I'm looking at the race, and I'm pretty convinced it will come down to 5 states: Florida (again), Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Mexico.
I believe Kerry will carry the Gore states (New England, the Left Coast, the Mid-Atlantic, Illinois) while picking up Ohio and New Hampshire. Both have been trending Kerry and I believe the undecideds will be be the difference.
Bush will carry all of his states except Ohio and New Hampshire---but will he pick up a combination of the above 5 states to narrowly win?
My prediction?
Bush will pick up Iowa and Wisconsin.
Kerry will keep Minnesota and New Mexico.
That gives Kerry 267 and it gives Bush 244.
It will all come down to Florida.