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If the volume of campaign news was flagging slightly on Monday and Tuesday, it slowed to a trickle on this day-before-Christmas Eve. Only a couple of new polls, and a small handful of campaign stories, including a late-breaking story about the GOP trying to romance another Democrat. You might be a little surprised at who it is...and surprised by what he said.

KY-Sen: Either Grayson or Paul Holds Seat For GOP, Says PPP
This is more than a little disappointing, to be sure, but PPP follows its sadly optimistic poll for Michele Bachmann yesterday with another downer on Wednesday--either Kentucky's GOP Secretary of State (Trey Grayson) or the new darling of the Paulites (Rand Paul) have modest leads (PDF File) over either Democrat competing for the Senate seat now occupied by retiring U.S. Senator Jim Bunning. As one might expect, Grayson is the more electable of the two Republicans, but both men have leads of at least six points over either state Attorney General Jack Conway or state Lt. Governor Dan Mongiardo. Conway does slightly better against Grayson (Grayson leads 40-33) than does Mongiardo (Grayson leads 44-35). Against Rand Paul, both men trail by identical 42-36 margins.

CT-Sen: McMahon Internal Claims GOP Senate Edge
Take this survey with the caveat that it is a campaign internal poll, but Linda McMahon is out with a survey from Moore Methods which claims that she has moved into the lead against GOP frontrunner Rob Simmons in the GOP primary to challenge longtime Democratic Senator Chris Dodd. McMahon's poll claims that her name recognition is up to 82%, and that she has an enviable 52/7 favorability spread. In the primary election trial heat, McMahon claims a lead within the margin of error, with her support sitting at 37%, and Rob Simmons trailing at 35%. According to McMahon's poll, Paulite candidate Peter Schiff is circling the drain, trailing badly at just 4% of the vote. An internal poll from Chris Dodd earlier in the week claimed that McMahon was slightly less electable than Simmons in a general election trial heat with Dodd. Worth noting--any general election trial heats in the McMahon internal were not released.


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  • PA-10: Having snared Parker Griffith (more on that guy later), the GOP is apparently trying to lure more apostate Democrats into their fold. A story broke late today off of Politico that the next target for the GOP is a little bit of a surprise. It is Chris Carney, the third term Democrat from Pennsylvania who is clearly in the conservative wing of the party, but probably less so than a half dozen other Democrats. The GOP apparently dispatched John McCain (a Naval vet, like Carney) to make the pitch. Carney's spokesman was mum about the intentions of his boss, but did confirm that the call took place.

    After several hours of speculation, Carney himself said he was flattered, but he was sticking with the Democratic Party:

    "I always put my district above political party and have maintained an independent voice. I have enjoyed widespread Republican support throughout my district and will continue to work closely with Democrats, Republicans and independents alike. I appreciate the Republican Party's outreach, but I have no plans to change parties."

    In other good news for Democrats, two prominent conservative Democrats (Walt Minnick of Idaho and Bobby Bright of Alabama) announced today that they are staying put.

  • MA-Sen: Give Democratic Senate nominee Martha Coakley a few points for courage: she has agreed to a trio of debates in advance of the January 19th general election to replace the late Senator Ted Kennedy. The move, which raises the total number of debates to five, goes against everything in the playbook. The campaign playbook typically says that the candidate in the lead should resist debates, which can only give a longshot candidate a lifeline. Coakley will face Republican Scott Brown in January.
  • NY-Sen/NY-03: In the wake of Rudy Giuliani's disappearing act from the 2010 election cycle, we get news today that the GOP is hitting their knees in an attempt to get Long Island Congressman Peter King to reconsider his late summer decision to decline a Senate bid against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. It seems unlikely to change his mind. In an interview with Politico, he described his chances of making the Senate bid as a 3 (out of 10).
  • AL-05: A day after Freshman Congressman Parker Griffith made the jump from the Democratic Party to the GOP, there was quite a bit of fallout from his sudden move across the aisle. In one potentially incendiary scandal, Griffith's campaign consultants, Main Street Strategies, were accused of downloading Democratic voter data from a party database just hours before the Congressman's defection on Tuesday. This afternoon, a Griffith staffer promised that the congressman would return all the data swiped the day before. The kerfluffle cost Main Street Strategies a gig, as the campaign of gubernatorial candidate Artur Davis fired the firm earlier today.

