on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:39:15 AM PDT

•  Edwards just let slip who he voted for

  on morning joe and said he will endorse who he voted for.  He said "I just voted for HIM tuesday"  so I guess its Obama.  

  by hraftovich on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:46:12 AM PDT

  •  He honestly said that?

    because I saw him on the Today Show and it was more non-answering on his part.

    by Muzikal203 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:49:36 AM PDT

    •  he didn't say that he voted for Obama but he said

      HIM not HER when refering to the person he voted for

      by hraftovich on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:51:34 AM PDT

      •  Damn those gender specifics

        by Grass on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:21:07 AM PDT

  •  i heard that as well...

    he said well i just voted for him on tuesday in a throwaway type statement....definite slip but he said something to that effect

    by Cronk on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:01:31 AM PDT

  •  Hehehehehe

    Damn sneaky pronouns always mucking up nonendorsements. :)

    by discocarp on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:21:59 AM PDT

  •  How does it work for Edwards' delegates

    does he encourage them to support on or the other or can he "give" them to whomever.  

    Anyone care to edumacate me?

    by juslikagrzly on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:30:43 AM PDT

    •  He can only encourage

      but I think many of them will follow his rec.

      by frstan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:04:08 AM PDT

  •  Unless he meant...

    he wrote in Bill Clinton and got confused.

    by mayan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:16:03 AM PDT

•  Poster, PointGuard, mentioned another

  super for Clinton.

  http://www.dailykos.com/...

  by pepper mint on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:46:39 AM PDT

•  Keep an eye out for switchers

  The waverers in Clinton's camp are growing in number since Joe Andrew's announcement last week.  By my count, three Clinton superdelegates (Payne, Jennifer McClellan, Andrew) have officially switched sides over the past week, and several others have made statements that they would reassess their support of Clinton at some time between now and early June.

  Obama is now almost tied with Clinton in superdelegates.  It will only take 3-4 waverers to switch for him to take the lead in this, the final metric where he trails Clinton.

  by Nuisance Industry on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:54:07 AM PDT

  •  Watch out for the lingering AA Clinton supporters

    such as Rangel, the main man from South Carolina, etc.  If just the AA who declared for Clinton would switch, Obama would have it in the bag.

    After her racist statement yesterday, I don't see how any AA politician can possibly continue to support her.

    by ajleiker on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:45:58 AM PDT

•  Ck out Hell "freezes over diary"

  Commenter Broke a network saying an SD Super has come out for BO.

  by BlueStateRedhead on Fri May 09, 2008 at 04:57:55 AM PDT

  •  Oops.

    I may have read the SD of Super for the state. But ck it out.

    by BlueStateRedhead on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:00:05 AM PDT

    •  That was me, i think...

      Rep Payne of NJ, who previously endorsed HRC. He's counted here, dansac picked up him.  

      It's getting a tad embarrassing, now listening to her. I'm beginning to cringe every time I hear her comments that she is going to continue. Glutton for punishment, I guess.

      by bubbalie 517 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:19:44 AM PDT

    •  It was bound to happen sooner or later.

      Like when someone the other day wrote "ME" meaning the pronoun, and someone else misread it as "Maine"...

      by Allogenes on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:25:28 AM PDT

•  HRC picks up Chris Carney from PA

  still shaping up to be a great day

  by Cronk on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:02:17 AM PDT

  •  Carney has been a disappointment...

    from the moment he was sworn in.  Yes?

    by mayan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:17:48 AM PDT

    •  He's terrified of not getting re-elected

      So you have to view all of his actions through that vein.  This is no exception.

      by dmsdbo on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:15:09 AM PDT

•  Just heard this on local radio in Miami

  It's the top news story on HOT 105 FM. The reporter said Obama has taken the lead in Super Delegates for the first time. Who declared? I hope a few people flipped.

  Maybe I will go to work in a decent mood. The news around here so far has me sour and pissed. I gotta take an ativan just to stay sane.

  by CocoaLove on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:02:35 AM PDT

•  Happy to hear about Payne

  especially because there was some poll recently showing that a majority of Democratic voters in the Garden State support Obama. Searched for the link, but couldn't find it in my 3-minute review...

  by hyperstation on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:04:09 AM PDT

  •  Heard that too.

