Well, we start today with individual diaries for gubernatorial races. Like we make in the races for senate first we check in two diaries what are the hardest gubernatorial races for democratic party.
The first diary for gubernatorial races is for talk about Florida's race. When i ask about this race betwen more so hard races, this race not is viewed like favourable for democratics, but when i ask about some names who can help democratics to have better results in hard gubernatorial races, seems this veteran former governor and former senator is well viewed for this race.
Today we will try see what feel the people about this possible race. Incumbent governor C Crist against B Graham. Maybe much people think Jeb Bush can be very hard candidate for senate, and think incumbent governor C Crist can be more vulnerable. We will try see.
This is the list of possible candidates:
- Donna Edna Shalala: OH WI FL 1941 Secretary of HHS 93-01.
- Daniel Robert Graham (*): FL 1936 Senator from Florida 87-05. Governor of Florida 79-87. Lost for President 04.
- Robert Wexler: NY FL 1961 USHRep 97- .
- Kendrick Brett Meek: FL 1966 USHRep 03- .
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz: NY FL 1966 USHRep 05- .
- Katherine Anne Castor: FL 1966 USHRep 07- .
- Corrine Brown: FL 1946 USHRep 93- .
- F Allen Boyd: GA FL 1945 USHRep 97- .
- Ronald Klein: OH FL 1957 USHRep 07- .
- Alan Mark Grayson: NY FL 1958 USHRep 09- .
- Suzanne M Kosmas: DC FL 1944 USHRep 09- .
- Daniel A Mica: NY FL 1944 USHRep 79-89.
- Lawrence Jack Smith: NY FL 1941 USHRep 83-93.
- Peter R Deutsch: NY FL 1957 USHRep 93-05. Lost for Senate 04.
- Karen L Thurman: SD FL 1951 USHRep 93-03. Lost for House 02.
- James Oscar Davis III: FL 1957 USHRep 97-07. Lost for Governor 06.
- James Bacchus: TN FL 1949 USHRep 91-95.
- Timothy Edward Mahoney: IL FL 1956 USHRep 07-09.
- Adelaide "Alex" Sink: NC FL 1952 FL Chief Financial Officer 07- .
The list is the same what we have for the race of governor. Like i tell in the diary for senate race, Bob Graham is out of habitual criteries for make these lists. Habitually i not include candidates of this age, but the people talk about he, and the polls for Graham are the bests in democratic party in Florida. Today we ask again about Graham and we can see for what race the people feel better results with Graham.
For me the list of candidates in Florida not is bad, is so good because some young candidates go up in last years, but until now i think no one of they have the support what have this former senator and governor.
Maybe B Graham not run finally in 2010, not for senate and not for governor, but seems that can be a problem for democrats from Florida because not is easy find really strong candidates.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
Can be interesting see the diary about FL-Sen race:
FL-Sen: J Bush (R-1953) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 34 votes = 04,363 => Toss-Up
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.