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Today we have a new interesting possibly contest, with M Michaud representative and S Collins senator. After the poll against O Snowe, we see M Michaud can be competitive too in democratic side. And Susan Collins appear until now more weak than O Snowe.

Yesterday we talk few about the difficulties for replace M Michaud if he run for another office, but we must tell the gubernatorial contest is important too, and have strong candidates for 2010 gubernatorial race is very important.

Until now, no-one of three selected democrats in these diaries about Maine is running for governor. J Baldacci obviously can not by term limits but the house representatives can run. S Collins run not again for her senate seat until 2014 and some democratic candidate can think in run for governor in 2010 and for senate in 2014 if S Collins appear enough weak.

I think the democrat politics from Maine must be courageous and audacious in this moment for can become an alternative to republicans in this state and profit better all their chances.

I remember and update from previous diaries the structure of this serie.

RANK OF BLUE STATES FROM HIGHER TO LOWER LEVEL OF ELECTED REPUBLICANS

  1. Maine: 2/2 Senate.
  1. Nevada: 1/2 Senate. Governor. 1/3 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Iowa: 1/2 Senate. 2/5 House. 2 Statewide officers.
  1. New Hampshire: 1/2 Senate.
  1. New Jersey: Governor (*). 5/13 House. Lieutenant Governor (*).
  1. Minnesota: Governor. 3/8 House. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. California: Governor. 19/53 House. Lieutenant Governor (*). 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Vermont: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Hawaii: Governor. Lieutenant Governor.
  1. Connecticut: Governor. Lieutenant Governor. (Without include J Lieberman).
  1. Rhode Island: Governor.
  1. Delaware: 1/1 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Michigan: 7/15 House. 2 Statewide Officers. MI Senate majority.
  1. Wisconsin: 3/8 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Pennsylvania: 7/19 House. Lieutenant Governor. 1 Statewide Officer. PA Senate majority.
  1. Illinois: 7/19 House.
  1. Washington: 3/9 House. 2 Statewide Officers.
  1. Colorado: 2/7 House. 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Oregon: 1/5 House.
  1. Maryland: 1/8 House.
  1. New York: 2/35 House.
  1. New Mexico: 1 Statewide Officer.
  1. Massachusetts: No-one.

(*): Without take office still.

For national level: With a consolidated blue ticket we can look to republican side.

REPUBLICAN POTENTIAL PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES FROM BLUE STATES BY SERIOUSNESS.

  1. Timothy James Pawlenty: MN 1960 Governor of MN 03-11.
  1. George Elmer Pataki: NY 1945 Governor of NY 95-06.
  1. Willard Mitt Romney: MI MA 1947 Governor of MA 03-07. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 94.
  1. Rudolph William Louis Giuliani: NY 1944 Mayor of New York 94-01. Lost for President 08. Lost for Senate 00.
  1. Gary Earl Johnson: ND NM 1953 Governor of New Mexico 95-03.
  1. Richard John Santorum: VA PA 1958 Senator from PA 95-07. USHRep 91-95. Lost for Senate 06.

But we will see all they in their home state.

For state level:

DEMOCRATS IN THE CABINET OVER THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Still no-one.

DEMOCRATS OVER THE FIRST VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 1st: Chellie M Pingree: MN ME 1955 USHRep 09- . Lost for Senate 02.
Nevada 1st:

THE FIRST DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

In a 0-10 scale, like this:

--- 00.000 ---
Safe Republican
--- 01.429 ---
Likely Republican
--- 02.857 ---
Leans Republican
--- 04.286 ---
Toss-Up
--- 05.714 ---
Leans Democratic
--- 07.142 ---
Likely Democratic
--- 08.571 ---
Safe Democratic
--- 10.000 ---

C Pingree (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 25 votes = 03.267 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs S Collins (R) after 17 votes = 03.529 => Leans Republican
C Pingree (D) vs J McKernan (R) after 09 votes = 06.481 => Leans Democratic
C Pingree (D) vs P Mills (R) after 15 votes = 07.667 => Likely Democratic

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 2nd: John Elias Baldacci: ME 1955 Governor of ME 03-11. USHRep 95-03.

THE SECOND DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

J Baldacci (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 30 votes = 03.556 => Leans Republican
J Baldacci (D) vs S Collins (R) after 20 votes = 04.083 => Leans Republican
J Baldacci (D) vs J McKernan (R) after 08 votes = 06,250 => Leans Democratic
J Baldacci (D) vs P Mills (R) after 00 votes = 00.000 => Insufficient number of votes

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT IN EVERY BLUE STATE.

Maine 3rd: Michael Herman Michaud: ME 1955 USHRep 03- . President ME Senate 00-02.

THE THIRD DEMOCRAT VS PROMINENT REPUBLICANS FROM HIS/HER HOME STATE.

M Michaud (D) vs S Collins (R) after 16 votes = 03.542 => Leans Republican
M Michaud (D) vs O Snowe (R) after 28 votes = 03.571 => Leans Republican
M Michaud (D) vs J McKernan (R)
M Michaud (D) vs P Mills (R)

If you see this diary after days, you can see the last actualization of this serie in my last diary. The results of polls of previous diaries are updated too in the last diary. For see my last diary click in "abgin's diary".

Originally posted to abgin on Sat Nov 28, 2009 at 07:27 AM PST.

Poll

M Michaud (D) vs S Collins (R)

5%1 votes
5%1 votes
5%1 votes
17%3 votes
17%3 votes
29%5 votes
17%3 votes

| 17 votes | Vote | Results

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