I like very much J Garamendi Lieutenant Governor basque-american. For me would be very nice he can up in politics, and i hope see that any day.
Now, for this gubernatorial race of 2010 objetively former governor J Brown seems the strongest candidate. Seems he lead the polls for primaries, and like he is strong candidate, today our poll will have J Brown like democratic option.
Republicans continue having very much problems for find really strong candidate.
I remember the list of possible candidates:
- Dianne Goldman Berman Feinstein (*): CA 1933 Senator from California 92- . Mayor of San Francisco 78-88. Lost for Mayor of San Francisco 71 and 75. Lost for Governor 90.
- Edmund Gerald Brown (*): CA 1938 Governor of California 75-83. CA Secretary of State 71-75. CA Attorney General 07- . Lost for President 76 80 and 92. Lost for Senate 82.
- George Miller III: CA 1945 USHRep 75- .
- Howard Lawrence Berman: CA 1941 USHRep 83- .
- Xavier Becerra: CA 1958 USHRep 93- . Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01.
- Loretta Sanchez: CA 1960 USHRep 97- . Lost for Anaheim city council 94.
- Bradley J Sherman: CA 1954 USHRep 97- .
- Ellen O'Kane Tauscher: NY CA 1951 USHRep 97- .
- Michael C Thompson: CA 1951 USHRep 99- .
- Linda T Sanchez: CA 1969 USHRep 03- .
- Laura Richardson: CA 1962 USHRep 07- .
- Robert Filner: PA CA 1942 USHRep 93- .
- Anna Georges Eshoo: CT CA 1942 USHRep 93- . Lost for House 88.
- Samuel S Farr: CA 1941 USHRep 93- .
- Lucille Roybal-Allard: CA 1941 USHRep 93- .
- Jane Lakes Harman: NY CA 1945 USHRep 93-99 01- . Lost for Governor 98.
- Zoe Lofgren: CA 1947 USHRep 95- .
- Barbara Jean Lee: TX CA 1946 USHRep 98- .
- Joe Baca: NM CA 1947 USHRep 99- .
- Adam B Schiff: MA CA 1960 USHRep 01- .
- Dennis A Cardoza: CA 1959 USHRep 03- .
- James Manuel Costa: CA 1952 USHRep 05- .
- Gerald McNerney: NM CA 1951 USHRep 07- . Lost for House 04.
- Susan A Davis: MA CA 1944 USHRep 01- .
- Michael Makoto Honda: CA 1941 USHRep 01- .
- Doris Okada Matsui: AZ CA 1944 USHRep 05- .
- Karen Lorraine Jacqueline Speier: CA 1950 USHRep 08- . Lost for House 79. Lost for Lieutenant Governor of CA 06.
- Victor Herbert Fazio: MA CA 1942 USHRep 79-99.
- Anthony Coelho: CA 1942 USHRep 79-89.
- Richard Henry Lehman: CA 1948 USHRep 83-95. Lost for House 94.
- Meldon Edises Levin: CA 1943 USHRep 83-93. Lost for Senate 92.
- Douglas Harry Bosco: NY CA 1946 USHRep 83-91. Lost for House 90.
- Calvin M Dooley: CA 1954 USHRep 91-05.
- Lynn Schenk: NY CA 1945 USHRep 93-95. Lost for House 94. Lost for Supervisor San Diego County 84.
- John Raymond Garamendi: CA 1945 Deputy Secretary of Interior 95-98. Lieutenant Governor of CA 07- . CA State Insurance Commissioner 91-95 03-07. Lost for Governor 82 and 94. Lost for CA State Controller 86.
- Cruz Miguel Bustamante: CA 1953 Lieutenant Governor of CA 99-07. Lost for Governor (recall) 03. Lost for CA State Insurance Commissioner 06.
- John Chiang: NY CA 1962 CA State Controller 07- .
- Jack T O'Connell: NY CA 1951 CA State Superintendent of PI 03- .
- Debra Bowen: IL CA 1955 CA Secretary of State 07- .
- William Westwood Lockyer: CA 1941 CA State Treasurer 07- . CA Attorney General 99-07.
- Gavin Christopher Newsom: CA 1967 Mayor of San Francisco 04- .
- Antonio Ramón Villaraigosa: CA 1953 Mayor of Los Angeles 05- . Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01.
- Philip Nicholas Angelides: CA 1953 CA State Treasurer 99-07. Lost for Governor 06. Lost for CA State Treasurer 94. Lost for Sacramento City Council 73 and 77.
- Kathleen Brown: CA 1946 CA State Treasurer 91-95. Lost for Governor 94.
- Kathleen Connell: CO CA 1947 CA State Controller 95-03. Lost for Mayor of Los Angeles 01.
- Steven Paul Westly: CA 1957 CA State Controller 03-07. Lost for Governor 06. Lost for Chair CA Democratic Party 89.
(*) Habitually candidates of this age not are included, but in this case, D Feinstein and J Brown sound like possible candidates for this race.
With the habitual criteries, the list of possible candidates for this race in California is very long. Logically any of they have better chance.
The high number of congressional districts in California make this list be long, and make the possible candidates from congress have more low chance than in other states, because the electoral basis from their districts is small comparing with all the state. For that politics with state level offices have better chance in California.
The names what sound more are bold emphasized in the list. From they, until now, really running are J Brown, L Sanchez, J Garamendi and G Newsom.
I think D Feinstein finally will not run. She can get in senate without problems. Seems the strongest democrats are running in California for governor.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---
The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:
NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.
We can see results for these states in next link:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?
More interesting races:
AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican
And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:
TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.
visit next diaries:
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.
All the polls are open if you like to vote.
PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.