Franken leads +225
Number of days Coleman claimed a lead starting Nov. 5: 43.
Number of days Franken has led: 109.
Just thought I'd mention those. More past the Orange post ahead.....
Two major events at hand in the MN Senate Recount.
TODAY, all counties and cities are required to have specified absentee ballots delivered to Secretary of State Mark Ritchie's office. (Due by noon.)
The Election Contest Court (ECC) judges Elizabeth Hayden, Denise Reilly and Kurt Marben want to have a personal look at these 400 ballots and see if they meet all the criteria for being counted. We already know 12 do, from an early summary judgment granted by the court to Franken, as do another about 36-38 from a parallel case brought by attorney Charles Nauen, so about 50 will be perfunctory.
The remaining 350? Thats where the action will be.... action probably out of sight of the public, but the Uptake will go on the Internet with live blogging today at 11:00 just in case (and ready to go with cameras too.)
Then TOMORROW, Tuesday, 9:30am all of the 400 that pass judicial inspection will be OPENED AND COUNTED. These will be the LAST ballots counted for the MN Senate seat decided on Nov. 4th. And just to roll up the newspaper and take a few practice swats (you should do likewise so you are loose and ready for tomorrow), these are the FIRST TIME and ONLY TIME these ballots are being opened and counted. The swatting is for any nearby Reichwingers or senators from, say, Alabama (whose string of first and middle names includes the Confederate Order of Battle at Major General grade: JEFFERSON BEAUREGARD Johnston Bragg Smith Van Dorn Lee Pemberton Jackson Longstreet Stuart Forrest Hill SESSIONS) who say otherwise.
By the Numbers
Franken leads by +225. Up to 400 ballots to be opened. Probably 50 are in the bag for Franken but.... to be fair, we'll open & count all of these.
And to quote Seinfeld (a personal first, and I think its him; as noted a few diaries ago I am one of 4 people on the planet that have seen even one minute of the show.).."What are the odds?"
As usual the Kossack nation is several days ahead of the rest of the world on the answer to THAT question as noted by Allen03 and reported by TomTech:
Allen03 posted this yesterday! (3+ / 0-)
Assumptions
---------------
Franken ahead by 270 after Nauen voters included
380 more ballots counted, of which 360 go to either Franken or Coleman
Probability is even (50:50)
Model
-------
Binomal distribution with n=360, p=0.5
In order for Coleman to win, he needs 315 or more of the 360 votes, i.e., Franken votes <= 45</p>
Result
-------
The probability of Coleman winning is 2.5E-51, or 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000025
Roughly the same chance of you winning the 6 ball lottery 7 times in a row.
I don't get the math (because its sadistics, not math; there IS a difference!) but I SURE like the final number!
Republican Screech Level goes National
To borrow a line from Mark Twain, re: Jeff Sessions above, speaking of jackass Republican senators...... beg pardon, I repeat my self. The Hill reporting site went all RNC on the weekend and lined up a bunch of quotes from all quarters and you'll see delusional reasoning is not confined to the South. The commonality of quotes does seem to stem from Norm's visit last week to the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
"I'll back Norm as far as he believes he should go," said Sen. Sam Brownback (R-Kan.). "He's there on the ground, he's the one with the best information
Uh-huh. Best information I have is Brownback has spent too long strapped to a windmill blade in a high wind.
Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.): "I know it's not damaging the party because I don't hear that. But I do think Norm is a very sensitive, thoughtful person
Take the fingers out of your ears, Corker. You'll hear better. And thoughtful/sensitive has nothing to do with who has the most VOTES!
"They know what to do based on their intimate knowledge of the case," said Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.). "I wouldn't presume to give them advice."
"They know what to do...." didn't watch any of the trial, did you John?
"....I have no qualms about saying that if he can, he ought to push it all the way," said Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah). "We're so sick and tired of having one set of rules for Democrats they don't abide by, and then another set of rules for Republicans."
You're right by dammit, Orrin! If the Democrats could just get it in their thick skulls that the rule is Republicans should always win life would be easier......Go sit on a cactus while contemplating how many lines of scripture Joseph Smith stole from the Bible to "write" the Book of Mormon.
More if you want here:
http://thehill.com/...
AND, a line by line take down by Tony Angelo of Mn Progressive Project here:
http://www.mnprogressiveproject.com/...
Monday Morning Minnesota Media
Having insulted most of the human species on earth by giving Michele Bachmann (!) a huge, Sunday front section write up, the Star Trib puts the Recount on the front page with a story from Doyle and Duchschere. Its a tale well told of tangled assumptions and a tinge of sadness. Doyle & Duchschere prove they can write rather than simply reprint Coleman campaign press releases.
Tim Stocke, whose multiple sclerosis makes him a prime example of the need for absentee voting, got a reprieve last week, when his rejected ballot became one of 400 from across Minnesota that judges in the U.S. Senate recount trial decided to consider for opening and counting this week.
Not so for the votes of Karen Stocke, Tim's wife, or Karen's aunt, Jessie Zirkle, who all share a lake home outside McGregor in north-central Minnesota. A combination of good intentions, faulty assumptions and misinformation conspired to ensure that the two women's ballots remained rejected.
Tim Stocke, 53, operated heavy equipment for the University of Minnesota before multiple sclerosis made him an invalid. Karen Stocke, 54, works occasionally in the schools and has landed a job with the Census Bureau, but much of her time is spent caring for her husband and looking after Zirkle, a retired Wisconsin teacher in her 80s who is legally blind and moved in with them last summer.
I haven't said this often but even a blind squirrel finds an acorn now and again: this is a good read in the Star Trib, right down to the last line and you'll enjoy it:
http://www.startribune.com/...
Got the early shift down at the shop so I hope this will hold you. Waiting for Tuesday morning's great moment of democracy.
Thats the latest from yust southeast of Lake Wobegon.
Shalom.