    A couple of times.

    by bubbalie 517 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:20:46 AM PDT

•  Not a bad way to start the day...

  A super in an upcoming contest and a judas.  Too bad that PA Rep Chris Carney endorsed Hillary, however, but don't blame him.  His district went 2-1 for her, and he is considered vulnerable to Rethug Chris Hackett.  

  I want more.  

  by JTRicher on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:04:15 AM PDT

  •  I believe Carney just declared for Obama

    by azure on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:59:40 AM PDT

    •  Regrettably, no. His CD went for HRC 2-1 n/t

      by An American In on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:03:41 AM PDT

•  It will be great to have this happen before WV

  Having Obama overtake Hillary in superdelegates before WV will be a great deflater of any momentum she has left.

  by davidkc on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:04:51 AM PDT

  •  Definitely

    and it would be nice if some of the talking heads on TV would point out that this represents the party leadership and insiders really coming around to Obama as they were so much more likely to support Clinton from the outset. It's not just him pulling ahead, this represents a tide change. (Even if it has been obvious to us for weeks that this was going to happen.) Not only would some of that explanation hasten the deflation you mention, but it might help goose Obama's momentum.

    by hyperstation on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:09:51 AM PDT

•  Is this over when he reaches 2025?

  If that's the case, I hope the super delegates announce their support at a fast pace today. This needs to be over, NOW.

  by CocoaLove on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:06:52 AM PDT

  •  not according to Hillary n/t

    by hraftovich on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:14:30 AM PDT

    •  You're right!!!

      She's already laid out the premise with her comments about FL and MI, increasing the delegate count to include them.

      by bubbalie 517 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:23:52 AM PDT

      •  That ain't gonna happen

        and if she argues it, it's just going to make her look worse. It's frightening to see how myopic she is about her own career at this point.

        by hyperstation on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:36:40 AM PDT

•  Rep Peter DeFazio (D - OR)

  Great news from my congressman.  I knew it was just a matter of time.  He appears on the ballot here, running unopposed in the primary.  Thanks, Peter!

  by winsock on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:23:17 AM PDT

  •  So glad he announced

    I couldn't imagine DeFazio going anywhere but Obama.  He's definitely a keeper and great for Oregon.

    by Molly M on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:37:48 AM PDT

•  Looks for John Gage of Maryland to endorse

  this afternoon ...

  by jeepdad on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:41:38 AM PDT

  •  JOHN GAGE DNC MD has endorsed Obama

    http://www.latimes.com/...

    by frstan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:00:20 AM PDT

•  Confirmed: John Gage endorses OBama

  http://www.latimes.com/...

  by jeepdad on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:42:37 AM PDT

  •  Yep, saw that too

    +3 for Obama and it's only 9:00 here on the East Coast!  Gonna be a good day!

    by FritztheCat on Fri May 09, 2008 at 05:59:30 AM PDT

    •  Yep, and this one comes with a union endorsement

      as a bonus! Keep em rolling!

      by jeepdad on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:01:08 AM PDT

      •  Ya beat me to it.

        Damn my slow fingers. Great news!

        by jamfan on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:10:00 AM PDT

        •  Thanks to all of you - updated the diary!

          Much appreciated

          by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:20:23 AM PDT

  •  drip drip drip...keep em coming

    an average of 3 or 4 a day from now until May 20th puts it out of reach!

    by Cronk on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:00:41 AM PDT

•  ANOTHER SUPER FROM GUAM - Lujan

  Guam certified the results of the primary, and Pilar Lujan, chief of the dem. party, has promised support to the winner - Sen. Obama!  

  by Carthage on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:07:06 AM PDT

  •  source?

    by sab39 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:09:18 AM PDT

  •  i thought Lujan backed off that promise

    and they certified that vote without a recount???

    by Cronk on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:10:45 AM PDT

  •  They certified the caucus last night, so

    Obama wins the island. Did Lujan say the winner of the caucus gets the endorsement?

    by jeepdad on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:12:18 AM PDT

  •  I'm sure DemCon Watch will confirm with Lujan

    before updating their official count.

    by CaptUnderpants on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:46 AM PDT

•  will recommend if you switch "0" to "-1"

  by goodlittlesquid on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:17:18 AM PDT

  •  But I can't - since she got a new endorsement

    Unless there is even newer news I don't know about

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:20:56 AM PDT

    •  how about

      C +1 -1?

      by sab39 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:37 AM PDT

      •  Okay, okay...

