In PA we will have another interesting race. Ed Rendell not can run again by term limits, and that let open race in this state.
I feel in this moment Ed Rendell can run for senate seat against Arlen Specter. Republican senator is in this moment obvious target for democrats but any important possible candidate from democratic party try run. Now im waiting Rendell tell he will run. For that, i think this race for governor can be very interesting for all other democrats, for good and young candidates.
In republican side, for governor sound very much names. Former senator R Santorum and former governor M Schweiker are in the list. For see what feel and think the people about they for future races we can see these links:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states I
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states II.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states III.
M Schweiker is viewed like more serious candidate. Not make feel very much danger but is viewed like more solid.
Rick Santorum seems more vulnerable. And they are more republican possible candidates. I think the most seriuos can be T Corbett PA Attorney General and J Gerlach US House Representative, but they are more what sound like J Scarnati and W Scranton. We can tell all their best sound for this race.
In the democratic side the list of possible candidates:
- Patrick Joseph Murphy: PA 1973 USHRep 07- .
- Thomas Timothy Holden: PA 1957 USHRep 93- .
- Chaka Fattah: PA 1956 USHRep 95- . Lost for Mayor of Philadelphia 07.
- Michael F Doyle: PA 1953 USHRep 95- .
- Jason Altmire: PA 1968 USHRep 07- .
- Robert A Brady: PA 1945 USHRep 98- . Lost for Mayor of Philadelphia 07.
- Christopher P Carney: IA PA 1959 USHRep 07- .
- Joseph A Sestak: PA 1951 USHRep 07- .
- Kathleen A Dahlkemper: PA 1957 USHRep 09- .
- Allyson Young Schwartz: NY PA 1948 USHRep 05- . Lost for Senate 00.
- Robert William Edgard: PA 1943 USHRep 75-87. Lost for Senate 86.
- Peter Houston Kostmayer: NY PA 1946 USHRep 77-81 83-93. Lost for House 80 and 92.
- William Herbert Gray III: LA PA 1941 USHRep 79-91.
- Donald Allen Bailey: PA 1945 USHRep 79-83. PA Auditor General 85-89. Lost for Senate 86. Lost for Governor 98. Lost for House 82. Lost for PA Auditor General 88 and 92.
- Robert Anthony Borski: PA 1948 USHRep 83-03.
- Ronald Klink: OH PA 1951 USHRep 93-01. Lost for Senate 00.
- Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky: PA 1942 USHRep 93-95. Lost for House 94. Lost for Lieutenant Governor of PA 98.
- Joseph M Hoeffel III: PA 1950 USHRep 99-05. Lost for Senate 04. Lost for House 84 86 and 96.
- Mark Stephen Singel: PA 1953 Acting Governor of Pennsylvania 93-93. Liuetenant Governor of PA 87-95. Lost for Senate 92. Lost for Governor 94.
- Jack Wagner: PA 194? PA Auditor General 05- . Lost for Lieutenant Governor of PA 02.
- Robert McCord: PA 19?? PA State Treasurer 09- .
- Robin Wiessmann: PA 19?? PA State 07-09.
- Robert J Mellow: PA 1943
- Kathleen Alana McGinty: PA 19??
- Donald Cunningham: PA 1965
- John B Callahan: PA 19??
- Daniel Onorato: PA 1961
- Thomas Knox: PA 19??
Is the same list what i include for senate race, without Ed Rendell, not included because he can not run again for governor, and with candidates what sound for governor from more low politic levels.
Seems senator R Casey sound for this race. I think is better he get in senate, and other young possible candidates run for governor. From this list i read about M Singel, J Wagner, and all last menbers of the list. Seems no-one US House Representative sound for governor. I think any of they can be good young candidate.
This can be too very important race. I like call to make serious effort for win this race too. Democrats from Pennsylvania must run with their best. Is time for good candidates up in this state. Pennsylvania with the race for Senate and the race for governor will be one of most important states in next electoral round.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
And for see the diary about the senate race in Pennsylvania:
PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs E Rendell (D-1944) ? af 60 votes = 07,333 => Likely Democratic
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.