Skip to main content

After Kit Bond republican senator announce will not run for reelection, this race chance. Not was very strong incumbent, but not was the more weak. He has risk of be defeated.

In republican side, R Blunt congressman and father of former governor M Blunt, seems moving strong for run. Former senator J Talent, defeated in 2006 is out of the race, their polls not was better than polls for other republicans. And M Blunt governor will not run against his father.

But not all seems clear in republican side, they are more candidates who can finally run, like Lieutenant Governor P Kinder, the alone current statewide officer in Missouri, congressman S Graves, former congressman K Hulshof, and former MO State Treasurer S Steelman.

Not is easy run against an incumbent senator, and K Bont announce make the frontrunner democratic candidate let all doubts and enter definitively in the race. R Carnahan is in.

Like i make habitually in these diaries, i will include the list of possible candidates:

  1. Jeremiah W Nixon: MO 1956 Governor of Missouri 09- . Attorney General of Missouri 93-09. Lost for Senate 88 and 98.
  1. Roger B Wilson: MO 1948 Governor of Missouri 00-01. Lieutenant Governor of Missouri 93-00.
  1. Robert Lee Holden: MO 1949 Governor of Missouri 01-05. MO State Treasurer 93-01. Lost for Governor 04.
  1. Richard Andrew Gephardt: MO 1941 USHRep 77-05. Majority Leader House 89-95. Minority Leader House 95-03. Lost for President 88 and 04.
  1. William Lacy Clay: MO 1956 USHRep 01- .
  1. John Russell Carnahan: MO 1958 USHRep 05- . Lost for House 90.
  1. Emanuel Cleaver: TX MO 1944 USHRep 05- . Mayor of Kansas City 91-99.
  1. Alan Wheat: TX MO 1951 USHRep 83-95. Lost for Senate 94.
  1. Joe Maxwell: MO 19?? Lieutenant Governor of Missouri 00-05.
  1. Clint Zweifel: MO 1973 MO State Treasurer 09- .
  1. Robin Carnahan: MO 1961 MO Secretary of State 05- .
  1. Chris Koster: MO 1964 MO Attorney General 09- .
  1. Susan Montee: MO 1960 MO State Auditor 07- .

From this list, Robin Carnahan is running. After win reelection last November with the highest number of votes in Missouri history in statewide elections, seems clear candidate, and will run surely unopposed. Other possible candidate with good polls was D Gephardt but seems will not run against R Carnaham.

Seems will be easy primaries.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---

HI-Sen: Incumbent D Inouye (D-1924) win in 2004 with 76%.
NY-Sen: Incumbent C Schumer (D-1950) win in 2004 with 71%.
VT-Sen: Incumbent P Leahy (D-1940) win in 2004 with 71%.
ND-Sen: Incumbent B Dorgan (D-1942) win in 2004 with 68%.
CT-Sen: Incumbent C Dodd (D- 1944) win in 2004 with 66%.
MD-Sen: Incumbent B Mikulski (D-1936) win in 2004 with 65%.
OR-Sen: Incumbent R Wyden (D-1949) win in 2004 with 63%.
IN-Sen: Incumbent E Bayh (D-1955) win in 2004 with 62%.
NV-Sen: Incumbent H Reid (D-1939) win in 2004 with 61%.
CA-Sen: Incumbent B Boxer (D-1940) win in 2004 with 58%.
AR-Sen: Incumbent B Lincoln (D-1960) win in 2004 with 56%.
WI-Sen: Incumbent R Feingold (D-1953) win in 2004 with 55%.
WA-Sen: Incumbent P Murray (D-1950) win in 2004 with 55%.

IL-Sen: Incumbent R Burris (D-1937). B Obama (D-1961) win in 2004 with 70%.
NY-Sen: Incumbent K Gillibrand (D-1966). H Clinton (D-1947) win in 2006 with 67%.
CO-Sen: Incumbent M Bennet (D-1964). K Salazar (D-1955) win in 2004 with 51%.

