Skip to main content

About an hour ago a document leaked out of the UN Secretariat that blows the top off the climate talks here in Copenhagen. For reasons I don't know it has my name scrawled across the top--I didn't leak it, but it confirms what I've been saying for months. The proposals that the UN is considering come nowhere near meeting their own (already inadequate)target of 2 degrees. Instead, they will lead to at least 50% more heat.

Details to follow

Here's the link to the press release we just put out at 350.org.

A little background: everyone, especially the Obama administration, has been insisting that they're negotiating in good faith to meet a target of two degrees Celsius

We've been saying two things:

  1. Those targets aren't any good--we need to go below 1.5 degrees, and 350 ppm co2
  1. The proposals put forward by the various parties to the UN talks don't even come close to meeting their own goals. Outside parties have demonstrated this for weeks--Climate Interactive's model yields a temperature increase nearer 4 degrees

But that the UN itself knew it all along and kept going with the pious insistence that they were working towards two degrees is beyond infuriating. This is a real smoking gun, and the smoke is coming from a scorched earth. And nothing Obama says tomorrow will change that, unless he speaks honestly and forthrightly about how far below the goals we really are.

We'd appreciate help in spreading this around. It's all over the front of the Guardian  and the Times just put up a good followup

Update: Many thanks for spreading the word--very honored to be on the recc list. The leak is getting excellent play in the media, though the UN proceedings are so closed off to the outside world that the conference hall will probably be the last place to hear. They cut off virtually all NGO access to the hall today, so there's no one left to challenge the boilerplate speechmaking. It's nearing midnight here and I'm off to bed--up in the morning to fight a little more. Onward

Another update: morning in Copenhagen. Obama had landed. Let's hope he has a plan to defeat physics! Many thanks for the good discussion here, and I'm awfully glad I'm not the president and have to figure out how to deal with all of this. None of it is easy

Update 1 p.m. copenhagen time--Obama just spoke. Nothing new--which means he's out negotiating again, trying to get everyone to sign onto his version of the agreement. I think the point is not that we need a deal--it's that the deal they're cooking up is not what it says on its face. It doesn't get us anywhere near two degrees--and two degrees is, as a number of leaders of poor countries have said, a suicide pact. In any event, it didn't sound like his last speech of the day

