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More great news for Norm Coleman, from our new Research 2000 poll conducted on Thursday and Friday for Daily Kos (MOE 4%):

Do you favor or oppose Norm Coleman's legal challenge to Al Franken's victory?
FAVOR: 34%
OPPOSE: 47%
NOT SURE: 19%

Do you think the Senate seat should remain vacant until Coleman's lawsuit is resolved or do you think Al Franken should be provisionally seated pending the outcome of the election contest?
PROVISIONALLY SEAT: 47%
REMAIN VACANT: 37%
NOT SURE: 16%

So why do Minnesotans want to move on? Probably because by an overwhelming margin they think the recount process was fair:

Which statement best reflects your point of view? The recount process has been...
...fair to both Norm Coleman and Al Franken: 63%
...mostly unfair to Norm Coleman: 17%
...mostly unfair to Al Franken: 12%
NOT SURE: 8%
(Questions rotated)

So what's the bottom line? Minnesota voters are growing increasingly tired of Norm Coleman:

Norm Coleman favorable rating
FAVORABLE: 41%
UNFAVORABLE: 58%
NO OPINION: 1%

Meanwhile, despite it all, Al Franken is managing to keep his favorable ratings in the black:

Al Franken favorable rating
FAVORABLE: 49%
UNFAVORABLE: 45%
NO OPINION: 6%

Full poll and crosstabs below the fold.

                                                                   
                                      MINNESOTA POLL RESULTS – JANUARY 2009
                                                                 
The Research 2000 Minnesota Poll was conducted from January 8 through January 9, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.


MOE: 4%
POLL DATES: 1/08-1/09/2009



SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men                  288 (48%)
Women                312 (52%)

Democrats            240 (40%)
Republicans          198 (33%)
Independents/Other   162 (27%)

18-29                120 (20%)
30-44                204 (34%)
45-59                186 (31%)
60+                   90 (15%)


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Al Franken? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 14%          35%         24%         21%        6%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 49%         45%          6%

MEN                 45%         51%          4%
WOMEN               53%         39%          8%

DEMOCRATS           78%         17%          5%
REPUBLICANS         18%         78%          4%
INDEPENDENTS        45%         46%          9%

18-29               54%         41%          5%
30-44               49%         46%          5%
45-59               47%         47%          6%
60+                 47%         46%          7%


QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Norm Coleman? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 11%         31%         32%         26%          1%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 41%         58%          1%

MEN                 46%         53%          1%
WOMEN               36%         63%          1%

DEMOCRATS           19%         80%          1%
REPUBLICANS         73%         26%          1%
INDEPENDENTS        35%         64%          1%

18-29               35%         63%          2%
30-44               41%         58%          1%
45-59               43%         56%          1%
60+                 43%         56%          1%


QUESTION: Who do you think won the U.S. Senate race Al Franken or Norm Coleman?

                   FRANKEN     COLEMAN     NOT SURE

ALL                 46%         41%         13%

MEN                 44%         45%         11%
WOMEN               48%         37%         15%

DEMOCRATS           83%          5%         12%
REPUBLICANS          6%         88%          6%
INDEPENDENTS        41%         37%         22%

18-29               51%         36%         13%
30-44               46%         42%         12%
45-59               44%         43%         13%
60+                 45%         42%         13%


QUESTION: Which statement best reflects your point of view? (ROTATED):

The recount process has been fair to both Norm Coleman and Al Franken OR
The recount process has been mostly unfair to Norm Coleman OR
The recount process has been mostly unfair to Al Franken

                   BOTH        COLEMAN     FRANKEN      NOT SURE

ALL                 63%         17%         12%          8%

MEN                 59%         24%         10%          7%
WOMEN               67%         10%         14%          9%

DEMOCRATS           69%          7%         18%          6%
REPUBLICANS         54%         32%          5%          9%
INDEPENDENTS        66%         14%         11%          9%

18-29               64%         15%         14%          7%
30-44               64%         18%         12%          6%
45-59               62%         18%         11%          9%
60+                 62%         17%         11%         10%


QUESTION: Do you favor or oppose Norm Coleman's legal challenge to Al Franken's victory?
                   FAVOR       OPPOSE      NOT SURE

ALL                 34%         47%         19%

MEN                 37%         43%         20%
WOMEN               31%         51%         18%

DEMOCRATS           10%         69%         21%
REPUBLICANS         71%         13%         16%
INDEPENDENTS        25%         56%         19%

18-29               28%         50%         22%
30-44               35%         47%         18%
45-59               36%         46%         18%
60+                 34%         47%         19%


QUESTION: Do you think the Senate seat should remain vacant until Coleman's lawsuit is resolved or do you think Al Franken should be provisionally seated pending the outcome of the election contest?

                   SEATED      VACANT      NOT SURE

ALL                 47%         37%         16%

MEN                 44%         41%         15%
WOMEN               50%         33%         17%

DEMOCRATS           77%          9%         14%
REPUBLICANS          7%         73%         20%
INDEPENDENTS        52%         34%         14%

18-29               50%         34%         16%
30-44               48%         37%         15%
45-59               45%         39%         16%
60+                 47%         37%         16%


QUESTION: If you could vote again for U.S. Senate would you vote for Al Franken the Democrat Norm Coleman the Republican or Dean Barkley an Independent?

                   FRANKEN     COLEMAN     BARKLEY     UNDECIDED  

ALL                 43%         40%         15%          2%

MEN                 39%         43%         16%          2%
WOMEN               47%         37%         14%          2%

DEMOCRATS           77%          7%         14%          2%
REPUBLICANS          6%         86%          6%          2%
INDEPENDENTS        39%         32%         27%          2%

18-29               47%         36%         16%          1%
30-44               43%         41%         14%          2%
45-59               40%         43%         15%          2%
60+                 44%         39%         15%          2%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 12:20 PM PST.

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