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In Arizona, and out Arizona much people think in a possible race for senate betwen J McCain and J Napolitano in 2010. After Napolitanos nomination for the cabinet this possibility seems far, and new governor of Arizona will be republican J Brewer.

That not like tell im against J Napolitanos nomination for the cabinet. I think shes work in the cabinet can be good for democratic party. Democratic party need strong cabinet for make good Obama's presidency. If this cabinet make rigth things and have high approval rates, Obama's democratic succesor can be in his cabinet.

Democrats of Arizona now must find best candidates and strategies for 2010 races.

The list of possible strong canditates is the same what we have for senate:

  1. Gabrielle Giffords: AZ 1970 USHRep 07- .
  1. Ed Pastor: AZ 1943 USHRep 91- .
  1. Raúl Grijalva: AZ 1948 USHRep 03- .
  1. Ann Kirkpatrick: AZ 1950 USHRep 09- .
  1. Sam Coppersmith: PA AZ 1955 USHRep 93-95. Lost for Senate 94.
  1. Karan English: CA AZ 1949 USHRep 93-95. Lost for House 94.
  1. Richard Mahoney: AZ 1952 Secretary of State of AZ 91-95. Lost for Senate 94. Lost for Governor 02.
  1. Terry Goddard: AZ 1947 Attorney General of AZ 02- . Mayor of Phoenix 83-90. Lost for Governor 90.
  1. Phil Gordon: IL AZ 1951 Mayor of Phoenix 2004- .

Not is long list of candidates, and we have very few young people in politic active. Only Gabrielle Giffords. But not seems republicans will have very strong candidate for governor. Veteran Secretary of State Janice Brewer will be governor in few days and not seems she will be strong incumbent in 2010.

The candidate what sound more for this race is T Goddard, but when we have some candidates of same or near level habitually a let open the candidature.

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---

The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:

NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.

We can see results for these states in next link:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?

More interesting races:

AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican

And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:

TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.

visit next diaries:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.

Can be interesting see the diary about AZ-Sen race:

AZ-Sen: J McCain (R-1936) vs ? after 48 votes = 02,396 => Likely Republican

All the polls are open if you like to vote.

PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.

Originally posted to abgin on Mon Jan 05, 2009 at 12:03 AM PST.

Poll

AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ?

0%0 votes
10%2 votes
26%5 votes
31%6 votes
15%3 votes
10%2 votes
5%1 votes

| 19 votes | Vote | Results

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