Next step in this serie of diaries is try see a hypothetic contest between our first democrat from Maine, Chellie Pingree and the junior senator, Susan Collins.
The results of yesterday poll are interesting. O Snowe down to Leans Republican for the people what vote here. Seems she is burning fast her high advantage and seems she can have problems for win the reelection. Democratic Party have any chance against O Snowe.
With todays result we will see the first image of a little rank. Who is now the stronger republican senator from Maine? Todays poll will tell us that too. I think that is very important because i think the first, the strongest democrat from Maine must think in challenge the weakest republican senator from Maine.
Last polls from Maine are focusing only in O Snowe, but i think is important don't forget S Collins. Their role in the healthcare reform is different
I remember and update from previous diaries the structure of this serie.
RANK OF BLUE STATES FROM HIGHER TO LOWER LEVEL OF ELECTED REPUBLICANS
- Maine: 2/2 Senate.
- Nevada: 1/2 Senate. Governor. 1/3 House. Lieutenant Governor.
- Iowa: 1/2 Senate. 2/5 House. 2 Statewide officers.
- New Hampshire: 1/2 Senate.
- New Jersey: Governor (*). 5/13 House. Lieutenant Governor (*).
- Minnesota: Governor. 3/8 House. Lieutenant Governor.
- California: Governor. 19/53 House. Lieutenant Governor (*). 1 Statewide Officer.
- Vermont: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer.
- Hawaii: Governor. Lieutenant Governor.
- Connecticut: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. (Without include J Lieberman).
- Rhode Island: Governor.
- Delaware: 1/1 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
- Michigan: 7/15 House. 2 Statewide Officers. MI Senate majority.
- Wisconsin: 3/8 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
- Pennsylvania: 7/19 House. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer. PA Senate majority.
- Illinois: 7/19 House.
- Washington: 3/9 House. 2 Statewide Officers.
- Colorado: 2/7 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
- Oregon: 1/5 House.
- Maryland: 1/8 House.
- New York: 2/35 House.
- New Mexico: 1 Statewide Officer.
- Massachusetts: No-one.
(*): Without take office still.
For national level: With a consolidated blue ticket we can look to republican side.
REPUBLICAN POTENTIAL PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES FROM BLUE STATES BY SERIOUSNESS.
- Timothy James Pawlenty: MN 1960 Governor of MN 03-11.
- George Elmer Pataki: NY 1945 Governor of NY 95-06.
- Willard Mitt Romney: MI MA 1947 Governor of MA 03-07. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 94.
- Rudolph William Louis Giuliani: NY 1944 Mayor of New York 94-01. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 00.
- Gary Earl Johnson: ND NM 1953 Governor of New Mexico 95-03.
- Richard John Santorum: VA PA 1958 Senator from PA 95-07. USHRep 91-95. Lost for Senate 06.
But we will see all they in their home state.
For state level:
DEMOCRATS IN THE CABINET OVER THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.
Still no-one.
DEMOCRATS OVER THE FIRST VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.
THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.
Maine 1st: Chellie M Pingree: MN ME 1955 USHRep 09- . Lost for Senate 02.
Nevada 1st:
THE FIRST DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.
In a 0-10 scale, like this:
--- 00.000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01.429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02.857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04.286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05.714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07.142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08.571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10.000 ---
C Pingree (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 23 votes = 03.116 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs S Collins (R) after 15 votes = 03,444 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs J McKernan (R)
C Pingree (D) vs P Mills (R)
THE SECOND DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.
Maine 2nd:
THE SECOND DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.
Maine 2nd (D) vs O Snowe (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs S Collins (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs J McKernan (R)
Maine 2nd (D) vs P Mills (R)
THE THIRD DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.
Maine 3rd:
THE THIRD DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.
Maine 3rd (D) vs O Snowe (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs S Collins (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs J McKernan (R)
Maine 3rd (D) vs P Mills (R)