Skip to main content

Next step in this serie of diaries is try see a hypothetic contest between our first democrat from Maine, Chellie Pingree and the junior senator, Susan Collins.

The results of yesterday poll are interesting. O Snowe down to Leans Republican for the people what vote here. Seems she is burning fast her high advantage and seems she can have problems for win the reelection. Democratic Party have any chance against O Snowe.

With todays result we will see the first image of a little rank. Who is now the stronger republican senator from Maine? Todays poll will tell us that too. I think that is very important because i think the first, the strongest democrat from Maine must think in challenge the weakest republican senator from Maine.

Last polls from Maine are focusing only in O Snowe, but i think is important don't forget S Collins. Their role in the healthcare reform is different

I remember and update from previous diaries the structure of this serie.

RANK OF BLUE STATES FROM HIGHER TO LOWER LEVEL OF ELECTED REPUBLICANS

  1. Maine: 2/2 Senate.
  1. Nevada: 1/2 Senate. Governor. 1/3 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Iowa: 1/2 Senate. 2/5 House. 2 Statewide officers.
  1. New Hampshire: 1/2 Senate.
  1. New Jersey: Governor (*). 5/13 House. Lieutenant Governor (*).
  1. Minnesota: Governor. 3/8 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. California: Governor. 19/53 House. Lieutenant Governor (*). 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Vermont: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Hawaii: Governor. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Connecticut: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. (Without include J Lieberman).
  1. Rhode Island: Governor.
  1. Delaware: 1/1 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Michigan: 7/15 House. 2 Statewide Officers. MI Senate majority.
  1. Wisconsin: 3/8 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Pennsylvania: 7/19 House. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer. PA Senate majority.
  1. Illinois: 7/19 House.
  1. Washington: 3/9 House. 2 Statewide Officers.
  1. Colorado: 2/7 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Oregon: 1/5 House.
  1. Maryland: 1/8 House.
  1. New York: 2/35 House.
  1. New Mexico: 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Massachusetts: No-one.

(*): Without take office still.

For national level: With a consolidated blue ticket we can look to republican side.

REPUBLICAN POTENTIAL PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES FROM BLUE STATES BY SERIOUSNESS.

  1. Timothy James Pawlenty: MN 1960 Governor of MN 03-11.
  1. George Elmer Pataki: NY 1945 Governor of NY 95-06.
  1. Willard Mitt Romney: MI MA 1947 Governor of MA 03-07. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 94.
  1. Rudolph William Louis Giuliani: NY 1944 Mayor of New York 94-01. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 00.
  1. Gary Earl Johnson: ND NM 1953 Governor of New Mexico 95-03.
  1. Richard John Santorum: VA PA 1958 Senator from PA 95-07. USHRep 91-95. Lost for Senate 06.

But we will see all they in their home state.

For state level:

DEMOCRATS IN THE CABINET OVER THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Still no-one.

DEMOCRATS OVER THE FIRST VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 1st: Chellie M Pingree: MN ME 1955 USHRep 09- . Lost for Senate 02.
Nevada 1st:

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00.000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01.429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02.857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04.286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05.714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07.142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08.571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10.000 ---

C Pingree (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 23 votes = 03.116 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs S Collins (R) after 15 votes = 03,444 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs J McKernan (R)
C Pingree (D) vs P Mills (R)

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 2nd:

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

Maine 2nd (D) vs O Snowe (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs S Collins (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs J McKernan (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs P Mills (R)

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 3rd:

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

Maine 3rd (D) vs O Snowe (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs S Collins (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs J McKernan (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs P Mills (R)

Originally posted to abgin on Wed Nov 18, 2009 at 01:44 AM PST.

Poll

C Pingree (D) vs S Collins (R)

0%0 votes
5%1 votes
11%2 votes
17%3 votes
29%5 votes
23%4 votes
11%2 votes

| 17 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

    •  Pingree will likely only run for an open seat (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      abgin

      Conventional wisdom in Maine politics -- you can lose one election and continue, but two strikes and you are out.  Chellie has one strike running for the Senate.  Look for her to run when there is an open seat (Snowe's retirement for example)and not before.  Snowe and Collins lose only if they do something catastrophic.  There are no Democrats with numbers to beat them in a statewide race.  The only person with the potential numbers is the crypto-Democrat/Republican/Independent Angus King who is still insanely popular, but show no appetite for running for anything. House Speaker Hannah Pingree has just as much and maybe more chance of emerging as a viable future statewide candidate than her mother, although Maine's anti-dynastic bent may limit some of her options. I agree that this is truly a waste of time exercise.

  •  Waste of time (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jeffrey Kohan

    Collins isn't up for reelection until 2014.  Let's focus on keeping Pingree in the House.

    The opposite of "good" is "good intention" - Kurt Tucholsky

    by DowneastDem on Wed Nov 18, 2009 at 01:50:47 AM PST

    •  Yes of course (0+ / 0-)

      2014 is far, but is not bad check the options.

      I think C Pingree will not have high problems for keep her house seat. I see she is emerging, and winning strongness.

      •  Pingree won rather unimpressive (0+ / 0-)

        in 2008 - 55% in very good Democratic year in more liberal of 2 Maine's congressional districts. Yeah, she will, probably, be reelected, but right now she isn't nowhere near Collins (even more - Snowe) in status, and i doubt she ever will - she lost once to Collins rather big, and i don't see why it must be different second time)))

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site