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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 7/22-23. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)

McCain (R) 53
Obama (D) 40

Obama is getting only 15 percent of the white vote. Kerry, for his part, got 22 percent of the white vote in 2004. This poll closely tracks black turnout with the 2004 election (31 percent versus 30 percent in 2004), and we can assume those numbers will be greatly boosted thanks to Obama's presence in the field. However, those white numbers make it extremely difficult to make a go of this state. Perhaps that's why the Obama campaign talks more about Georgia than they do about South Carolina.

South Carolina  Poll
Results July 22-23, 2008.
500 likely voters interviewed state wide by telephone margin for is 4.5%

Sample Figures

Men       239       48%
Women     261       52%

Dem       181       36%
Rep       214       43%
Ind       105       21%

White     329       66%
Black     156       31%
Other      15        3%

18-29      90       18%
30-44     151       30%
45-59     161       32%
60+_       98       20%

If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat, or John McCain the Repblican?

         McCain    Obama     Und

All       53%       40%        7%

Men       57%       38%        5%
Women     49%       42%        9%

Dem       16%       80%        4%
Rep       84%        6%       10%
Ind       52%       39%        9%

White     78%       15%        7%
Black      4%       88%        8%
Other      7%       86%        7%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

         Approve   DisapproveNot Sure

All       39%       60%        1%

Men       42%       57%        1%
Women     36%       63%        1%

Dem        8%       91%        1%
Rep       67%       32%        1%
Ind       36%       63%        1%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 03:30 PM PDT.

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