On a national basis this time around, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Election Tracking Poll has found Bush and Kerry virtually even for weeks. Our first wave of state-by-state polling is currently being released In California, Kerry leads by Bush by 9. In Florida, it's Kerry 48% Bush 45%. In Michigan, it's Kerry 45% Bush 41%. In Pennsylvania, Kerry leads a statistically insignificant margin, 45% to 44%.
rasmussenreport.com
(OH had Kerry ahead 45-41%)
This confirms that Pennsylvania will be battle royale in November.