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Mr. Mousavi must either immediately and actively lead the movement to a general strike and a true non-violent civil disobedience with the goal of stopping the economic machine of the Islamic Republic or he should officially pull out! Any new attempts to sporadically send unarmed youth in front of armed militias as has been happening in the past couple of days are nothing but adventurism resulting in unnecessary loss of lives and more arrests. As long as the peaceful mass demonstrations in 100s of thousands could be maintained such calls to march can be the right move but the recent calls to show up in the same known spots! without any specific planning while the military and Basijees are awaiting to crush people no longer serve any tactical or strategic purposes.

It is a fact that the people's movement within the past two months have caught Mir Hossein Mousavi by surprise. The bloody crackdowns, murders and arrests showed the naked truth about the nature of the Islamic Regime , its supreme leaders Ayatollah Khamenei, its president Ahmadinejad, its Guardian Council, its Parliament, its supporting clergy, its Basijee forces, its revolutionary Guards as well as its media. Anyone who may have had any remaining doubts about the nature of this regime now is assured that the Islamic regime in Iran is a full military dictatorship wrapped in empty slogans under a façade of a republic which has no hesitance in murdering its own people in order to maintain power. By uniting Iranians to vote, the opposition, using regime's own claim to a republic, attempted to bring about a change which ultimately resulted in an end of any more claim to an Islamic democracy in Iran. In this process Iranian again realized the power of unity and a mass movement.  

While Mr. Mousavi had been waiting for the results of Guardian Council decision and Hashemi Rafsanjani's behind the scene efforts to remove the supreme leader from power, Mr. Rafsanjani has not publically made any comments since the election. However any such unnecessary delays will only result in the regime gaining upper hand as well as loosing the public momentum and coherence.  

Mr. Mousavi must either immediately and actively lead the movement to a general strike and a true non-violent civil disobedience with the goal of stopping the economic machine of the Islamic Republic or he should officially pull out! Any new attempts to sporadically send unarmed youth in front of armed militias as has been happening in the past couple of days are nothing but adventurism resulting in unnecessary loss of lives and more arrests. As long as the peaceful mass demonstrations in 100s of thousands could be maintained such calls to march can be the right move but the recent calls to show up in the same known spots! without any specific planning while the military and Basijees are awaiting to crush people no longer serve any tactical or strategic purposes.

At this point the Islamic Republic System as a whole with all its mighty force has stopped in front of the Iranian people and as much as Mr. Mousavi still has his beliefs in such system, he must also realize that the election is over. The results were announced and although it was not necessary to waste another precious 7 days to know the answer, its Guardian Council as expected has approved the results.  

Mr. Mousavi has a choice to make: to accept the system with all its flaws and remain within it as an opposition which in that case he will be dealt with by the regime sooner or later as those before him have or to accept the reality and rely on the power of people who have given him his historical status and to call for an all out National Strike and removal of Khamenei from power.  

Mr. Mousavi is no longer a presidential candidate and the elections are over and Ahmadinejad is the president as a result of a electional coup supported by Khamenei and a full military crackdown.

As for Iranian people there still seem to be a lack of leadership and if the efforts of Mousavi, Rafsanjani and alike do not reach any results , with the lack of true leadership that exists any more encouragement of unarmed Iranians to face the armed forces of Islamic regime will only result in unnecessary bloodshed without any specific gains. At this stage anymore such calls without strategic planning are nothing but adventurism that result in unnecessary crackdown, arrests, injuries and death. Continuance of the status quo and adventurism also play in to the traps of the same old usual opportunists of different camps from ultra right to the left who have again come out of the woodwork trying to take advantage of the situation for their self-serving gains.  

Short of the success of the efforts within the system to remove Khamenei from power, a lasting national Strike combined with non-violent civil disobedience are the only remaining civil tools that are available to Iranian nation. The elections are over.

Originally posted to David Etebari on Tue Jun 23, 2009 at 08:07 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Sadly (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mattman

    Sadly, I largely agree with this diary.  The regime's willingness to use massed and/or lethal violence has cut the crowds to a fraction of their former side: basically back to the students and democracy activists who protest (and are put down) every election.

    A general strike is about the only way the protesters can gain any traction, unless another key faction such as the army or the clergy comes to their aim.

    Mousavi is not a radical, and he's not a protest leader.  Unfortunately, as the going gets contiunally tougher, the protesters are finding that their figureheads are not really leaders.

  •  I'm not sure how much control Mousavi has. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NotGeorgeWill

    If he has the power to do what you say, yeah, I agree.  But I get the sense that he's just along for the ride along with everyone else.

  •  Why is this just on Mousavi? (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SLKRR, weasel, kat68, keonhp

    It looks like other political leaders have made statements in recent days -- including Khatami and Karoubbi. Mousavi may be sidelined and unable to initiate action on his own.

    I saw these actions originally attributed to Khatami, but a Twitter cited by Nico at HuffPPost passed these along as the next action point -- the idea is to foment a kind of general strike.  Part of the action to in having mass gatherings is that they offer a way of passing information and organizing details where it is hard for everyone to be surveilled.

    Mousavi - We will not expend any more energy talking to the Gov in the streets - we must change course

    Mousavi - From Today every morning at 9am WE ALL travel to Tehran Bazaar - whatever reaction from Gov - Bazaar will close

    Mousavi - stop all work and travel with friends & family toward Tehran Bazaar every day at 9am

    Mousavi - do NOT wear green - dress normally - bring your children - if stopped u are ONLY going shopping

    Mousavi - the objective is to bring Tehran to standstill - millions of people go shopping but NOBODY SHOPPING

    Mousavi - There is nothing to fear - if asked - YOU ARE ONLY GOING SHOPPING

    Mousavi - no matter what the reaction of the Gov - the Bazaar will close or be at standstill

    Smart strategy potentially.  

    It effectively imposes a kind of economic strike in the bazaar's without putting the bazaar owners at risk.  They are forced to close down either because the government compels them too, by dispersing crowds, or they stay open, but are only nominally so since it's just a charade.

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