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All the people was viewing Diane Denish like governor before the nomination of Bill Richardson for Secretary of Commerce became unsuccesful. This issue make in New Mexico have race for open seat in 2010. What influence can have B Richardson issue? I dont know. But now Diane Denish get like outstanding candidate for this race.

Fortunatelly, Republican Party in New Mexico is very down after last elections. They not have senators, not have governor, not have US Representatives, and only have one statewide officer, Patrick Lyons, NM Commissioner of Public Land since 2002, and not easily reelected in 2006.

They have too H Wilson and S Pearce former US House Representatives who lost in 2008 race for senate, but i think the strongest republican in this state is former governor G Johnson. Seems he like run for president in 2012, but i not heard or read nothing for governor.

We can see what think and feel the people about G Johnson for future races for senate or governor. G Johnson until now not make feel special danger. He appear in second of these links:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states I
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states II.
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: For defense in races in blue states III.

In democrat side, this is the list of possible candidates:

  1. Toney Anaya: NM 1941 Governor of New Mexico 83-87. NM Attorney General 75-79. Lost for Senate 78.
  1. Ben Ray Luján: NM 1972 USHRep 09- .
  1. Martin T Heinrich: NV NM 1971 USHRep 09- .
  1. Harry Teague: OK NM 1949 USHRep 09- .
  1. Diane Denish: NM 1949 Lieutenant Governor of NM 03- . Lost for Lieutenant Governor of NM 98.
  1. Casey Luna: NM 19?? Lieutenant Governor of NM ??-95.
  1. Héctor Balderas: NM 1973? NM Auditor 06- .
  1. Mary Herrera: NM 1956? NM Secretary of State 06- .
  1. Gary King: NM 1954 NM Attorney General 06- . Lost for House 04.
  1. James B Lewis: NM 1948? NM 06- .
  1. Marty Chavez: NM 1952 Mayor of Albuquerque 93-97 01- . Lost for Senate 08. Lost for Governor 98.
  1. Michael Sanchez: NM 1950
  1. Val Kilmer: NM 1959

Very much young candidates serving since few time in their offices. Democratic Party in New Mexico live a renovation.

From this list, seems Diane Denish is the candidate with more level and experience. Seems she is running for governor, and i think will not have high opposition in the bid. I think in this moment only former governor G Johnson can make decent race against she.

Personally, i like former governor Toney Anaya. Was nice for me see Anaya again in politic, but not seems easy.

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: All gubernatorial races.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00,000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01,429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02,857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04,286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05,714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07,142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08,571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10,000 ---

The states with democratic incumbents what seems more easy for win again are:

NH-Gov: Incumbent J Lynch (D-1952) win in 2008 with 70%.
CO-Gov: Incumbent W Ritter (D-1956) win in 2006 with 56%.
IA-Gov: Incumbent C Culver (D-1966) win in 2006 with 54%.
WI-Gov: Incumbent J Doyle (D-1945) win in 2006 with 53%.
MA-Gov: Incumbent D Patrick (D-1956) win in 2006 with 55%.

We can see results for these states in next link:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races. Democratic incumbents are safe?

More interesting races:

AR-Gov: Open R vs M Beebe (D-1946) ? after 13 votes = 09,231 => Safe Democratic
MD-Gov: R Ehrlich (R-1957) vs M O'Malley (D-1963) ? af 16 votes = 08,750 => Safe Democratic
IL-Gov: Open R vs P Quinn (D-1948) ? after 21 votes = 08,571 => Safe Democratic
NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs A Cuomo (D-1957) ? af 18 votes = 08,333 => Likely Democratic
OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs J Kitzhaber (D-1947) ? af 12 votes = 08,194 => Likely Democratic
2 OR-Gov: G Smith (R-1952) vs ? after 06 votes = 08,056 => Likely Democratic
OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs T Strickland (D-1941) ? af 15 votes = 07,889 => Likely Democr
CA-Gov: Open R vs J Brown (D-1938) ? after 32 votes = 07,865 => Likely Democratic
ME-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 07,778 => Likely Democratic
HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs N Abercrombie (D-1938) ? af 11 votes = 07,727 => Likely Democr
VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs H Dean (D-1948) ? aft 30 votes = 07,667 => Likely Democratic
2 HI-Gov: J Aiona (R-1955) vs ? after 16 votes = 07,396 => Likely Democratic
NJ-Gov: C Christie (R-1962) vs J Corzine (D- 1947) ? af 17 votes = 07,353 => Likely Democratic
NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ? after 22 votes = 07,273 => Likely Democratic
2 OH-Gov: M DeWine (R-1947) vs ? after 12 votes = 07,083 => Leans Democratic
2 CA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 44 votes = 07,045 => Leans Democratic
2 NY-Gov: R Giuliani (R-1944) vs D Paterson (D-1954) ? af 33 votes = 06,768 => Leans Democr
NV-Gov: J Gibbons (R-1944) vs ? after 21 votes = 06,746 => Leans Democratic
RI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 12 votes = 06,528 => Leans Democratic
PA-Gov: Open R vs ? after 15 votes = 06,000 => Leans Democratic
MI-Gov: Open R vs ? after 30 votes = 05,889 => Leans Democratic
VA-Gov: R McDonnell (R-1954) vs ? after 27 votes = 05,494 => Toss-Up
AZ-Gov: J Brewer (R-1944) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,907 => Toss-Up
MN-Gov: T Pawlenty (R-1960) vs M Dayton (D-1947) ? after 39 votes = 04,573 => Toss-Up
2 VT-Gov: J Douglas (R-1951) vs ? after 18 votes = 04,352 => Toss-Up
FL-Gov: C Crist (R-1956) vs B Graham (D-1936) ? after 22 votes = 03,561 => Leans Republican
CT-Gov: J Rell (R-1946) vs ? after 33 votes = 03,232 => Leans Republican