    Meanwhile, Griffith has only been a Republican for about 30-35 hours, and he already might have a high-profile Democratic challenger. In something of a surprise, state Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks, who is currently in the midst of a bid for Governor of Alabama, refused to close the door on a bid for Congress in the 5th district.

    Finally, the "warm welcome" from local Republicans continued today. Just a day after both Republicans already in the Congressional field held press conferences to insist that they were staying in the race, and would merely beat Griffith in the GOP primary, the newly minted Republican also got dissed by one of the state's gubernatorial candidates, state Treasurer Kay Ivey:

    "I can't help but regard this 'Road to Damascus' conversion of Parker Griffith's as solely a ploy to cling to his seat in 2010...Political self-preservation isn't a virtue. In fact, political expediency is an insult to every grassroots activist who commits untold hours in devotion to getting candidates elected."

    For more about the potentially rocky path for Congressman Griffith, read
    DavidNYC's must-read piece for this morning here at Daily Kos.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 07:38 PM PST.

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Comment Preferences

  •  We can win Kentucky. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    alnc, LordMike

    I think it'll happen.  I think it may be our most likely pick-up after Missouri.

    "Intolerance is something which belongs to the religions we have rejected." - J.J. Rousseau

    by James Allen on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 07:43:07 PM PST

    •  I agree, and I put very little stock in polling.. (0+ / 0-) least right now, 11 months out from election day. I've got to believe that a lot of voters being polled right now are doing so from a very low-information state, especially on low-profile races like KY-Sen - and that the closer we get to the elections, the better the Democratic brand is going to look.

      Optimist? You bet. What other choice is there?

      Paying taxes is like going to the zoo. Admission is 20 bucks. You can't walk in and say, "Here's $18.50. I don't like zebras." - h/t Jon Stewart

      by ipsos on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 08:17:47 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  I hope he finds a harsh new reality (0+ / 0-)

    that serves as an example for anyone else thinking of making the switch.  Not that I don't want to see some of these guys leave, but it will serve to quash the meme that they have an easier road as a Republican.  They don't, not in the age of tea bagging.

  •  Joe Kennedy for Senate (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, Imperial

    "Give Democratic Senate nominee Martha Coakley a few points for courage:"

    And savvy too.  The independent candidate in the race, whose real name is Joe Kennedy, is endorsed by the Libertarian Party and is considered a Ron Paul wannabee.  Coakley insisted he appear in the debates, despite the Republican's opposition, since it is expected he will draw votes away from the GOP candidate.

    I think Coakley also wants to make sure voters, especially elderly, don't get confused when they see the name "Joe Kennedy" on the ballot.

  •  Political trivia (0+ / 0-)

    OK, since most of these weren't answered correctly and definitively, here they are again.

    1.  What statewide elected official has a sibling who is an elected official in England?
    1. Who represents the only congressional district that voted for Gore and Kerry, but then voted for McCain?
    1. NYT writer Andrew Ross Sorkin and screenwriter Aaron Sorkin both graduated from New York's Scarsdale High School.  Are they related, and if so, how?
    1. Since 1950, who became a U.S. Congressman AND a U.S. Senator only following the deaths of his/her predecessors to both seats?
    1. Since 1960, what former Senator has actually run for the Senate in two different states, and under two different political parties?

    licorice114 got #1, which is Bernie Sanders, whose brother Larry is an Oxfordshire County Councillor in England.

    And emilysdad got #5, which is James Buckley, who won in New York under the Conservative Party banner, and then lost as a Republican in Connecticut to none other than Chris Dodd.

    But the other questions don't have definitive answers yet.  :-)

  •  I wondered... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    in an earlier thread about AL-05 if Tammy Irons would want to run for that seat, and if her husband having been an assistant coach for Bear Bryant would help her out there.

  •  I hope Parker Griffith loses in the primary... (6+ / 0-)

    and in the general election.  Traitor.

    I am proud to admit that I come from one of the districts that had the least votes for George W. Bush in the entire country.

    by ThePrometheusMan on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 08:12:47 PM PST

  •  hearing mixed reports on Sparks jumping in (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen


    i think he's in a serious pickle

    he has been seen as indecisive in past and i think that if he decides not to run having expressed interest could backfire again. if sparks jumps in it's a win win  

  •  Sparks would be crazy to give up (0+ / 0-)

    the gubernatorial run ... he's easily the strongest candidate we have in that race.