Originally posted to Bill McKibben on Thu Dec 17, 2009 at 01:12 PM PST.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Meteor Blades, Kimberley, chase, racerx, wozzle, claude, The Cunctator, JekyllnHyde, Alumbrados, myriad, hoipolloi, Joe Bob, Mimikatz, Sylv, boydog, dwellscho, tgs1952, coral, northsylvania, Mogolori, Upper West, Phoenix Woman, tankej, trifly, Rayne, decembersue, Marie, roonie, El Zmuenga, Trendar, glitterscale, vermontmade, abarefootboy, Raybin, Powered Grace, NYmom, saraswati, theboz, RunawayRose, newjeffct, sacrelicious, odum, karlpk, alicia, musicalhair, KumarP, LynChi, Emocrat, billlaurelMD, liz, meg, rhubarb, Earwicker23, eeff, Mnemosyne, Duncan Idaho, route66, marjo, SallyCat, object16, therealdrlaura, bumblebums, freespeech, silence, RubDMC, Scott in NAZ, bara, eyeswideopen, Gustogirl, srbaxley, Justina, bronte17, missLotus, conchita, cskendrick, Karen Wehrstein, mint julep, SamSinister, groggy, understandinglife, whenwego, OCD, ask, CoolOnion, wanderindiana, cosmic debris, Patricia Taylor, buckhorn okie, KS McCann, MisterOpus1, chimpy, roses, Frederick Clarkson, taonow, JuliaAnn, ovals49, javelina, Ignacio Magaloni, greenomanic, kanuk, nargel, Boston to Salem, BruinKid, sngmama, ornerydad, bewert, navajo, Arrow, wader, k9disc, pollwatcher, NMRed, Oke, hhex65, normal family, Eric Blair, Nag, minorityusa, Winnie, apotropaic, 2laneIA, brainwave, gmb, grannyhelen, Viola Lee, hoolia, Ready2fight, churchylafemme, laughingriver, BMarshall, DSC on the Plateau, Oy the Billybumbler, lizah, defluxion10, betson08, Tillie630, RebeccaG, Timbuk3, lcrp, alizard, walkshills, bwintx, AllisonInSeattle, ybruti, side pocket, Silverbird, Lefty Mama, JayDean, CanYouBeAngryAndStillDream, Deward Hastings, DarkSyde, bablhous, Daddy Bartholomew, xxdr zombiexx, thereisnospoon, realtime, pontechango, environmentalist, TexMex, BoogieMama, Julie Gulden, rapala, averageyoungman, tardcat, greenskeeper, Skennet Boch, joanneleon, G2geek, sandblaster, Simian, Tarindel, marina, radarlady, pattyp, NoMoreLies, tle, denise b, jfdunphy, blueyedace2, yuriwho, caul, CTPatriot, Independent Musings, corvo, Doc Sarvis, BCO gal, willibro, grimjc, elkhunter, panicbean, TN yellow dog, myeye, Laurence Lewis, kldave, ratzo, lennysfo, owlbear1, bleeding blue, SaraBeth, CarolynC967, jimreyn, where4art, McMeier, GreyHawk, jcitybone, Burned, Phil S 33, CompaniaHill, SueDe, Eric K, SheriffBart, collapse, The Raven, Shotput8, neroden, coolbreeze, Rogneid, the fan man, JanL, Ekaterin, ohcanada, empathy, SocioSam, Arsenic, Pacific NW Mark, Land of Enchantment, xaxnar, begone, Legolas, LeftOverAmerica, errorcode, gwilson, MissInformation, Patriot Daily News Clearinghouse, Keone Michaels, myboo, BlueInARedState, HoundDog, koNko, RoyT, Scientician, Magnifico, yojimbo, play jurist, NBBooks, TalkieToaster, tecampbell, birdbrain64, MJ via Chicago, eglantine, global citizen, A Siegel, Ashaman, imabluemerkin, real world chick, Derfel, JVolvo, NearlyNormal, MarciaJ720, gabriella, trykindness, Dinclusin, american pastoral, SingerInTheChoir, Randian, CA Nana, profh, Clive all hat no horse Rodeo, Dianna, Dreaming of Better Days, blueoregon, The Blue State Bandit, PhilW, PoxOnYou, bstotts, Picot verde, Granny Doc, expatyank, Temmoku, blueintheface, markthshark, Little, andrewj54, L L, Nulwee, Cartoon Messiah, Aaa T Tudeattack, BentLiberal, ammasdarling, One Pissed Off Liberal, pgm 01, out of left field, DorothyT, BeninSC, Polacolor, asilomar, Fredly, oklacoma dem, camlbacker, Cottagerose, godislove, offgrid, WeBetterWinThisTime, gloriana, atmplant, Outrider, blue71340, FishOutofWater, Mary Mike, noofsh, certainot, deepeco, DWG, londubh, entlord1, aliasalias, newpioneer, Strabo, bnasley, gatorbot, RosyFinch, Rex Manning, Drowning Wave, jayden, Midwesterners, vbdietz, letsgetreal, spiraltn, twistedflatcat, mudslide, millwood, Moderation, Jack the R, carpunder, madgranny, JML9999, A Person, eyesoars, Bikemom, gloryous1, Assaf, vet, Counselor730, oxon, kafkananda, fayeforcure, adrianrf, gundyj, seriously70, revm3up, VelvetElvis, Scioto, swampus, FedUpDan, B VT, DraftChickenHawks, kimoconnor, wayoutinthestix, Cordwainer, bogmanoc, Tchrldy, cumberland sibyl, skohayes, Cat Servant, ajr111240, Akonitum, Archangel, VL Baker, jakebob, beltane, monkeybrainpolitics, Deep Harm, Lujane, hwmnbn, dewley notid, geomoo, pickandshovel, bluesheep, mofembot, Seamus D, Ruff Limblog, matching mole, Cobbler, TreeFrog, BYw, allie123, priceman, Zikar, In her own Voice, bucadibeppo, statsone, ZhenRen, forgore, LaFeminista, Fiddlegirl, cameoanne, SciMathGuy, 1BQ, multilee, pileta, smellybeast, J M F, denisegreenbay, Searching for Pericles, DeepLooker, ARS, ALifeLessFrightening, greengemini, An Affirming Flame, Dopeman, Nebraskablue, weltshmertz, Methinks They Lie, Gorilla in the room, Partisan Progressive, Zotz, h bridges, mogmaar, tr GW, earicicle, LeftyEngineer, jazzfan76, Patch Adam, EquationDoc, Daily Activist, dRefractor, elziax, obiterdictum, Calfacon, asym, bfitzinAR, sanglug, kevinpdx, The BBQ Chicken Madness, Munchkn, Joeytj, serecovery, Knarfc, A Voice, Enzo Valenzetti, ohmyheck, davespicer, Emalene, Leftcandid, RogerDodger, LookingUp, isabvella, Larsstephens, Amber6541, Just Bob, cricket456, parse this, brentbent, swaminathan, confitesprit, TNThorpe, rb137, marabout40, budr, LaughingPlanet, bullyness, 1000 Points of Fright, Johnnythebandit, marsanges, jethrock, fidellio, Obamacrat, Ann T Bush, Crabby Abbey, msmo1918, ATFILLINOIS, BonnieSchlitz, RJP9999, polar bear, cordgrass, lanae, NY brit expat, samanthab, ItsSimpleSimon, wisco kid, 2020adam, DrFitz, Hope Reborn, Unenergy, farbuska, MsGrin, Floande, washdcnow, fiercefilms, Jill Richardson, JanG, Rockpopple, bicycle Hussein paladin, indubitably, Pakalolo, Onomastic, mieprowan, Colorado is the Shiznit, heart of a quince, SuperBowlXX, Oldowan, Airmid, atheistben, leftword jo, nicethugbert, sixthestate, anyname, firemage, Susipsych, ontheleftcoast, Eclectablog, southernmapper, deeproots, Lorikeet, Cinnamon Rollover, Muskegon Critic, RadicalRoadRat, muddy boots, JohnInOregon, beka, KVoimakas, merrily1000, Grandma Susie, Dixie Liberal, worldlotus, jgnyc, pensivelady, Tyto Alba, SweetLittleOkie, TheRyeChip, Sunspots, RLMiller, thejoshuablog, fasteddie9318, holly wood, glower, MichaelNY, PrometheusUnbound, too young to give up, Azazello, TULIPS4DOLPHINS, JackLord, labor in vain, AnnetteK, bluebottles, Patric Juillet, James Robinson, Caractacus, ridemybike, RedAndBlack, worldforallpeopleorg, A Fellow Eukaryote, sabo53

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site