And for see about other difficult races for democrats like:

TN-Gov: Open seat. P Bredesen (D-1943) win in 2006 with 69%.
OK-Gov: Open seat. B Henry (D-1963) win in 2006 with 66%.
TX-Gov: Open seat?. R Perry (R-1950) win in 2006 with 39%. K Hutchison (R-1943) like run.
WY-Gov: Open seat. D Freudenthal (D-1950) win in 2006 with 70%.
KS-Gov: Open seat. K Sebelius (D-1948) win in 2006 with 58%. S Brownback (R-1956) like run.
SC-Gov: Open seat. M Sanford (R-1960) win in 2006 with 55%.
GA-Gov: Open seat. S Perdue (R-1946) win in 2006 with 58%.
AL-Gov: Open seat. B Riley (R-1944) win in 2006 with 58%.
SD-Gov: Open seat. M Rounds (R-1954) win in 2006 with 62%.
AK-Gov: Incumbent S Palin (R-1964) win in 2006 with 48%.
ID-Gov: Incumbent B Otter (R-1942) win in 2006 with 53%.
NE-Gov: Incumbent D Heineman (R-1948) win in 2006 with 73%.

visit next diaries:

2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Guvernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Gubernatorial races in red states with republican incumbent or open seat II
2009-2010 ELECTIONS: Hardest gubernatorial races.

All the polls are open if you like to vote.

PS: This diary will be updated when the number of votes go up and when end the procedure.

Originally posted to abgin on Sun Jan 25, 2009 at 12:14 PM PST.

Poll

NM-Gov: Open R vs D Denish (D-1949) ?

21%5 votes
52%12 votes
4%1 votes
8%2 votes
0%0 votes
4%1 votes
8%2 votes

| 23 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Diane is not a progressive, issue wise (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    peace voter, abgin

    But she's relatively honest and free of corruption (as compared to Richardson).  At least that's what I think.

    You didn't list Marty Chavez, Mayor of Albuquerque, who is fairly likely to run.  He's as bad, or worse, than Denish on the issues.  Plus more or less corrupt, always running interference for developer cronies.  Plus, outside of Albuquerque, people don't trust him much.

    Hector isn't going to try and jump in front of Diane for Governor.  She's earned her place.  He might come into play when Bingaman retires, which will shake things up again here.  Could be in 2012.

    "The river always wins" - Mark Twain

    by Land of Enchantment on Sun Jan 25, 2009 at 12:49:18 PM PST

    •  Interesting comment (0+ / 0-)

      I can add too Marty Chavez to the list.

      I think a very good example for Diane Denish can be Jody Rell from CT. Rell is republican but Denish can play similar rol. Of course with more progressive politics.

  •  PS (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    abgin

    I don't see Gary Johnson running for office again.

    "The river always wins" - Mark Twain

    by Land of Enchantment on Sun Jan 25, 2009 at 12:49:56 PM PST

  •  Is English your 2nd or 3rd language (0+ / 0-)

    or is this post kinda snarky? Diane Denish D-1949? Wtf? No pronouns, adjectives or verbs? I know the English language can be easily manipulated but what you done today takes the cake. In one short diary, you've annihilated over 800 years of English language history by an indiscriminate and brutal assault on the written word.

    •  OK..having done a bit of research (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      abgin

      on your past comments, I take back what I said (or at least ask that you take it in jest). I now have egg on my face and I apologize for beating you on the head about this? Friends?

      •  Friends (0+ / 0-)

        No problem. I understand you find correction in diaries, but sometimes is not easy. I hope you can understand and see here interesting things.

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