    GOP=Grand Obstructionist Party

    by Christian Dem in NC on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 08:17:07 PM PST

  •  Rand Paultard (0+ / 0-)

    Wait until Grayson goes negative on him over his more extreme libertarian positions, which probably won't play well with Kentucky GOP voters.  Especially the anti-war, anti-Patriot Act positions he has taken.

    •  Rand has moderated his outward positions (0+ / 0-)

      Despite the fact he said he only disagrees with his dad on earmarks (He is against them), Rand has raised eyebrows among the base for strongly coming out against the trials in NYC and shutting down Gitmo. Many in the Paulista camp think it is for electability, as it only came out after Grayson called him on it.

      Opinions alter, manners change, creeds rise and fall, but the moral laws are written on the table of eternity. -Lord Acton

      by Imperial on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 09:00:26 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Linda McMahon's WWE closet (0+ / 0-)

    I just wish her opponents can get hold of some of the footage she's done over the years as a "WWE celebrity".

    One really stupid piece has her in a wheelchair in a catatonic state because her husband Vince wants to divorce her.  Really dumb.  

    Also the conservative crowd won't be too happy about her conflict with uberwingnut media guru Brent (Bozo) Bozell over his group's condemnation of WWE programming which featured sexual exploitation and violence towards women.

  •  Linda McMahon has one big Primary problem (0+ / 0-)

    Linda McMahon can run as a fiscal Regan republican but the problem she faces in the primary is that with her large business she will be held back from stroking the tea baggers.

    Because once she starts to go all nutty with the tea baggers that may hurt her company so he main handicap is that she cannot suck up to the nut jobs while that other guy can gin up all of the support that he wants since he doesn't own a billion dollar entertainment company.

  •  how in hell is it "good news" for us if (2+ / 0-)

    the Dems who act like Repugs stay in our caucus?

    Didn't we learn anything from the past few weeks?

    Let the bastards go.  Good riddance.

    Dem Party Motto: "Hey, at least we're better than nothing!"

    by Lenny Flank on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 09:36:40 PM PST

  •  That treatment Griffin is getting is priceless!!! (1+ / 0-)

    You can't please those red meaters......they just hate everybody. Why this guy would not just resign or not run again rather than trying to appease stupidos on the far too funny!!!!!

    "Alan Grayson is my thats a Real Democrat"! alnc.10/09

    by alnc on Wed Dec 23, 2009 at 10:21:38 PM PST

  •  If the people of Minnesota (0+ / 0-)

    who are in Bachmann's district think that they can do no better than her, then they deserve her and no more. It would be hard to do worse...
    It just sucks that the rest of us have to endure the she-devil with them. If she could just keep her trap shut, I wouldn't give her another thought.
    My deepest sympathies are to those in her district who may share my views. You are in my thoughts...

    I hate labels. Just give me the ingredients.

    by forever blue on Thu Dec 24, 2009 at 12:13:27 AM PST

  •  The other NY-Sen., Schumer has a Primary (0+ / 0-)

    Former standup comic, actor, Randy Credico has filed for the Schumer seat. Randy's most recently headed up the William Kunstler foundation's campaign to repeal the Rockefeller Drug laws.

    Immediate pull out of Afghanistan
    Immediate pull out of Iraq
    Immediate pull out of Colombia
    End Drug War at home and abroad
    Repeal Patriot Act
    Legalization of Marijuana
    Abolish Mandatory Minimum Sentencing
    Repeal 1996 Omnibus Crime Bill
    Constitutional amendment abolishing death penalty
    "You Ain’t Heard Nothing Yet!"

    Resisting Dumb wars since 1968

    by ben masel on Thu Dec 24, 2009 at 12:50:57 AM PST

  •  For the Democratic primary in Massachusetts, (0+ / 0-)

    Martha Coakley was not speaking to the media and refusing debates. Although I was favorably disposed toward her, I was very put off by this. I wrote to her campaign saying that this seemed arrogant and presumptuous and had diminished my opinon of her. Perhaps my letter had an effect. (Perhaps others said the same thing.)

    She has nothing to fear--she is very intelligent, very conversant with the issues, and well-liked in Massachusetts.

    No more fake progressives.

    by lecsmith on Thu Dec 24, 2009 at 02:49:14 PM PST

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