        I compromised - didn't put it in the title, but in the diary.

        by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:32:28 AM PDT

•  Another SD

  Obama also picked up the endorsement of the influential American Federation of Government Employees union on Friday.

  "Our people, I think, recognize the enthusiasm and vitality behind Senator Obama's campaign," AFGE President John Gage said.

  Gage, a previously uncommitted superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention, said he is also personally endorsing Obama.

  Reported 4 minutes ago.

  by Granny Doc on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:17:59 AM PDT

•  WHAT??? ABC Reporting This????

  How did Mickey permit this?

  Wouldn't it be nice to think that they were humbled by the flak they caught after the debate debackle, but election years are not the time for wishful thinking.

  So I'm not sure what to make of this, as I can only think they were kicking and screaming about having to put this information up there.

  Does the thought of ABC kicking and screaming over having to put up good numbers for Obama delight anyone besides me?

  by Apphouse50 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:20:50 AM PDT

•  Shouldn't Clinton's count for today

  be -1?

  by Tismo70 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:23:19 AM PDT

  •  She got one Carney but lost another n/t

    by Mikecan1978 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:41 AM PDT

    •  Aha. n/t

      by Tismo70 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:32:17 AM PDT

•  Shouldn't Clinton read -1

  Clinton lost a delegate today.  Shouldn't it count as a negative for her count.  Obama should currently be +3 and Clinton -1.

  by Nathan in MN on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:01 AM PDT

  •  No, because she gained a new delegate

    A Rep from PA

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:39 AM PDT

    •  oh I see

      Duh.  Thanks.

      by Nathan in MN on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:29:27 AM PDT

•  Hang on a sec, I hear something.

  Yup.  That's the sound of the floodgates opening.

  by Clyde the Cat on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:27:24 AM PDT

  •  Since Tuesday it's been +9 already

    and that's just the beginning

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:28:20 AM PDT

•  Why are they all so different? n/t

  by 57andFemale on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:31:14 AM PDT

  •  I can only guess...

    Some news organizations only count those who have "officially" endorsed, while others count those who may have indicated their preference through "unofficial channels," etc.  And different news organizations will have access to different "unofficial channels."

    by WisVoter on Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:00:32 AM PDT

•  Add the count from Obama site also

  http://www.barackobama.com/...

  by edfox on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:32:15 AM PDT

•  BREAKING NEWS

  Rasmussen call it for Obama, say they'll stop their daily polling Obama/Clinton very soon. Today's result Obama 50 Clinton 42.

  http://www.rasmussenreports.com/...

  by blue2win on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:32:30 AM PDT

  •  Thanks for that - sign of the times

    this race is over

    by dansac on Fri May 09, 2008 at 06:42:05 AM PDT

    •  Wow! That's pretty emphatic. If pollsters lose...

      interesting they're saying you're done.

      It's not the job of pollsters to editorialize either, so the fact that Ras is doing it here to justify their move gives it a certain emphasis.

      Pretty soon, HRC will be left talking to herself and a few "hard-working white, working class votes".

      Actually, I thought Ras made a good point:

      Obama has won Primaries in states where the demographics favor his campaign and Clinton has won in the states that favor her campaign.

      This is in fact very clear if you compare, say PA and NC. What allowed Obama to win is:

      1. His tent is bigger. His demographics include a larger part of the population.

      2. HRC tends to get blown out in states where she's weak demographically (e.g. NC, VA, SC, etc.)

      3. Obama keeps it closer in states where he's weaker demographically, e.g. IN most recently.

      One of the strange th