ND-Pres: This one is a real battleground
Thu Jul 24, 2008 at 12:40:20 PM PDT
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 7/21-23. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 45
Obama (D) 42
A couple of weeks ago, Rasmussen had the race tied 43-43, and some wondered whether it might be an outlier. Obama campaigned in the state over the Fourth of July holiday, suggesting their own internals showed a race in the cards, but Ras had offered the only recent public poll in the state. This R2K poll now confirms the fact that yes, North Dakota is a bona fide battleground.
North Dakota Poll
July 21-23, 2008, 500 likely voters interviewed statewide by telephone.
Margin for error is 4.5 percent.
Sample Figures:
Men 244 49%
Women 256 51%
Dem 150 30%
Rep 198 40%
Ind 152 30%
18-29 95 19%
30-44 124 25%
45-59 166 33%
60+ 115 23%
North 134 interviews
East 205 interviews
South 161 interviews
If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat,
or John McCain the Repblican?
McCain Obama Und
All 45% 42% 13%
Men 51% 39% 10%
Women 39% 45% 16%
Dem 6% 85% 9%
Rep 78% 7% 15%
Ind 41% 45% 14%
18-29 40% 46% 14%
30-44 50% 39% 11%
45-59 46% 41% 13%
60+ 44% 43% 13%
North 48% 39% 13%
East 39% 47% 14%
South 50% 39% 11%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is
doing as President?
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
All 34% 65% 1%
Men 38% 61% 1%
Women 30% 69% 1%
Dem 6% 94%
Rep 66% 33% 1%
Ind 20% 78% 2%
18-29 30% 69% 1%
30-44 37% 62% 1%
45-59 35% 64% 1%
60+ 34% 65% 1%
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