DE-Sen: Open seat. J Biden (D-1942) win in 2008 with 65%.
OH-Sen: Open seat. G Voinovich (R-1939) win in 2004 with 64%.
PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs E Rendell (D-1944) ? af 60 votes = 07,333 => Likely Democratic
MO-Sen: open R vs R Carnahan ? after 08 votes = 06,667 => Leans Democratic
KS-Sen: open R vs K Sebelius (D-1948) ? after 43 votes = 06,240 => Leans Democratic
KY-Sen: J Bunning (R-1931) vs S Beshear (D-1944) ? af 18 votes = 06,019 => Leans Democrat
NH-Sen: J Sununu (R-1964) vs P Hodes (D-1951) ? after 10 votes = 05,667 => Toss-Up
2 KY-Sen: J Bunning (R-1931) vs ? after 33 votes = 05,606 => Toss-Up
LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs J Breaux (D-1944) ? after 35 votes = 05,571 => Toss-Up
NC-Sen: R Burr (R-1955) vs ? after 38 votes = 05,307 => Toss-Up
2 PA-Sen: A Specter (R-1930) vs ? after 30 votes = 05,278 => Toss-Up
2 LA-Sen: D Vitter (R-1961) vs M Landrieu (D-1960) ? after 39 votes = 05,000 => Toss-Up
OK-Sen: T Coburn (R-1948) vs B Henry (D-1963) ? after 55 votes = 03,727 => Leans Republican
FL-Sen *: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? af 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
IA-Sen: C Grassley (R-1933) vs C Culver (D-1966) ? aft 25 votes = 03,400 => Leans Republican
AZ-Sen: J McCain (R-1936) vs ? after 48 votes = 02,396 => Likely Republican

*: The diary for Florida is for gubernatorial race, but can be interesting include here the link to the poll because C Christ let open the door, and can run for senate in 2010.

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For find any strong candidate more for senate

And for see about other difficult races for democratics like:

AK-Sen: Incumbent L Murkovski (R-1957) win in 2004 with 49%.
SD-Sen: Incumbent J Thune (R-1961) win in 2004 with 51%.
ID-Sen: Incumbent M Crapo (R-1951) win in 2004 with 99%.
SC-Sen: Incumbent J DeMint (R-1951) win in 2004 with 54%.
AL-Sen: Incumbent R Shelby (R-1934) win in 2004 with 68%.
GA-Sen: Incumbent J Isakson (R-1944) win in 2004 with 58%.
UT-Sen: Incumbent R Bennett (R-1933) win in 2004 with 69%.

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Senate. Republican Safe or Likely Seats?

All the polls are open.

PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes up, and when the serie of diaries about senate end.

Originally posted to abgin on Sun Feb 15, 2009 at 07:54 AM PST.

Poll

MO-Sen: Open R vs R Carnanhan (D-1961) ?

0%0 votes
53%7 votes
30%4 votes
7%1 votes
0%0 votes
7%1 votes
0%0 votes

| 13 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  Well (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    El barragas, mamamedusa

    I think that Carnahan probably starts out with the early edge here, though MO is a 50/50 state. The GOP bench seems divided.

  •  wow, this was written like a three year old (0+ / 0-)

    really: they was, not was, announce will not, he has risk, but not was the, not was very, their polls not was better, not is easy run against incumbent. Speak like caveman.

    Come on, if your are that terrible a typist at least read through something before you post it. Surely you're not that bad at grammer. I could barely read understand what you wrote.

    Seize Every day, giving no thought for tommorrow-Horace

    by ArkDem14 on Sun Feb 15, 2009 at 10:50:19 AM PST

    •  I write like your father, or your grandfather, or (0+ / 0-)

      or very much of your recent ancestries not native english speakers...

      I glad you can understand. With that my diary became succesful.

      Good day.

      •  oh, you're not a native speaker? (0+ / 0-)

        I'd assumed you were.

        Seize Every day, giving no thought for tommorrow-Horace

        by ArkDem14 on Sun Feb 15, 2009 at 06:27:34 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  well (0+ / 0-)

          If you understand that, why your comment telling about a three years old or a caveman?

          Of course im not expert writer in english, but i think that is not reason for you take offense with these diaries.

          •  I didn't take offense (0+ / 0-)

            I assumed you were a bad typist and I was chastising you for not going back over it. I figured you just wrote it carelessly because your word order was somewhat scrambled. After your comment I realized that you were not a native speaker and it wasn't careless. I didn't come to that conclusion immediately upon reading it.  

            Seize Every day, giving no thought for tommorrow-Horace

            by ArkDem14 on Mon Feb 16, 2009 at 04:35:46 PM PST

            [ Parent ]

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site